Nationals vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - May 30, 2024

Nationals at Braves

11:20 pm • MASN

Washington Nationals

0-0

3 - 1

Atlanta Braves

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Kerr			5.64	1-2
T.Williams			2.03	6-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 0-0	+1.5-126	o9-110	+155
Braves 0-2	-1.5+105	u9-110	-187

Thursday 11:20 p.m.

May 30, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

R.Kerr o3.5 Ks-132

0.76u

R.Kerr o0.5 Ks+270

0.68u

Winker 1st PA K

WSH +1.5-125

1.6u

Under 9-109

$1000.00

ATL u4.5 Team Total+105

1.05u

Over 8.5-115

1.73u

WSH +1.5-120

0.83u

ATL o4.5 Team Total-130

$65.00

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-110

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Featured Insight
Braves hitters have a hard-hit rate of 44% this season -- best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 43% against the Nationals RPs this season -- second worst in MLB.

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .428.

28% of Austin Riley strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since the 2022 season -- 11th highest in MLB-- 90th Percentile. 45% of MacKenzie Gore's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs since the 2022 season -- 14th highest among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP-- 92nd Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has walked 19 of 399 right-handed batters (5%) since the 2022 season -- 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 8% -- 95th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 39% of Trevor Williams' non-fastballs (872/2,239) since the 2022 season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 150 total IP; League Avg: 48% -- first Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .135 (34 Total Bases / 252 ABs) with two-strikes since last season -- 3rd best among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .241 -- 97th Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 38% of Trevor Williams' non-fastballs (632/1,648) since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 86 total IP; League Avg: 48% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 29th	WSH	L 2-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	WSH -150
May 28th	WSH	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -252
May 27th	WSH	L 4-8	-1.5 L	O 9	WSH -210
May 26th	@PIT	W 8-1	-1.5 W	O 8	ATL -238
May 25th	@PIT	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	PIT -154

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Alex Call
OF
Call is out with foot
Out
Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Cade Cavalli
P
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Williams, P	95	5.2	4	1
RD.Floro, P	14	1	2	0
LR.Garcia, P	2	0.1	0	0
RH.Harvey, P	13	1	1	0
RK.Finnegan, P	20	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	0-5	0	0
2L.Thomas, RF	1-4	1	0
3J.Meneses, 1B	2-4	1	2
3J.Gallo, 1B	0-0	0	0
4J.Winker, DH	1-4	0	1
5K.Ruiz, C	0-3	0	0
6N.Senzel, 3B	2-3	0	0
7I.Vargas, 2B	0-3	0	0
8E.Rosario, LF	0-3	0	0
9J.Young, CF	2-3	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LR.Kerr, P	76	3.2	7	3
RJ.Chavez, P	26	2.1	2	0
RJ.Jimenez, P	10	1	1	0
RJ.Herget, P	26	2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Harris, CF	0-3	0	1
2A.Riley, 3B	0-4	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	2-4	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	0-3	0	0
5O.Albies, 2B	2-3	0	0
6O.Arcia, SS	0-3	0	0
7S.Murphy, C	0-4	0	0
8A.Duvall, RF	0-4	0	0
9J.Kelenic, LF	1-3	1	0