Padres vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - August 26, 2024

Padres at Cardinals

11:45 pm • SDPA
7 - 4
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Kyle Gibson logoK.GibsonSt. Louis Cardinals logo4.248-8
Randy Vasquez logoR.VasquezSan Diego Padres logo4.874-7

Padres at Cardinals Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres
4-3
-1.5
PK-112
o9-108
+101
Cardinals
0-0
u9.5
PK-105
u9-110
-120
location pinMonday 11:45 p.m.
August 26, 2024
Busch StadiumSt. Louis
Padres vs. Cardinals Expert Picks
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
88d ago
Last 30d: 123-111-1 (+16.4u)
Over 5 (F5)+100
1u
Tailing @rsura_
Greg Matherne
Greg Matherne
88d ago
Last 30d: 32-39-0 (+0.0u)
Under 9+100
0.5u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
88d ago
Last 30d: 26-44-0 (-3.9u)
Under 9+100
0.5u
Bet to -112
Prop Hunter
Prop Hunter
88d ago
Last 30d: 29-38-0 (-8.7u)
J.Merrill o1.5 Total Bases-115
1u
Picks  Office
Picks Office
88d ago
Last 30d: 93-108-0 (-22.9u)
Under 9.5-125
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice The Cardinals Counter with a solid contributor this season in Kyle Gibson, who enters with a 7-5 record, a 4.22 ERA and 126 strikeouts in 136 1/3 innings. One encouraging meter for is Gibson's last outing, where he was very solid against the Brewers, allowing two earned runs over 5 1/3 frames of work. Most of this season, his ability to get through lineups without yielding much damage has been quite solid, thereby marking him as an option one can trust to keep the game's score low. Kyle Gibson shows a high Whiff% (26.4%) and a moderate Swing% (43.4%), indicating that he induces a good number of swings and misses. The Padres will counter with Randy Vazquez. Although Vazquez has shown flashes of brilliance this season, he will be teamed with a bullpen that really slams the door shut after the sixth inning with regularity. All trends for how the Padres perform on the road lean toward Under, with more total games going under than over when away from San Diego, an indication of a struggle to score on the road. The Cardinals also trend toward the Under with recent games going under in 7 of the last 10. This is part of a larger trend for them of lower-scoring affairs, particularly against teams with decent pitching. We find that the Cardinals rank 24th in runs per game (4.09), 23rd in batting average (.245), and 20th in OPS (.697). These rankings give a below-average performance along offense. The Cardinals have a better home record, still not hitting as well at home, with their low home AF of 4.33. The Cardinals were shut out in their last game, indicating recent struggles in scoring runs, 0-1 against Minnesota. This season, the Padres' bullpen yields a 2.38 ERA in 328.1 innings. With the backup of a 1.09 WHIP, it shows that they can prevent any one of scoring base runners, thus killing most of opponents' offenses. This bullpen has been on fire lately: in the last three games, it has set a phenomenal ERA of 1.95 and WHIP of 0.80 over 27.2 innings. This just makes them a danger as they begin to peak at the right time. Relievers like Sean Reynolds has been lights-out, not allowing an earned run and maintaining a solid WHIP at 1.07. Meanwhile, Adam has been sparkling, posting an earned run average of 0.82, and he allows extraordinarily few base runners with a WHIP of just 0.64 through eleven innings of work, surrendering only one earned run. On the other hand, the Cardinal bullpen has been effective—though not dominant—compared to the Padre one. They boast a decent 3.27 ERA in 385.2 innings to go with a 1.17 WHIP but more on the hot side recently, particularly in their previous three contests, they allowed just a 1.69 ERA and 1.25 WHIP in those 21.2 innings. Among prime arms for the Cardinals, Ryan Helsley's ERA is 2.47, and his WHIP is 1.21 over 54.2 innings so far, the last three innings to be prize-free. Another trustworthy pitcher is A. Kittredge, whose ERA is 1.38 and whose WHIP is 1.13 to strongly position himself in the bound box when it comes to selectivity in high leverage situations, J. It only reinforces the capacity of this bullpen to keep games low-scoring when you add in Romero's ERA of 1.38 over 51.2 innings and no earned runs in his last 3.
Capper Central
Capper Central
88d ago
Last 30d: 74-70-0 (-9.4u)
STL -118
$1000.00
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
88d ago
Last 30d: 54-64-0 (-14.6u)
J.Merrill o1.5 Total Bases-110
0.91u
L.Nootbaar o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120
1u
Ryan Sura
Ryan Sura
88d ago
Last 30d: 90-107-5 (-21.5u)
Over 5.5 (F5)+100
1u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
88d ago
Last 30d: 153-191-1 (-42.5u)
SD +100
2u
JB Bets
JB Bets
88d ago
Last 30d: 56-52-0 (+7.1u)
SD +100
1u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
88d ago
Last 30d: 74-77-3 (-10.8u)
SD +100
1u
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
88d ago
Last 30d: 105-101-4 (-7.6u)
Over 5.5 (F5)+100
1.5u
SD is top 8 in BA in the L7 & L15 days & happen to hit MUCH better away (.282) vs RHP (.275). Today, they’re away vs K. Gibson who’s a RHP allowing a .306 BA at home & a .275 BA at night. He’s already allowed 27 hits for 15 runs this month. SD will definitely get theirs in the early innings. STL bats have not been great, but this is a great bounce back spot coming off of a series W vs MIN & facing R. Vasquez who really struggles away allowing a .343 BA & a .316 BA when pitching at night. He’s also allowing a .382 BA to lefties which there will be 5 of in this expected lineup. Both bullpens are good with decent health so I’m isolating this to the F5.

