Mets vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 1, 2023

Mets at Marlins

8:10 pm • BSFL

New York Mets

7-9

6 - 2

Miami Marlins

6-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
E.Cabrera			4.24	7-7
T.Megill			4.70	9-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 7-9	-1.5+151	o8.5-105	-107
Marlins 6-8	+1.5-182	u8.5-110	-114

Saturday 8:10 p.m.

April 01, 2023

loanDepot parkMiami

MIA -111

0.56u

dog to fav

Over 8-110

1.1u

MIA -102

0.51u

P.Alonso o0.5 HR+575

0.1u

Bet at Bet365. Doing 6 HR bets for 0.1U each.

Under 8+100

0.5u

Under 8+100

0.25u

Bet to -105. Market mostly at -110, so staking it small

MIA -100

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-130

0.38u

MIA +104 (F5)

0.5u

#Fish

MIA +110

0.5u

#Fish

MIA +0.5 (F5)-130

1.3u

MIA +106 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to +105

MIA +105

MIA +110

0.5u

Bet to +102

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Saturday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 1, 2023 UTC
Our Staff's Best MLB Bets for Saturday's Slate
Action Network Staff•
Apr 1, 2023 UTC

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The Marlins are just 115-75 (.605) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2021 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .713.

The Mets were 38-28 (.576) vs top 10 scoring offenses in 2022 -- 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .411.

The Marlins are just 22-67 (.247) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2021 season -- 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .295.

The Mets were 89-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning in 2022 -- best in MLB; League Avg: .954.

Francisco Lindor hit 8 home runs on pitches 95 mph or greater last season -- tied for eighth most in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Sandy Alcantara had an average fastball velocity of 97.9 MPH last season -- highest among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

37% of Luis Guillorme strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- second highest among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- 99th Percentile. 38% of Sandy Alcantara's strikeouts came on 95+ MPH fastballs last season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.

Edward Cabrera allowed a BABIP of .207 in 2022 -- tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .289 -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 31st	NYM	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 8	MIA -110
Mar 30th	NYM	L 3-5	+1.5 L	O 7	NYM +108
Mar 26th	@NYM	L 3-3	-	-	-
Mar 26th	WSH	W 2-2	-	-	-
Mar 25th	@STL	L 2-3	-	-	STL +104

Braxton Garrett
P
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Megill, P	93	5	7	2
RD.Santana, P	13	1	2	0
RD.Smith, P	14	0.2	0	0
LB.Raley, P	6	0.1	0	0
RA.Ottavino, P	18	1	2	0
RD.Robertson, P	8	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, CF	1-3	0	0	0
2F.Lindor, SS	1-5	0	0	0
3J.McNeil, RF	1-5	1	0	0
3J.McNeil, 2B	1-5	1	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	2-3	2	0	1
5D.Vogelbach, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5T.Pham, PH	1-1	0	0	0
5T.Pham, DH	1-1	0	0	0
6M.Canha, LF	3-4	3	1	2
7L.Guillorme, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
7S.Marte, PH	1-1	0	0	1
7S.Marte, RF	1-1	0	0	1
8E. Escobar, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
9O.Narvaez, C	2-4	0	0	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RE.Cabrera, P	85	4	2	2
LA.Nardi, P	24	1	1	2
RM.Barnes, P	21	1	1	0
LB.Garrett, P	46	3	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	4-5	0	0	0
2J.Soler, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3G.Cooper, 1B	1-5	0	0	0
4J.Chisholm, CF	1-3	0	0	0
5B.De La Cruz, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6J. Segura, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
7J.Sanchez, RF	1-3	1	0	0
8N.Fortes, C	2-4	1	1	2
9J.Wendle, SS	0-4	0	0	0