Mariners vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - July 30, 2024

Mariners at Red Sox

11:10 pm • NESN
10 - 6
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
James Paxton logoJ.PaxtonBoston Red Sox logo4.091-1
Luis Castillo logoL.CastilloSeattle Mariners logo3.6411-12

Mariners at Red Sox Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mariners
0-0
-1.5+125
o10.5-110
-120
Red Sox
0-0
+1.5-150
u10.5-110
+100
location pinTuesday 11:10 p.m.
July 30, 2024
Fenway ParkBoston
Mariners vs. Red Sox Expert Picks
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
115d ago
Last 30d: 268-257-8 (+9.1u)
L.Castillo u17.5 Outs+122
0.25u
Projection lands at 16.46 and a +ev pick with devig odds of +100 giving us value at this number
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
115d ago
Last 30d: 77-78-3 (-8.8u)
SEA -115
1u
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
115d ago
Last 30d: 43-62-2 (-3.2u)
L.Castillo o5.5 Ks+115
0.5u
Over a 10% edge, per our Action Network projections.
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
115d ago
Last 30d: 268-257-8 (+9.1u)
J.Paxton o4.5 Ks+135
1.35u
Projection lands at 4.8 and a +ev pick with devig odds of +107 giving us value at this number
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
116d ago
Last 30d: 26-46-0 (-4.9u)
Over 9.5-108
0.25u
Small to -111
Over 4.5 (F5)-120
0.25u
Bet to -150 or 5 (-110)

PRO Insights

Mariners logo

Mariners

SEA Insights
  • Mariners logoThe Mariners have scored 4.0 runs per game in the first five innings over the last week -- tied for second highest in MLB (6 games). The Red Sox have allowed 4.8 runs per game in the first five innings over the last week -- highest in MLB (6 games).
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Red Sox logo

Red Sox

BOS Insights
  • Red Sox logoRed Sox hitters have a hard-hit rate of 47% over the last two weeks -- best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 54% against the Mariners RPs over the last two weeks -- worst in MLB.
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Mariners vs. Red Sox Previews & Analysis

  • Mariners vs Red Sox: Why to Back Boston article feature image

    Mariners vs Red Sox: Why to Back Boston

    Kevin Rogers
    Jul 30, 2024 UTC
  • Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Tuesday MLB Betting Card article feature image

    Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Tuesday MLB Betting Card

    Sean Zerillo
    Jul 30, 2024 UTC
  • Our 3 MLB Best Bets for Tuesday Night article feature image

    Our 3 MLB Best Bets for Tuesday Night

    Action Network Staff
    Jul 30, 2024 UTC
  • MLB Player Props Tuesday: Bets for Castillo, Glasnow and More article feature image

    MLB Player Props Tuesday: Bets for Castillo, Glasnow and More

    Alex Hinton
    Jul 30, 2024 UTC
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Mariners vs. Red Sox Public Betting Percentages

44%

Bets%

56%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Red Sox
75-8732-4943-3830-4944-37
Mariners
74-8838-4336-4547-6226-26

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Red Sox
79-75-837-40-442-35-437-40-241-34-6
Mariners
76-76-1031-45-545-31-550-55-425-21-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Red Sox
81-8138-4343-3842-3738-43
Mariners
85-7749-3236-4562-4723-29

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jul 29thSEAW 14-7-1.5 WO 8.5BOS -125
Jul 28thNYYL 2-8+1.5 LO 9NYY -105
Jul 27thNYYL 8-11+1.5 LO 10NYY -120
Jul 26thNYYW 9-7+1.5 WO 9.5BOS +105
Jul 24th@COLL 7-20-1.5 LO 10.5COL -148

Mariners vs. Red Sox Injury Updates

Mariners Injuries

  • Sam Haggerty
    OF

    Haggerty is out with achilles

    Out

Red Sox Injuries

  • Lucas Giolito
    P

    Giolito is out for season with elbow

    Out for Season

  • Garrett Whitlock
    P

    Whitlock is out with oblique

    Out

  • David Hamilton
    IF

    Hamilton is out with finger

    Out

Mariners vs. Red Sox Box Score
Mariners Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Luis Castillo logoRL.Castillo, P100643
Tayler Saucedo logoLT.Saucedo, P170.213
Collin Snider logoRC.Snider, P80.100
Yimi Garcia logoRY.Garcia, P11110
Andres Munoz logoRA.Munoz, P18120
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Victor Robles logo1V.Robles, CF2-5300
Luke Raley logo1L.Raley, CF0-0000
Randy Arozarena logo2R.Arozarena, LF1-5101
Cal Raleigh logo3C.Raleigh, C0-5100
Justin Turner logo4J.Turner, 1B1-5002
Jorge Polanco logo5J.Polanco, 2B2-4312
Dylan Moore logo6D.Moore, 3B2-3003
Dylan Moore logo6D.Moore, SS2-3003
Mitch Garver logo7M.Garver, DH0-4000
Mitch Haniger logo8M.Haniger, RF1-3100
Cade Marlowe logo8C.Marlowe, RF0-0000
Leo Rivas logo9L.Rivas, SS1-2100
Josh Rojas logo9J.Rojas, PH0-2000
Josh Rojas logo9J.Rojas, 3B0-2000
Red Sox Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
James Paxton logoLJ.Paxton, P724.153
Zack Kelly logoRZ.Kelly, P160.101
Yohan Ramirez logoRY.Ramirez, P291.112
Cooper Criswell logoRC.Criswell, P32300
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Jarren Duran logo1J.Duran, CF1-5000
Wilyer Abreu logo2W.Abreu, RF1-2100
Rob Refsnyder logo2R.Refsnyder, PH0-2000
Rob Refsnyder logo2R.Refsnyder, LF0-2000
Masataka Yoshida logo3M.Yoshida, DH2-5200
Rafael Devers logo4R.Devers, 3B3-5214
Tyler O'Neill logo5T.O'Neill, LF1-5001
Tyler O'Neill logo5T.O'Neill, RF1-5001
Dominic Smith logo6D.Smith, 1B2-4001
Connor Wong logo7C.Wong, C0-4000
David Hamilton logo8D.Hamilton, 2B0-4000
Ceddanne Rafaela logo9C.Rafaela, SS1-2100

Mariners vs. Red Sox Odds Comparison

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Mariners at Red Sox Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Mariners
0-0
o5.5-105
u5.5-125
Red Sox
0-0
o4.5-130
u4.5+100