PRO Insights

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Padres

SD Insights
  • Padres logoPadres left-handed hitters have struck out just 19% against RHP since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB. Cardinals have a strikeout rate of just 20% vs left-handed batters since last season -- third lowest in MLB.
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Cardinals logo

Cardinals

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    Padres vs. Cardinals Notes

    Prop Odds Comparison

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    Line Movement Tracker

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    Padres vs. Cardinals Public Betting Percentages

    32%

    Bets%

    68%

    Money%

    Matchup History

    Against the Spread (ATS) History

    overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
    Cardinals
    80-8242-3938-4328-4951-33
    Padres
    82-7835-4547-3343-5737-19

    Over/Under History

    overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
    Cardinals
    74-83-537-42-237-41-339-3834-45-5
    Padres
    81-74-544-34-237-40-351-44-528-28

    Straight-Up (ML) History

    overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
    Cardinals
    83-7944-3739-4239-3843-41
    Padres
    93-6945-3547-3358-4231-25

    Last 5 Matchups

    dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
    Aug 25th@MINW 3-2+1.5 WU 8.5STL +120
    Aug 24th@MINL 0-6+1.5 LU 7.5MIN +120
    Aug 24th@MINW 6-1+1.5 WU 8.5STL +130
    Aug 22ndMILW 3-0+1.5 WU 8STL +108
    Aug 21stMILW 10-6+1.5 WO 7.5STL -118

    Cardinals vs. Padres Injury Updates

    Cardinals Injuries

    • Sonny Gray
      P

      Gray is out with arm

      Out

    • Willson Contreras
      C

      Contreras is out with finger

      Out

    Padres Injuries

    • Mason McCoy
      IF

      McCoy is out with back

      Out

    Padres vs. Cardinals Box Score
    Padres Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Randy Vasquez logoRR.Vasquez, P91622
    Adrian Morejon logoLA.Morejon, P28111
    Tanner Scott logoLT.Scott, P10100
    Robert Suarez logoRR.Suarez, P19101
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Luis Arraez logo1L.Arraez, DH1-5000
    Jurickson Profar logo2J.Profar, LF0-2200
    Jake Cronenworth logo3J.Cronenworth, 1B1-4200
    Manny Machado logo4M.Machado, 3B2-4313
    Xander Bogaerts logo5X.Bogaerts, 2B1-3001
    Jackson Merrill logo6J.Merrill, CF2-4003
    David Peralta logo7D.Peralta, RF1-4000
    Bryce Johnson logo7B.Johnson, PR0-0000
    Bryce Johnson logo7B.Johnson, RF0-0000
    Kyle Higashioka logo8K.Higashioka, C0-3000
    Mason McCoy logo9M.McCoy, SS0-4000
    Cardinals Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Kyle Gibson logoRK.Gibson, P904.127
    Matthew Liberatore logoLM.Liberatore, P35210
    Shawn Armstrong logoRS.Armstrong, P281.110
    John King logoLJ.King, P10.100
    Kyle Leahy logoRK.Leahy, P8100
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Masyn Winn logo1M.Winn, SS3-4200
    Alec Burleson logo2A.Burleson, LF3-5002
    Alec Burleson logo2A.Burleson, RF3-5002
    Nolan Arenado logo3N.Arenado, 3B0-5000
    Lars Nootbaar logo4L.Nootbaar, RF0-3000
    Tommy Pham logo4T.Pham, PH0-1000
    Tommy Pham logo4T.Pham, LF0-1000
    Ivan Herrera logo5I.Herrera, C0-3100
    Brendan Donovan logo6B.Donovan, 2B3-4100
    Paul Goldschmidt logo7P.Goldschmidt, 1B1-4001
    Matt Carpenter logo8M.Carpenter, DH0-1001
    Luken Baker logo8L.Baker, PH0-2000
    Luken Baker logo8L.Baker, DH0-2000
    Victor Scott logo9V.Scott, CF1-4000

    Padres vs. Cardinals Odds Comparison

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    Padres at Cardinals Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Padres
    4-3
    o4.5+105
    u4.5-135
    Cardinals
    0-0
    o4.5+100
    u4.5-130