Red Sox vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - May 20, 2024

Red Sox at Rays

10:50 pm • BSSUN

Boston Red Sox

8-6

5 - 0

Tampa Bay Rays

7-7

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Bradley			4.11	8-11
T.Houck			3.12	9-10

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Red Sox 8-6	+1.5-198	o7-125	+105
Rays 7-7	-1.5+164	u7+105	-125

Monday 10:50 p.m.

May 20, 2024

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

Under 7.5-108

0.93u

Steak tail (deleting after finish)

TB -111

1.67u

Under 7.5-120

BOS -110 (F5)

0.91u

Under 8-120

0.5u

TB +100

0.5u

Bet to -112

Featured Insight
Opponents have a hard-hit rate of just 38% against the Red Sox this season -- fifth best in MLB. Rays hitters have a hard-hit rate of just 36% this season -- tied for third worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Rays have allowed just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- second lowest in MLB (136 games). The Red Sox have scored just 1.1 runs per game in close and late situations since last season -- fifth lowest in MLB (126 games).

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The Rays are 44-14 (.759) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .573.

Jose Caballero has an OPS of just .372 with two strikes this season -- sixth worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Tanner Houck has allowed an OPS of just .310 (125 PAs) with two strikes this season -- fourth best among qualified SPs-- 96th Percentile.

Yandy Diaz is batting .303 on breaking pitches from RHP since the 2022 season -- fourth best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Tanner Houck has thrown his slider 41% of the time since the 2022 season -- fourth highest among starting pitchers with at least 146 total SL-- 98th Percentile.

Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of 53% (83/156) against Taj Bradley against right-handed batters in the 2023 season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% -- first Percentile.

Tanner Houck has allowed an OPS of just .471 (81 PA's) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- 2nd best among in MLB; League Avg: .654 -- 97th Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 62% (59/95) against Tanner Houck this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Rays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34
Red Sox	75-87	32-49	43-38	30-49	44-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5
Red Sox	79-75-8	37-40-4	42-35-4	37-40-2	41-34-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47
Red Sox	81-81	38-43	43-38	42-37	38-43

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 19th	@TOR	L 2-5	-1.5 L	U 8	TOR -102
May 18th	@TOR	W 5-4	+1.5 W	O 7.5	TB +120
May 17th	@TOR	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	TB +136
May 16th	@BOS	W 7-5	-1.5 W	O 7.5	TB -110
May 15th	@BOS	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 8	TB +110

Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out

Rafael Devers
IF
Devers is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Patrick Sandoval
P
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
P
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Brayan Bello
P
Bello is questionable with shoulder
Questionable
Masataka Yoshida
OF
Yoshida is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Houck, P		94	7	5	0
RJ.Slaten, P		22	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Duran, CF	1-4	1	0	0
2W.Abreu, RF	1-4	1	0	1
3T.O'Neill, LF	0-4	0	0	0
4R.Devers, 3B	1-4	1	1	2
5C.Wong, DH	1-4	0	0	0
6D.Smith, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
7D.Hamilton, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
8R.McGuire, C	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Rafaela, SS	1-3	1	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bradley, P	92	7	10	5
LR.Lovelady, P	12	1	0	0
RE.Ramirez, P	15	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
2J.Lowe, RF	1-3	0	0	0
3I.Paredes, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
4B.Lowe, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
5J.Aranda, DH	0-2	0	0	0
6J.DeLuca, CF	0-3	0	0	0
7R.Palacios, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8J.Caballero, SS	1-3	0	0	0
9B.Rortvedt, C	0-3	0	0	0