Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - August 21, 2024

Diamondbacks at Marlins

10:40 pm • BSFL

Arizona Diamondbacks

0-0

10 - 8

Miami Marlins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Munoz			6.53	2-7
J.Montgomery			6.23	8-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 0-0	-1.5-105	o9-105	-170
Marlins 0-0	+1.5-115	u9-115	+142

Wednesday 10:40 p.m.

August 21, 2024

loanDepot parkMiami

J.Burger o3.5 Total Bases+230

0.99u

J.Pederson o1.5 Total Bases+110

J.Burger o1.5 Total Bases-115

J.Montgomery o5.5 Ks+200

0.25u

Split with a small ladder @PropBetGuy

J.Montgomery o4.5 Ks-110

0.28u

#tailing @PropBetGuy l meant to split .5u for ref

J.Montgomery o4.5 Ks-110

1.1u

Montgomery seems to be turning a corner, finally, after no spring training. His velocity was up a tick in his last start, resulting in 22 whiffs and a 32% CSW% (grain of salt though, it was the Rockies at home). But he’s been missing more bats the last three starts in general. Marlins starting 6 hitters who are or profile with a 24%+ K% vs lefties. I’ll go against the grain here and buy low on Montgomery.

A.Del Castillo o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+105

$52.50

ARI -162

$0.62

MIA +140

ARI o2.5 Team Total (F5)-104

$100.00

2 units

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The Diamondbacks are 16-13 (.552) when their opponents score in the first inning this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .354.

Joc Pederson has an OPS of .958 this season -- ninth best among hitters with at least 187 total PA's-- 97th Percentile. Roddery Munoz has allowed an OPS of .873 (350 PAs) this season -- third worst among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP-- first Percentile.

Jesus Sanchez has struck out in 36% of PA's over the last two weeks -- 13th highest in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Ryne Nelson has a strikeout rate of 42% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 94th Percentile.

Roddery Munoz has allowed a slugging percentage of .533 (162 Total Bases / 304 ABs) this season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .404 -- first Percentile.

Ryne Nelson has a strike rate of 74% (142/191) over the last 14 days -- highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 64% -- 100th Percentile.

Roddery Munoz has allowed an OPS of .922 (104 PA's) versus the bottom of the order this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .649 -- 0 Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Diamondbacks	82-80	37-44	45-36	37-48	43-31

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Diamondbacks	92-64-6	50-29-2	42-35-4	50-33-2	41-29-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Diamondbacks	89-73	44-37	45-36	52-33	35-39

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 20th	ARI	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 7.5	ARI +110
Aug 19th	ARI	L 6-9	+1.5 L	O 8.5	ARI +180
Aug 18th	@NYM	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIA +165
Aug 17th	@NYM	L 0-4	+1.5 L	U 8.5	NYM +160
Aug 16th	@NYM	L 3-7	+1.5 L	O 8.5	NYM +220

Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Ryne Nelson
P
Nelson is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Montgomery, P	88	5.2	4	6
RD.Floro, P	7	0.1	0	0
RK.Ginkel, P	17	1	2	0
LJ.Mantiply, P	12	0.1	0	1
RJ.Martinez, P	31	1.2	4	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Carroll, RF	1-4	1	0	0
2J.McCarthy, CF	1-5	2	1	2
3J.Pederson, DH	1-3	1	0	0
4J.Bell, 1B	1-2	1	0	1
4K.Newman, PR	0-0	1	0	0
4K.Newman, 1B	0-0	1	0	0
5P.Smith, LF	0-2	0	0	1
5R.Grichuk, PH	0-0	1	0	0
5J.Herrera, C	1-1	1	0	1
6A.Del Castillo, C	2-3	0	0	0
6L.Gurriel, PH	2-2	0	0	4
6L.Gurriel, LF	2-2	0	0	4
7E.Suarez, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
8L.Guillorme, 2B	1-5	0	0	0
9G.Perdomo, SS	2-5	2	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Munoz, P	73	3.1	3	3
LK.Emanuel, P	35	2	2	0
RJ.Tinoco, P	30	1.1	2	2
LA.Nardi, P	13	0.1	0	2
RE.Ramirez, P	20	1	1	1
RC.Faucher, P	28	1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1X.Edwards, SS	2-5	1	0	1
2J.Burger, 1B	1-3	1	1	2
3J.Bride, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Sanchez, PH	1-1	1	0	0
4C.Norby, 3B	1-5	1	0	0
5D.Hill, LF	2-4	0	0	0
6O.Lopez, 2B	2-4	1	0	1
7C.Pache, CF	1-4	1	1	2
7K.Stowers, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8D.Hensley, RF	3-5	2	0	0
9A.Sanchez, C	0-2	0	0	0
9V.Brujan, PH	1-1	0	0	1
9N.Fortes, C	0-0	0	0	0