Nationals vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - May 12, 2024

Nationals at Red Sox

5:35 pm • MASN

Washington Nationals

8-8

2 - 3

Boston Red Sox

8-7

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Bello			4.49	14-8
M.Gore			3.90	10-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 8-8	+1.5	+1.5-180	o7.5-116	+116
Red Sox 8-7	u8.5	-1.5+150	u7.5-103	-136

Sunday 5:35 p.m.

May 12, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

Under 7.5-102

0.98u

Under 8-118

WSH +110 (F5)

WSH +120

M.Gore o6.5 Ks+100

0.5u

WSH +136

Featured Insight
The Nationals have scored 1.5 runs per game in close and late situations this season -- tied for fourth highest in MLB (26 games). The Red Sox have allowed 1.5 runs per game in close and late situations this season -- fifth highest in MLB (24 games).

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Featured Insight
The Red Sox are batting .248 versus relief pitchers since the 2022 season -- fourth best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .252 (1,316-for-5,212) against Nationals RPs since the 2022 season -- fifth worst in MLB.

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The Nationals are just 40-56 (.417) at home since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.

Rafael Devers has an OPS of .865 since the 2022 season -- 11th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Andres Machado has allowed an OPS of .779 (468 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 10th worst among qualified RPs-- sixth Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (83/449) against Brayan Bello on pitches in the strike zone since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 42% (31/74) against MacKenzie Gore this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 11th	WSH	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	BOS -161
May 10th	WSH	L 1-5	-1.5 L	U 8.5	WSH -219
May 8th	@ATL	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	ATL +175
May 7th	@ATL	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 8.5	ATL +157
May 5th	@MIN	W 9-2	+1.5 W	O 7.5	BOS +160

Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out

Rafael Devers
IF
Devers is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LM.Gore, P	111	6	9	2
RD.Law, P	14	1	2	0
RD.Floro, P	8	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Abrams, SS	2-4	0	0	0
2L.Garcia, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Meneses, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4J.Winker, LF	0-2	0	0	0
4T.Lipscomb, PH	0-2	0	0	0
4T.Lipscomb, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
5N.Senzel, DH	1-2	1	0	0
5J.Young, PR	0-0	0	0	0
6E.Rosario, RF	1-2	1	1	2
7I.Vargas, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7I.Vargas, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8R.Adams, C	1-2	0	0	0
9V.Robles, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Bello, P	68	5	1	2
LC.Booser, P	7	1	1	0
RZ.Kelly, P	24	1	0	0
RC.Martin, P	8	1	1	0
RK.Jansen, P	14	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Gonzalez, SS	1-3	0	0
1W.Abreu, PH	0-1	0	0
1W.Abreu, RF	0-1	0	0
2R.Refsnyder, DH	1-4	0	0
3T.O'Neill, RF	0-3	0	0
3T.O'Neill, LF	0-3	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	1-4	0	0
5C.Wong, C	0-3	0	0
6G.Cooper, 1B	2-3	1	0
6D.Smith, PH	0-1	0	0
6D.Smith, 1B	0-1	0	0
7V.Grissom, 2B	1-4	1	0
8J.Duran, LF	0-3	1	0
8J.Duran, CF	0-3	1	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	1-3	0	2
9C.Rafaela, SS	1-3	0	2