Marlins vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - September 24, 2024

Marlins at Twins

11:40 pm • BSFL

Miami Marlins

0-0

4 - 1

Minnesota Twins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Ober			3.98	12-9
R.Weathers			3.64	5-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 0-0	+1.5	+1.5-102	o8-109	+205
Twins 0-0	u7.5	-1.5-118	u8-112	-254

Tuesday 11:40 p.m.

September 24, 2024

Target FieldMinneapolis

MIN -1.5-105

#ProSystem … off a bad loss now fav Overall: 93-41-0,69% (ROI:26%) Season:5-3-0,63% (ROI:13%)

MIN -1.5-111

2.22u

MIN -1.5-120

1.2u

B.Buxton o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120

0.83u

B.Buxton o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-110

MIA +210

2.1u

Featured Insight
Marlins hitters have a groundball rate of 50% this season -- highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins this season -- third lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Twins have answered-back in 35% of innings after an opponent scores this season -- third highest in MLB. Marlins have allowed a run 36% of the time after an opposing score this season -- second highest in MLB.

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The Marlins are 25-18 (.581) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Vidal Brujan is batting .444 on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for 14th best among hitters with at least 234 total PA's-- 94th Percentile. Bailey Ober has a strike rate of 67% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for ninth highest among qualified SPs-- 85th Percentile.

47% of fastball strikeouts for Jake Burger are located out of the zone since last season -- ninth highest in MLB-- 91st Percentile. 49% of Bailey Ober fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since last season -- fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% (111/220) against Ryan Weathers this season -- 14th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 42% -- 92nd Percentile.

Ryan Weathers has not allowed a walk in his last 66 PAs against a RHH dating back to May 20th -- Jacob deGrom has the longest active streak at 97.

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 43 of Twins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 22nd	@BOS	L 3-9	-1.5 L	O 8	BOS -121
Sep 22nd	@BOS	L 1-8	-1.5 L	O 7.5	BOS -143
Sep 20th	@BOS	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	MIN -120
Sep 19th	@CLE	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8	CLE -115
Sep 18th	@CLE	L 4-5	+1.5 W	O 7	CLE +114

Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Jose Miranda
IF
Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.
Out
Trevor Larnach
OF
Larnach is out with hamstring
Out
Joe Ryan
P
Ryan is out with triceps
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Weathers, P	82	5	2	1
RL.Bachar, P	23	1.1	2	0
RA.Bender, P	21	1	1	0
RJ.Tinoco, P	19	1.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1X.Edwards, SS	2-4	0	0	2
2C.Norby, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
3J.Burger, 1B	0-5	0	0	0
4J.Sanchez, RF	1-4	0	0	0
4D.Myers, PH	0-0	0	0	0
4D.Myers, RF	0-0	0	0	0
5J.Bride, DH	3-5	1	1	1
6K.Stowers, LF	0-4	0	0	0
7D.Hill, CF	1-2	1	0	0
8O.Lopez, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
9N.Fortes, C	2-4	1	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Ober, P	89	5	7	4
RS.Blewett, P	20	1.1	0	0
LC.Thielbar, P	3	0.2	1	0
RM.Tonkin, P	25	1	1	0
LC.Irvin, P	19	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Margot, RF	0-3	0	0
1B.Lee, PH	0-2	0	0
1B.Lee, 2B	0-2	0	0
2C.Correa, SS	2-5	0	0
3B.Buxton, CF	2-3	1	0
4C.Santana, 1B	0-2	0	0
5R.Lewis, 3B	1-4	0	1
6K.Farmer, 2B	0-2	0	0
6M.Wallner, PH	0-1	0	0
6T.Larnach, LF	1-1	0	0
6T.Larnach, RF	1-1	0	0
7R.Jeffers, C	0-3	0	0
8J.Miranda, DH	0-3	0	0
8E.Julien, PH	0-1	0	0
8E.Julien, DH	0-1	0	0
9W.Castro, LF	2-4	0	0
9W.Castro, 2B	2-4	0	0
9W.Castro, LF	2-4	0	0