Mariners vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - July 30, 2024
Mariners at Red Sox
11:10 pm • NESNStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
J.Paxton | 4.09 | 1-1 | ||
L.Castillo | 3.64 | 11-12 |
Mariners at Red Sox Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Mariners 0-0 | -1.5+125 | o10.5-110 | -120 | |
Red Sox 0-0 | +1.5-150 | u10.5-110 | +100 |
Tuesday 11:10 p.m.
July 30, 2024Fenway ParkBoston
Mariners vs. Red Sox Expert Picks
Top Shelf Action 🥃
106d ago
Last 30d: 219-227-3 (+3.3u)
L.Castillo u17.5 Outs+122
0.25u
Projection lands at 16.46 and a +ev pick with devig odds of +100 giving us value at this number
The Degenerates
106d ago
Last 30d: 58-63-1 (-10.9u)
SEA -115
1u
Charlie DiSturco
106d ago
Last 30d: 50-67-2 (-0.5u)
L.Castillo o5.5 Ks+115
0.5u
Over a 10% edge, per our Action Network projections.
Top Shelf Action 🥃
106d ago
Last 30d: 219-227-3 (+3.3u)
J.Paxton o4.5 Ks+135
1.35u
Projection lands at 4.8 and a +ev pick with devig odds of +107 giving us value at this number
Sean Zerillo
107d ago
Last 30d: 48-68-3 (-7.7u)
Over 9.5-108
0.25u
Small to -111
Over 4.5 (F5)-120
0.25u
Bet to -150 or 5 (-110)
PRO Insights
Mariners
SEA Insights
- Featured InsightThe Mariners have scored 4.0 runs per game in the first five innings over the last week -- tied for second highest in MLB (6 games). The Red Sox have allowed 4.8 runs per game in the first five innings over the last week -- highest in MLB (6 games).
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Red Sox
BOS Insights
- Featured InsightRed Sox hitters have a hard-hit rate of 47% over the last two weeks -- best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 54% against the Mariners RPs over the last two weeks -- worst in MLB.
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Mariners vs. Red Sox Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Mariners vs. Red Sox Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Mariners vs. Red Sox Injury Updates
Mariners Injuries
- Sam HaggertyOF
Haggerty is out with achilles
Out
Red Sox Injuries
- Lucas GiolitoP
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Garrett WhitlockP
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
- David HamiltonIF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out
Mariners vs. Red Sox Box Score
Mariners Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RL.Castillo, P | 100 | 6 | 4 | 3 | |
LT.Saucedo, P | 17 | 0.2 | 1 | 3 | |
RC.Snider, P | 8 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | |
RY.Garcia, P | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
RA.Munoz, P | 18 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1V.Robles, CF | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
1L.Raley, CF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2R.Arozarena, LF | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
3C.Raleigh, C | 0-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
4J.Turner, 1B | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
5J.Polanco, 2B | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
6D.Moore, 3B | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
6D.Moore, SS | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
7M.Garver, DH | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8M.Haniger, RF | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8C.Marlowe, RF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9L.Rivas, SS | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
9J.Rojas, PH | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9J.Rojas, 3B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Red Sox Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
LJ.Paxton, P | 72 | 4.1 | 5 | 3 | |
RZ.Kelly, P | 16 | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | |
RY.Ramirez, P | 29 | 1.1 | 1 | 2 | |
RC.Criswell, P | 32 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1J.Duran, CF | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2W.Abreu, RF | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
2R.Refsnyder, PH | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2R.Refsnyder, LF | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3M.Yoshida, DH | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
4R.Devers, 3B | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 4 |
5T.O'Neill, LF | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
5T.O'Neill, RF | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
6D.Smith, 1B | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
7C.Wong, C | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8D.Hamilton, 2B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9C.Rafaela, SS | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Mariners vs. Red Sox Odds Comparison
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Mariners at Red Sox Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Mariners 0-0 | o5.5-105 | u5.5-125 |
Red Sox 0-0 | o4.5-130 | u4.5+100 |