Rays vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - May 14, 2024

Rays at Red Sox

11:10 pm • NESN

Tampa Bay Rays

7-7

4 - 5

Boston Red Sox

8-7

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Pivetta			4.14	6-12
A.Civale			5.07	2-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 7-7	+1.5-192	o9.5-102	+105
Red Sox 8-7	-1.5+162	u9.5-115	-125

Tuesday 11:10 p.m.

May 14, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

BOS o4.5 Team Total+110

1.1u

BOS -116 (F5)

0.25u

Small to -120

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-110

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)+100

Caesars line

Over 8.5-115

Featured Insight
The Rays are batting .278 with RISP since last season -- third best in MLB. Opponents are hitting .272 (237-for-871) against Red Sox RPs with RISP since last season -- fifth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Red Sox hitters have a groundball rate of 48% over the last two weeks -- fourth highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Rays over the last two weeks -- lowest in MLB.

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The Red Sox are just 42-54 (.438) after a home loss since the 2022 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.

The Rays are 44-14 (.759) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .573.

The Red Sox are just 44-59 (.427) after a loss since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.

Ceddanne Rafaela has a swing rate of 46% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- sixth highest among hitters with at least 57 total PA's-- 96th Percentile. Opponents are hitting .476 (10-for-21) against Aaron Civale on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- fourth worst among qualified SPs-- fourth Percentile.

Yandy Diaz is batting .304 on breaking pitches from RHP since the 2022 season -- fourth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Nick Pivetta has thrown a breaking pitch 48% of the time since the 2022 season -- 14th highest among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP-- 92nd Percentile.

Nick Pivetta has a strikeout rate of 40% (34 SO in 85 PAs) in late innings since last season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 22% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 32% (40/124) against Aaron Civale this season -- 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 23% -- fourth Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 13th	TB	L 3-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	TB -118
May 12th	WSH	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 7.5	BOS -136
May 11th	WSH	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	BOS -161
May 10th	WSH	L 1-5	-1.5 L	U 8.5	WSH -219
May 8th	@ATL	L 0-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	ATL +175

Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out

Rafael Devers
IF
Devers is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Civale, P	76	5	6	3
RS.Armstrong, P	18	1	3	0
RP.Maton, P	13	1	1	0
LG.Cleavinger, P	18	1	2	0
RP.Fairbanks, P	9	1	2	0
RJ.Adam, P	9	1	0	0
RM.Rodriguez, P	19	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	0-5	0	0	0
2R.Arozarena, LF	1-5	2	1	1
3J.Lowe, RF	2-4	2	1	1
4I.Paredes, DH	2-5	0	0	1
5A.Rosario, 3B	2-5	0	0	0
5A.Rosario, SS	2-5	0	0	0
6J.DeLuca, CF	1-4	0	0	0
7R.Palacios, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
8J.Caballero, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8J.Aranda, PH	0-2	0	0	0
8J.Aranda, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
9A.Jackson, C	0-3	0	0	0
9H.Ramirez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9B.Rortvedt, C	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Pivetta, P	81	5.2	8	2
RJ.Slaten, P	23	1.1	2	1
RC.Martin, P	11	1	2	0
RK.Jansen, P	12	1	0	0
RZ.Kelly, P	21	2	2	0
LB.Bernardino, P	17	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	0-4	0	0	0
2W.Abreu, RF	0-3	0	0	0
2R.Refsnyder, PH	1-2	0	0	1
2R.Refsnyder, LF	1-2	0	0	1
3C.Wong, DH	1-4	1	0	0
3C.Wong, C	1-4	1	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	1-5	1	0	0
5T.O'Neill, LF	1-4	1	0	0
5T.O'Neill, RF	1-4	1	0	0
6D.Smith, 1B	1-3	0	0	2
6R.Gonzalez, PR	1-1	0	0	1
6R.Gonzalez, 1B	1-1	0	0	1
7V.Grissom, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
8R.McGuire, C	0-4	0	0	0
8D.Hamilton, PR	0-0	1	0	0
8D.Hamilton, SS	0-0	1	0	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	1-3	1	1	1
9C.Rafaela, 3B	1-3	1	1	1