Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - September 24, 2024

Red Sox at Blue Jays

11:07 pm • NESN

Boston Red Sox

0-0

6 - 5

Toronto Blue Jays

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Francis			3.30	8-5
B.Bello			4.49	14-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 0-0	-1.5	+1.5-200	o8+100	+109
Blue Jays 0-0	u8.5	-1.5+164	u8-118	-128

Tuesday 11:07 p.m.

September 24, 2024

Rogers CentreToronto

BOS +105

3.15u

TOR -125

0.5u

@Zerillo

TOR -130 (F5)

0.38u

@Zerillo

TOR -0.5 (F5)+105

1.58u

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)+105

B.Francis u5.5 Ks+125

1.25u

TOR -125

TOR -130

1.3u

Johnny

TOR -120

0.6u

Bet to -133

TOR -121 (F5)

0.41u

Flat to -140

Featured Insight
Red Sox hitters have a hard-hit rate of 41% this season -- fifth best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 42% against the Blue Jays RPs this season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Blue Jays had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score last season -- lowest in MLB. The Red Sox answered-back in just 29% of innings after an opponent scored last season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB.

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The Blue Jays are just 61-32 (.656) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.

Tyler O'Neill has 10 home runs on breaking pitches this season -- tied for 15th most in MLB-- 96th Percentile. Brendon Little has thrown his curveball 32% of the time this season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 85th Percentile.

Spencer Horwitz is batting just .167 on changeups this season -- tied for 10th worst among hitters with at least 234 total PA's-- eighth Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .178 (32-for-180) on Brayan Bello changeups this season -- tied for ninth best among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP-- 87th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 6% (1/16) against Bowden Francis in his last two starts -- lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% -- first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .191 (93-for-486) against Bowden Francis since last season -- 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: .246 -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Blue Jays are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Blue Jays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Blue Jays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	83-79	35-46	48-33	38-41	43-37
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Blue Jays	81-77-4	45-34-2	36-43-2	39-39-1	41-36-3
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	74-88	39-42	35-46	44-35	27-53
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 23rd	BOS	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8	BOS -118
Sep 22nd	@TB	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 7.5	TB +112
Sep 21st	@TB	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 7.5	TB +120
Sep 20th	@TB	L 0-1	-1.5 L	U 8	TB -125
Sep 19th	@TEX	W 4-0	+1.5 W	U 7.5	TOR +114

Bo Bichette
IF
Bichette is out with finger
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Bello, P	75	4	4	2
RL.Sims, P	24	1	0	1
RJ.Slaten, P	17	1	1	0
RL.Garcia, P	7	1	0	0
RL.Guerrero, P	12	1	0	0
RC.Shugart, P	16	0.2	0	0
RC.Martin, P	15	1	1	0
LZ.Penrod, P	11	0.1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Duran, LF	1-5	1	0
1J.Duran, CF	1-5	1	0
2R.Gonzalez, 3B	1-5	1	0
2R.Gonzalez, LF	1-5	1	0
3T.Casas, 1B	1-3	0	0
3M.Gasper, PR	0-0	1	0
3M.Gasper, 1B	0-0	1	0
4T.Story, SS	2-5	1	1
5M.Yoshida, DH	0-4	0	1
5C.Wong, PR	0-1	0	1
5C.Wong, DH	0-1	0	1
5C.Wong, C	0-1	0	1
6V.Grissom, 2B	3-4	1	1
7W.Abreu, RF	0-2	1	0
7N.Sogard, PH	0-2	0	0
7N.Sogard, 3B	0-2	0	0
8D.Jansen, C	2-4	0	0
8T.O'Neill, PR	0-0	0	0
8E.Valdez, 3B	0-0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	1-4	0	2
9C.Rafaela, RF	1-4	0	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Francis, P	71	5	4	0
LE.Lucas, P	35	1.2	1	2
RR.Burr, P	17	0.1	1	0
LG.Cabrera, P	24	0.2	1	1
RC.Green, P	10	1.1	0	0
RT.Nance, P	13	1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1G.Springer, RF	1-5	0	0
2N.Lukes, LF	0-2	1	1
3V.Guerrero, DH	1-4	0	2
4S.Horwitz, 1B	0-4	0	0
4S.Berroa, PR	0-0	0	0
5A.Kirk, C	1-4	0	1
5J.Clase, PR	0-0	0	0
6A.Barger, 3B	1-4	0	0
7E.Clement, SS	0-4	0	0
8D.Schneider, 2B	0-3	2	0
9J.Loperfido, CF	0-2	1	0
9L.Jimenez, PH	1-1	1	1