Red Sox vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - May 21, 2024
Red Sox at Rays
10:50 pm • NESNStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | 3.63 | 8-10 | |
![]() | ![]() | 4.08 | 6-5 |
Red Sox at Rays Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Red Sox 8-6 | +1.5-181 | o8-116 | +119 | |
![]() Rays 7-7 | u0.5 | -1.5+150 | u8-105 | -139 |

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg
Red Sox vs. Rays Expert Picks

Tanner McGrath
294d ago
Last 30d: 62-52-0 (+3.4u)
Under 8.5-115
1u

Sean Zerillo
294d ago
Last 30d: 22-29-0 (-1.5u)
Under 8.5-115
0.5u
Bet to -116

Tanner McGrath
294d ago
Last 30d: 62-52-0 (+3.4u)
Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-105
1.05u

Billy Ward
294d ago
Last 30d: 7-15-0 (-4.6u)
Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-105
1.05u

Steak Friend
294d ago
Last 30d: 233-279-6 (-33.7u)
Over 8-122
1.22u

Sean Zerillo
295d ago
Last 30d: 22-29-0 (-1.5u)
TB -125
0.63u
Bet to -135
TB -122 (F5)
0.41u
Flat to -135

Collin Wilson
295d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 8-115
0.5u
PRO Insights

Red Sox
BOS Insights
- Featured Insight
Red Sox hitters have a groundball rate of 48% over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays over the last two weeks -- fifth lowest in MLB.
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Rays
TB Insights
- Featured Insight
The Rays have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- second lowest in MLB (136 games). The Red Sox have scored just 1.1 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- fifth lowest in MLB (126 games).
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Red Sox vs. Rays Previews & Analysis
Red Sox vs. Rays Notes
Keys to the Game
The Red Sox are just 43-55 (.439) after a home loss since the 2022 season -- tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .517.
The Red Sox are just 11-16 (.407) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 92-5 (.948) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .898.
The Rays are 98-24 (.803) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Matchup Contrasts
45% of Yandy Diaz strikeouts are looking this season -- eighth highest in MLB-- 96th Percentile. 47% of Brennan Bernardino strikeouts are looking this season -- 14th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.
Randy Arozarena has an OPS of just .573 this season -- 14th worst in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Brennan Bernardino has allowed an OPS of just .444 (77 PAs) this season -- ninth best among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
5 of Zack Littell's breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season -- tied for 3rd most among among AL Starters; League Avg: nan -- 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 18% (36/200) against Cooper Criswell since last season -- 4th lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 27% -- fourth Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Red Sox vs. Rays Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Rays are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rays' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Rays' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Rays vs. Red Sox Injury Updates

Rays Injuries
- Ha-Seong KimIF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out

Red Sox Injuries
- Rafael DeversIF
Devers is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
- Patrick SandovalP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
- Kutter CrawfordP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
- Brayan BelloP
Bello is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
- Masataka YoshidaOF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out
Red Sox vs. Rays Box Score

PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 79 | 5.1 | 6 | 2 | |
![]() | 5 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | |
![]() | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
![]() | 15 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
![]() | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |

PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 77 | 5.2 | 7 | 2 | |
![]() | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
![]() | 5 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | |
![]() | 21 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
![]() | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
![]() | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Red Sox vs. Rays Odds Comparison
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Red Sox at Rays Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Red Sox 8-6 | o3.5-125 | u3.5-105 |
![]() Rays 7-7 | o4.5+112 | u4.5-145 |