Padres vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - April 15, 2024

Padres at Brewers

11:40 pm • BSWI

San Diego Padres

4-3

7 - 3

Milwaukee Brewers

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Ross			3.77	3-6
J.Musgrove			3.88	6-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 4-3	-1.5	-1.5+152	o8.5-108	-105
Brewers 1-2	u8.5	+1.5-185	u8.5-113	-115

Monday 11:40 p.m.

April 15, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

MIL -115

Over 8.5-105

1.5u

SD -104

1.5u

I hate the fucking Brewers

J.Ross u17.5 Outs-120

J.Ross u4.5 Ks+105

1.05u

Over 8.5+100

0.5u

MIL +118

0.5u

Superbook. Bet to +110

Featured Insight
Padres hitters have an OPS of .825 over the last week -- sixth best in MLB. Brewers RPs have allowed an OPS of .759 (94 PAs) over the last week -- eighth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Brewers have struck out just 20% over the last week -- eighth lowest in MLB. Padres have a strikeout rate of just 21% over the last week -- tied for seventh lowest in MLB.

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The Brewers are 28-0 (1.000) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

Xander Bogaerts is batting .309 on breaking pitches since the 2022 season -- third best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Elvis Peguero has thrown his slider 54% of the time since the 2022 season -- 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

William Contreras has a hard-hit rate of 49% on inside fastballs since the 2022 season -- seventh best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Joe Musgrove has located his fastball inside 46% of the time since the 2022 season -- fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Joe Ross has located his fastball up for a strike just 38% (18/47) of the time this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 60% -- 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 28% (13/47) against Joe Ross on elevated fastballs this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 48% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Brewers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 14th	@BAL	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 9	BAL +185
Apr 13th	@BAL	W 11-5	+1.5 W	O 8	MIL +124
Apr 12th	@BAL	W 11-1	-1.5 W	O 8.5	MIL -125
Apr 10th	@CIN	W 7-2	+1.5 W	O 8.5	MIL +120
Apr 9th	@CIN	W 9-5	+1.5 W	O 9	MIL +115

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is out with back
Out
Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Musgrove, P	94	6	3	3
RE.De Los Santos, P	16	1	1	0
RS.Kolek, P	26	1.2	1	0
RR.Suarez, P	9	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1X.Bogaerts, 2B	1-5	1	0
2F.Tatis, RF	0-4	0	1
3J.Cronenworth, 1B	0-3	2	0
3B.Sullivan, 1B	0-0	0	0
4M.Machado, DH	2-5	1	1
5J.Profar, LF	1-5	0	0
6H.Kim, SS	1-3	1	1
7J.Merrill, CF	3-5	0	2
8L.Campusano, C	2-5	1	1
9T.Wade, 3B	1-3	1	0
9E.Rosario, PH	1-1	0	0
9E.Rosario, 3B	1-1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Ross, P	80	4.2	4	6
RT.Vieira, P	45	2.1	2	0
LJ.Koenig, P	31	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Chourio, RF	2-4	2	1	2
2W.Contreras, C	2-3	0	0	0
3S.Frelick, LF	1-5	0	0	0
4W.Adames, SS	1-2	0	0	1
5R.Hoskins, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
6B.Turang, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
7G.Sanchez, DH	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Bauers, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8B.Perkins, CF	1-4	0	0	0
9J.Ortiz, 3B	1-3	1	0	0
9O.Dunn, PH	1-1	0	0	0