Royals vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - July 4, 2023

Royals at Twins

6:10 pm • BSN

Kansas City Royals

7-4

3 - 9

Minnesota Twins

3-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Maeda			4.23	6-8
Z. Greinke			5.06	2-15

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 7-4	+1.5-125	o9-105	+160
Twins 3-5	-1.5+105	u9-115	-190

Tuesday 6:10 p.m.

July 04, 2023

Target FieldMinneapolis

Over 9-105

MIN -1.5+102

1.53u

Z.Greinke u15.5 Outs-135

$135.00

B.Buxton o1.5 Total Bases-115

Under 9-115

1.15u

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Fourth of July MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Jul 4, 2023 UTC

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The Royals are just 59-96 (.381) after a loss since last season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.

Nicky Lopez is slugging just .248 on non-fastballs since last season -- third worst among hitters with at least 367 total PA's-- first Percentile. Griffin Jax has thrown off-speed pitches 66% of the time since last season -- ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

72% of non-fastball strikeouts for Kyle Farmer are located out of the zone since last season -- 15th highest in MLB-- 88th Percentile. 77% of Zack Greinke non-fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since last season -- eighth highest among starting pitchers with at least 98 total IP-- 96th Percentile.

Zack Greinke has walked 13 of 366 batters (4%) this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% -- 98th Percentile.

Zack Greinke has allowed a slugging percentage of .831 (49 Total Bases / 59 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 33 total IP; League Avg: .433 -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 36-45 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 43 of Twins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30
Royals	86-76	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 4th	KC	W 8-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	MIN -235
Jul 2nd	@BAL	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 9	BAL -120
Jul 1st	@BAL	W 1-0	+1.5 W	U 8.5	MIN +124
Jun 30th	@BAL	W 8-1	-1.5 W	O 8.5	MIN -110
Jun 28th	@ATL	L 0-3	+1.5 L	U 10	ATL +135

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RZ. Greinke, P	82	5.1	3	6
RN. Wittgren, P	36	1.2	1	3
RJ.Heasley, P	11	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Garcia, DH	1-4	2	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	2-4	1	1	2
3N.Pratto, 1B	0-3	0	0	1
4S.Perez, C	0-3	0	0	0
5M.Melendez, LF	1-3	0	0	0
6K.Isbel, CF	0-3	0	0	0
7M.Massey, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
8D.Blanco, RF	0-3	0	0	0
9N.Lopez, 3B	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Maeda, P	87	7	9	1
RO.Ortega, P	13	1	0	0
RJ.Lopez, P	8	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Correa, SS	1-5	1	0	0
2D.Solano, 2B	3-4	3	1	1
2J.Gallo, LF	0-1	0	0	0
3B.Buxton, DH	3-4	3	1	1
4A.Kirilloff, 1B	1-3	1	0	2
5M.Kepler, RF	2-3	1	1	4
6J.Miranda, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
6K.Farmer, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
6K.Farmer, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
7W.Castro, LF	0-3	0	0	1
7W.Castro, 3B	0-3	0	0	1
8C.Vazquez, C	0-4	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	0-4	0	0	0