Red Sox vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - September 2, 2024

Red Sox at Mets

11:10 pm • SNY

Boston Red Sox

0-0

1 - 4

New York Mets

7-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Severino			3.91	11-7
B.Bello			4.49	14-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 0-0	-1.5+160	o8-115	-104
Mets 7-6	+1.5-192	u8-105	-117

Monday 11:10 p.m.

September 02, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

J.Duran o1.5 Total Bases+115

NYM o3.5 Team Total-132

Over 8-105

1.05u

Under 8-105

0.95u

.tsa windy unders Overall: 717-478-46,60% (ROI:15%) Season:29-27-1,52% (ROI:1%)

B.Nimmo o0.5 HR+625

0.15u

NYM -115

0.87u

Under 8.5-125

$1600.00

NYM -120

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-120

BOS o1.5 Team Total (F5)-150

1.5u

Layin’ The 🧃

Under 8-105

0.48u

Flat to -110

Featured Insight
The Red Sox have scored in at least three different innings in 57% of their games this season -- second highest in MLB. Mets have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 50% of their games this season -- fifth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Mets RPs have a strikeout rate of 27% vs right-handed batters this season -- highest in MLB. Red Sox right-handed hitters have struck out 29% against LHP this season -- highest in MLB.

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The Red Sox are just 18-19 (.486) after a home loss this season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

The Red Sox are just 55-48 (.534) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.

Jarren Duran is batting .295 since last season -- 12th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Left handed batters are hitting .289 (139-for-481) against Luis Severino since last season -- tied for third worst among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP-- fourth Percentile.

Rafael Devers is slugging .525 since last season -- 14th best in MLB-- 88th Percentile. Luis Severino has allowed a SLG of .497 vs left-handed batters since last season -- third worst among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP-- second Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (80/471) against Brayan Bello since last season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total IP; League Avg: 24% -- 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 20% (89/448) against Luis Severino this season -- 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- 98th Percentile.

Luis Severino has allowed an OBP of .330 (230 PA's) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- tied for 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 -- 14th Percentile.

Brayan Bello has a strike rate of just 62% (395/637) in two strike counts this season -- 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% -- 11th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 1st	@CWS	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	NYM -182
Aug 31st	@CWS	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 9	NYM -196
Aug 31st	@CWS	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 9	NYM -219
Aug 29th	@ARI	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8	NYM +105
Aug 29th	@ARI	L 5-8	+1.5 L	O 9	ARI +105

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

Lucas Giolito
P
Giolito is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Garrett Whitlock
P
Whitlock is out with oblique
Out
David Hamilton
IF
Hamilton is out with finger
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Bello, P		91	5	4	4
RJ.Winckowski, P		48	3	4	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-4	0	1
1J.Duran, LF	1-4	0	1
2W.Abreu, RF	1-3	0	0
2R.Gonzalez, PH	0-0	0	0
2R.Gonzalez, SS	0-0	0	0
3T.O'Neill, LF	1-3	0	0
3T.O'Neill, RF	1-3	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	0-4	0	0
5T.Casas, 1B	1-3	0	0
6M.Yoshida, DH	1-3	0	0
7C.Wong, C	0-3	0	0
7M.Gasper, PH	0-1	0	0
8E.Valdez, 2B	0-3	0	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	1-3	1	0
9C.Rafaela, CF	1-3	1	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	100	7	5	1
LD.Young, P	21	1	2	0
RP.Maton, P	12	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	2-3	1	1
2B.Nimmo, CF	1-4	0	1
2B.Nimmo, LF	1-4	0	1
3P.Alonso, 1B	0-3	0	0
4J.Winker, DH	0-3	0	0
5J.Iglesias, 3B	1-4	1	0
6J.McNeil, 2B	1-4	0	0
7S.Marte, RF	0-3	0	0
8D.Stewart, LF	1-3	1	0
8H.Bader, CF	0-0	0	0
9L.Torrens, C	2-3	1	0