Nationals vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - May 10, 2024

Nationals at Red Sox

11:10 pm • NESN

Washington Nationals

0-0

5 - 1

Boston Red Sox

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Houck			3.12	9-10
P.Corbin			5.62	6-13

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nationals 0-0	+1.5-110	o8.5-107	+182
Red Sox 0-0	-1.5-110	u8.5-112	-219

Friday 11:10 p.m.

May 10, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

P.Corbin u4.5 Ks+105

1.05u

Projections leans towards the under in this matchup and +ev bet with devig odds of -117 giving value to this number

Under 8.5-122

0.82u

... under when home team shutout Overall: 415-292-41,59% (ROI:13%) Season:4-2-1,67% (ROI:25%)

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-105

1.05u

WSH +176

5.28u

WSH u3.5 Team Total-115

1.15u

BOS -190 (F5)

1.9u

BOS -190 (F5)

0.48u

Small to -210

Featured Insight
Nationals right-handed hitters have struck out just 16% against LHP over the last two weeks -- tied for third lowest in MLB. Red Sox RPs have a strikeout rate of just 19% vs right-handed batters over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Red Sox have scored in at least three different innings in 51% of their games since the 2022 season -- fourth highest in MLB. Nationals have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 54% of their games since the 2022 season -- second highest in MLB.

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The Nationals are just 40-56 (.417) at home since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .519.

Keibert Ruiz has an OPS of just .421 this season -- 10th worst among hitters with at least 51 total PA's-- second Percentile. Tanner Houck has allowed an OPS of just .529 (181 PAs) this season -- eighth best among qualified SPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Rafael Devers has an OPS of .867 since the 2022 season -- 11th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Andres Machado has allowed an OPS of .779 (468 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 10th worst among qualified RPs-- fifth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .342 (53-for-155) against Patrick Corbin this season -- highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .233 -- second Percentile.

Patrick Corbin has allowed a slugging percentage of .555 (86 Total Bases / 155 ABs) this season -- highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: .371 -- second Percentile.

Hitters have swung at 71% of Tanner Houck's pitches (129/182) with two-strikes this season -- highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 60% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Nationals	89-73	44-37	45-36	14-12	75-59

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Nationals	76-78-8	37-39-5	39-39-3	9-16-1	65-62-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Nationals	71-91	38-43	33-48	15-11	56-78

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 8th	@ATL	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	ATL +175
May 7th	@ATL	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 8.5	ATL +157
May 5th	@MIN	W 9-2	+1.5 W	O 7.5	BOS +160
May 4th	@MIN	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 7.5	MIN +150
May 4th	@MIN	L 2-5	-1.5 L	U 7.5	MIN +103

Alex Call
OF
Call is out with foot
Out
Josiah Gray
P
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
Cade Cavalli
P
Cavalli is out with elbow
Out

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LP.Corbin, P	86	5	4	1
RD.Law, P	15	0.2	0	0
LR.Garcia, P	6	0.1	1	0
RH.Harvey, P	15	1	1	0
RD.Floro, P	10	1	0	0
RJ.Barnes, P	24	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Young, CF	0-4	0	0
2C.Abrams, SS	0-4	0	0
3L.Garcia, 2B	1-4	1	0
4J.Meneses, 1B	1-4	0	1
5J.Winker, DH	0-4	0	0
6K.Ruiz, C	1-4	1	0
7E.Rosario, LF	2-4	2	0
8T.Lipscomb, 3B	1-2	1	2
9V.Robles, RF	2-4	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Houck, P	95	7	4	3
LB.Bernardino, P	8	1	1	0
RK.Jansen, P	22	1	3	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	1-5	0	0
1J.Duran, CF	1-5	0	0
2R.Refsnyder, DH	0-3	0	0
3T.O'Neill, RF	1-5	0	0
3T.O'Neill, LF	1-5	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	0-3	0	0
5C.Wong, C	2-4	1	0
6V.Grissom, 2B	1-4	0	0
7G.Cooper, 1B	1-3	0	1
7D.Smith, PH	0-1	0	0
7D.Smith, 1B	0-1	0	0
8R.Gonzalez, SS	1-2	0	0
8W.Abreu, PH	1-1	0	0
8W.Abreu, RF	1-1	0	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	1-3	0	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	1-3	0	0