Reds vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - May 1, 2024

Reds at Padres

1:40 am • BSOH

Cincinnati Reds

9-7

4 - 6

San Diego Padres

5-12

pitcher		team	era	w-l
Y.Darvish			3.31	7-3
N.Martinez			3.10	10-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Reds 9-7	+1.5	+1.5-155	o7-115	+142
Padres 5-12	u7.5	-1.5+130	u7-105	-170

Wednesday 1:40 a.m.

May 01, 2024

PETCO ParkSan Diego

SD -1-120

1.67u

Under 7.5-117

1.17u

SD -163 (F5)

SD -0.5 (F5)-113

SD -166

E.De La Cruz o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120

0.83u

J.Cronenworth o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115

0.87u

F.Tatis o1.5 Total Bases+105

1.05u

Y.Darvish o4.5 Ks-160

0.8u

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Featured Insight
Padres RPs have a strikeout rate of 36% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- second highest in MLB. Reds left-handed hitters have struck out 39% against RHP over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB.

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The Padres are just 4-16 (.200) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .424.

The Padres are just 4-76 (.050) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .101.

The Reds are 30-22 (.577) after a road win since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .493.

The Reds are 22-8 (.733) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .576.

31% of Ha-seong Kim strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- 12th highest in MLB-- 89th Percentile. 32% of Sam Moll strikeouts are looking since the 2022 season -- 15th highest among qualified RPs-- 91st Percentile.

Jake Cronenworth has an OPS of just .716 since the 2022 season -- 15th worst in MLB-- 13th Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .544 (592 PAs) since the 2022 season -- seventh best among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 47-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 44 of Padres' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 30th	CIN	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 8	CIN -112
Apr 28th	PHI	L 6-8	-1.5 L	O 8	PHI -144
Apr 28th	PHI	L 1-5	+1.5 L	U 7.5	PHI -117
Apr 27th	PHI	L 3-9	+1.5 L	O 7.5	PHI -108
Apr 25th	@COL	L 9-10	-1.5 L	O 11	COL -148

Joe Musgrove
P
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
P
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
P
Lowder is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Martinez, P	78	5	3	3
RB.Farmer, P	17	1	0	1
RE.Pagan, P	25	1	3	0
LJ.Wilson, P	9	0	0	0
LS.Moll, P	8	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1W.Benson, RF	1-4	0	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	1-4	1	0	0
3S.Steer, LF	1-4	1	0	0
4J.India, 2B	1-4	0	0	2
5N.Martini, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6S.Espinal, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Candelario, 1B	2-4	1	1	1
8L.Maile, C	1-4	0	0	0
9S.Fairchild, CF	1-3	1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RY.Darvish, P	70	5	3	0
LA.Morejon, P	11	0.2	1	2
RE.De Los Santos, P	18	0.2	2	2
LY.Matsui, P	18	1.2	2	0
RR.Suarez, P	12	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Profar, LF	3-4	0	0
1J.Azocar, PR	1-1	0	0
1J.Azocar, LF	1-1	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	1-3	2	1
3J.Cronenworth, 1B	1-4	1	1
4M.Machado, DH	1-5	1	3
5X.Bogaerts, 2B	1-4	0	0
6J.Merrill, CF	0-4	0	0
7L.Campusano, C	0-3	0	0
8H.Kim, SS	1-4	1	0
9T.Wade, 3B	1-4	1	0