Rays vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - August 27, 2024

Rays at Mariners

1:40 am • BSSUN

Tampa Bay Rays

0-0

1 - 5

Seattle Mariners

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Miller			2.95	12-8
R.Pepiot			3.60	8-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 0-0	-1.5	+1.5-205	o7+105	+110
Mariners 0-0	u7	-1.5+170	u7-120	-130

Tuesday 1:40 a.m.

August 27, 2024

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

Under 7-114

0.88u

SEA -1.5+170

1.7u

TB +115

R.Pepiot o15.5 Outs-130

SEA -132

$757.58

SEA -135

Under 7-110

Under 3.5 (F5)-102

1.02u

TB +115

0.75u

2 ELITE pitchers are on the mound for each team. Pepiot for TB & Miller for SEA, each with pretty flawless numbers and great splits. My approach here is K rate which can be the difference maker. On the L30 day, SEA is 27th in K’s with TB slightly better at 22nd (nothing crazy). Looking at both bullpens, Seattle is ranked 26th in K’s where TB pen has the 8th most K’s this season. Advantage TB. Pepiot has a 29% K rate on the reason where Miller has a 25% K rate. Advantage TB. The total is set super low, which makes sense with these 2 pitchers on the mound vs struggling bats. My angle is taking the team who should strike out less to win in a close, low scoring game.

R.Pepiot u1.5 Earned Runs+125

B.Miller u17.5 Outs+155

This is powered by BetAlytics MLB pitcher prop dashboard 🔑 Bryce Miller u17.5 outs +155 (DraftKings) 2u A grade, 13% edge on the market, and an expected win probability of 53%. Best value for this that I found is on DraftKings. Always line shop! BOL if you tail or fade 🤝 Join 👉🔗 BetAlytics.com Promo code: LOCKSELOT for 25% off

Featured Insight
Opponents are hitting just .221 (947-for-4,287) against Rays RPs since last season -- best in MLB. The Mariners are batting just .219 versus relief pitchers since last season -- tied for second worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Mariners have allowed just 3.8 runs per game this season -- lowest in MLB (130 games). The Rays have scored just 3.9 runs per game this season -- third lowest in MLB (129 games).

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The Mariners are 53-1 (.981) when leading entering the 9th inning this season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .946.

32% of Yandy Diaz strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- eighth highest in MLB-- 95th Percentile. 44% of Bryce Miller's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- 10th highest among qualified SPs-- 85th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 31 of Mariners' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	74-88	38-43	36-45	47-62	26-26
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	76-76-10	31-45-5	45-31-5	50-55-4	25-21-6
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	85-77	49-32	36-45	62-47	23-29
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 25th	SF	W 4-3	-1.5 L	U 7	SEA -142
Aug 24th	SF	L 3-4	+1.5 W	O 6	SF -115
Aug 24th	SF	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 7	SEA -155
Aug 22nd	@LAD	L 4-8	+1.5 L	O 7.5	LAD +160
Aug 21st	@LAD	L 3-6	+1.5 L	U 9	LAD +140

Shane McClanahan
P
McClanahan is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Pepiot, P		96	6	6	2
RE.Ramirez, P		14	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.Carlson, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2B.Lowe, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Caminero, DH	0-3	0	0	0
4C.Morel, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
5J.Lowe, RF	2-3	1	1	1
6J.DeLuca, CF	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Caballero, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8B.Rortvedt, C	0-3	0	0	0
9T.Walls, SS	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Miller, P	91	7	10	1
RA.Voth, P	19	1	1	0
RT.Thornton, P	20	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Raley, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
2J.Rodriguez, CF	0-4	1	0	0
3C.Raleigh, C	1-3	1	0	0
4R.Arozarena, LF	1-3	1	1	3
5J.Polanco, 2B	1-4	1	1	1
6J.Turner, DH	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Rojas, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
8D.Canzone, RF	0-2	0	0	0
9L.Rivas, SS	1-3	0	0	1