Rays vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - May 16, 2024

Rays at Red Sox

11:10 pm • BSSUN

Tampa Bay Rays

7-7

7 - 5

Boston Red Sox

8-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 7-7	-1.5+160	o7.5-115	-110
Red Sox 8-7	+1.5-190	u7.5-105	-110

Thursday 11:10 p.m.

May 16, 2024

Fenway ParkBoston

Under 8.5 (Live)-120

… wind blowing in under streak Overall: 536-366-38,59% (ROI:14%) Season:8-5-1,62% (ROI:16%)

BOS -110

1.1u

Under 8-114

1.14u

C.Criswell o4.5 Ks+144

Projection leans over and +ev bet with devig odds of +113

Under 8-116

TB -108

2.78u

Under 8.5-105

0.53u

Featured Insight
The Rays have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- tied for second lowest in MLB (132 games). The Red Sox have scored just 1.1 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- tied for fifth lowest in MLB (122 games).

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Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 32% against the Red Sox RPs over the last two weeks -- fourth best in MLB. Rays hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 31% over the last two weeks -- worst in MLB.

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MLB Best Bets: Thursday's Picks and Predictions
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May 16, 2024 UTC

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The Rays are 44-14 (.759) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .573.

Jose Siri has struck out in 39% of PA's this season -- second highest in MLB-- first Percentile. Yimi Garcia has a strikeout rate of 34% this season -- 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

Tyler O'Neill has struck out in 33% of PA's this season -- tied for 10th highest in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Garrett Cleavinger has a strikeout rate of 37% this season -- 10th highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Zack Littell has walked 1 of 72 batters (1%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- tied for best among among AL Starters; League Avg: 6% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (86/446) against Cooper Criswell since last season -- 9th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% -- fourth Percentile.

5 of Zack Littell's breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season -- tied for most among among AL Starters; League Avg: nan -- 100th Percentile.

Cooper Criswell has located his fastballs down 62% of the time (82/132) this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 29% -- 99th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 15th	TB	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 8	TB -130
May 14th	TB	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 9.5	BOS -125
May 13th	TB	L 3-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	TB -118
May 12th	WSH	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 7.5	BOS -136
May 11th	WSH	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	BOS -161

Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out

Rafael Devers
IF
Devers is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ.Littell, P	91	5	3	4
RK.Kelly, P	12	1	0	1
LG.Cleavinger, P	17	1	2	0
RM.Rodriguez, P	10	1	1	0
RJ.Adam, P	23	0.2	1	0
RE.Ramirez, P	5	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, DH	0-4	0	0	1
2J.Lowe, RF	1-4	1	1	2
3R.Arozarena, LF	1-4	1	0	0
4J.Aranda, 1B	2-4	2	0	0
5I.Paredes, 3B	2-5	0	0	1
6R.Palacios, 2B	0-4	0	0	2
7J.Caballero, SS	1-4	1	0	0
8B.Rortvedt, C	1-3	1	0	0
9J.Siri, CF	0-1	1	0	0
9H.Ramirez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9J.DeLuca, CF	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Criswell, P	100	3.2	3	3
LB.Bernardino, P	23	1.1	2	0
RZ.Kelly, P	29	1	1	0
RJ.Slaten, P	16	1	3	0
RC.Martin, P	10	1	0	0
RK.Jansen, P	18	1	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	3-5	2	1	1
2W.Abreu, RF	0-5	0	0	0
3R.Refsnyder, LF	1-4	1	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	2-4	2	1	1
5D.Smith, 1B	1-3	0	0	1
5R.Gonzalez, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5R.Gonzalez, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
6G.Cooper, DH	1-3	0	0	2
7R.McGuire, C	0-4	0	0	0
8V.Grissom, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	0-4	0	0	0