Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - August 20, 2024
Diamondbacks at Marlins
10:40 pm • ARIDStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | 4.95 | 4-8 | |
![]() | ![]() | 5.04 | 3-4 |
Diamondbacks at Marlins Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Diamondbacks 0-2 | -1.5 | -1.5+135 | o7.5-101 | -130 |
![]() Marlins 1-0 | u7.5 | +1.5-161 | u7.5-117 | +110 |
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loanDepot parkMiami
Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Expert Picks
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The Degenerates
186d ago
Last 30d: 77-71-4 (-3.0u)
Over 7.5-115
1.15u
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Top Shelf Action 🥃
186d ago
Last 30d: 541-520-15 (+48.2u)
MIA +115
1u
.tsa home dog playoff team vs sub 58% winning team
Overall: 331-250-0,57% (ROI:21%)
Season:17-25-0,40% (ROI:-14%)
.tsa previous playoff teams at home
Overall: 255-189-0,57% (ROI:23%)
Season:11-17-0,39% (ROI:-16%)
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Picks Office
187d ago
Last 30d: 85-90-2 (-16.3u)
MIA +1.5-135
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Eduardo Rodriguez comes into this game posting a 5.06 ERA over his last 10 innings pitched, and it's indicative of his alarming propensity to bow out on sharp contact. Though the wins have come over his most recent starts for Arizona, he does present shortcoming possibilities against Miami, with right-handed batters owning a .289 OBP against him. And the Marlins have fared well against lefties over the last 30 days, with league-average numbers in OPS and ISO; this would mean that they might have their way against Rodriguez. On the other hand, Rodriguez's ERA hasn't been close to consistent on the road, and that could be truly worrying today against a Marlins club that hasn't struggled with -pressing the action at the batter's box.
Eduardo Cabrera has been the good and improved at home. Even coming after a dreadful performance on the hill just recently against the Phillies, Cabrera has generally showed some good performances against good lineups, which shows that he can recover from it. His home ERA shows a pitcher who can really control the mound and, with the Miami bullpen looking up to the task, there is a good reason to take a shot at this Marlins.
While Arizona's bullpen has been reliable on the whole, Miami rotational pitching too has been surprisingly reliable and should back Cabrera properly. Additionally, the Marlins have an OPS boost when facing left-handed starters at home.
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Player Prop Savant
187d ago
Last 30d: 51-64-4 (-18.9u)
E.Cabrera u15.5 Outs-155
$155.00
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Firefighter Bets
187d ago
Last 30d: 195-151-8 (+30.3u)
J.Pederson o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-105
0.95u
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SpenceBets
187d ago
Last 30d: 2-2-0 (-0.8u)
ARI -141 (F5)
0.35u
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Markus Markets
187d ago
Last 30d: 43-53-4 (+3.7u)
E.Rodriguez o4.5 Ks-120
0.83u
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Brian Bitler
187d ago
Last 30d: 70-78-3 (-36.8u)
MIA +130
3u
PRO Insights
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Diamondbacks
ARI Insights
- Featured Insight
The Diamondbacks have scored 3.0 runs per game in the first five innings this season -- highest in MLB (125 games). The Marlins have allowed 3.1 runs per game in the first five innings this season -- second highest in MLB (124 games).
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Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Previews & Analysis
Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Notes
Keys to the Game
The Diamondbacks are 16-13 (.552) when their opponents score in the first inning this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .354.
The Marlins are just 89-15 (.856) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .897.
The Diamondbacks are 32-23 (.582) after a loss this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .504.
The Marlins are just 41-31 (.569) when they've hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .696.
Matchup Contrasts
Corbin Carroll is batting just .195 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season -- 15th worst in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Edward Cabrera has an average fastball velocity of 96.4 MPH this season -- tied for 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP-- 94th Percentile.
Jake McCarthy is slugging .694 over the last two weeks -- 11th best in MLB-- 95th Percentile. Edward Cabrera has allowed a SLG of .619 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- ninth worst among qualified SPs-- 13th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Edward Cabrera has walked 38 of 244 batters (16%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 179 total IP; League Avg: 7% -- 0 Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has walked 101 of 696 batters (14%) since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 8% -- 0 Percentile.
The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez since last season is 384.2 feet -- tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 399.0
The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez in the 2023 season was 382.0 feet -- 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.8
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 77-85 | 35-46 | 42-39 | 2-15 | 75-70 |
![]() | 82-80 | 37-44 | 45-36 | 37-48 | 43-31 |
Over/Under History
overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 85-66-11 | 53-20-8 | 32-46-3 | 11-5-1 | 74-61-10 |
![]() | 92-64-6 | 50-29-2 | 42-35-4 | 50-33-2 | 41-29-4 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 62-100 | 30-51 | 32-49 | 4-13 | 58-87 |
![]() | 89-73 | 44-37 | 45-36 | 52-33 | 35-39 |
Last 5 Matchups
Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Injury Updates
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Marlins Injuries
- Sandy AlcantaraP
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Max MeyerP
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
- Eury PerezP
Perez is out with elbow
Out
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Diamondbacks Injuries
Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Box Score
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PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 100 | 5.1 | 5 | 1 | |
![]() | 20 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
![]() | 20 | 1.2 | 2 | 0 | |
![]() | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 90 | 6 | 3 | 3 | |
![]() | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
![]() | 19 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
![]() | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Odds Comparison
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Diamondbacks at Marlins Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Diamondbacks 0-2 | o3.5-138 | u3.5+108 |
![]() Marlins 1-0 | o3.5+108 | u3.5-138 |