Tigers vs. Royals Odds & Betting Predictions - September 18, 2024

Tigers at Royals

11:40 pm • BSDET
4 - 2
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Alec Marsh logoA.MarshKansas City Royals logo4.549-9
Tarik Skubal logoT.SkubalDetroit Tigers logo2.3918-4

Tigers at Royals Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Tigers
4-3
-1.5+120
o8-105
-135
Royals
3-3
+1.5-142
u8-115
+114
location pinWednesday 11:40 p.m.
September 18, 2024
Kauffman StadiumKansas City
Tigers vs. Royals Expert Picks
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
55d ago
Last 30d: 211-223-1 (-0.6u)
Under 8-110
0.91u
#ProSystem . good strikeout pitchers take the under Overall: 317-200-21,61% (ROI:18%) Season:31-14-4,69% (ROI:31%) . Contrarian Unders for Winning Teams Overall: 412-280-28,60% (ROI:16%) Season:20-14-1,59% (ROI:14%)
Picks  Office
Picks Office
55d ago
Last 30d: 82-114-3 (-39.0u)
KC +120
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice The Royals hold a better overall record of 82-70 compared to Detroit's 79-73 and show strong performance at home, going 45-32 this season. Kansas City starter Alec Marsh has been solid lately, posting a 3.52 ERA in his last three games, including an impressive 5.1-inning outing on 9/13/24, where he struck out 11 and allowed just 1 earned run. This performance highlights his good form coming into this matchup, which should continue against a Detroit offense that ranks lower in several key categories. Kansas City’s offensive strength is another advantage, as they boast a higher team batting average (.249) than Detroit (.232). The Royals are more efficient at converting baserunners into runs, with a runs per game average of 4.84, compared to Detroit’s 4.29. The Royals also have a higher slugging percentage (.415 vs. .387), indicating better power, and a superior stolen base success rate of 81% versus Detroit's 76.8%, which adds an extra layer of offensive pressure. At home, Kansas City is batting an even better .266 against right-handed pitchers, and although Detroit’s starter Tarik Skubal is a lefty, the Royals have shown an ability to handle his pitching. In recent matchups this season, Skubal has struggled against Kansas City, allowing 5 earned runs in 6.1 innings on 8/2/24 and 4 earned runs in 5 innings on 5/22/24. Kansas City’s familiarity and past success against Skubal could again factor into the outcome, as their lineup has consistently found ways to score runs against him. On the pitching side, Kansas City’s starters hold a slight edge over Detroit, with a 3.54 ERA compared to Detroit’s 3.70, and their bullpen remains solid with a 3.85 ERA. Detroit’s offense will likely have trouble generating significant run production against a Kansas City staff that is better at stranding baserunners, with a left-on-base ratio of 1.67:1, compared to Detroit’s 1.57:1. Given the Tigers’ lower batting average, run production, and familiarity issues with Alec Marsh, Kansas City has the pitching advantage, especially with Marsh showing a solid trend of limiting opponents' scoring opportunities recently.
Chase Holden
Chase Holden
55d ago
Last 30d: 23-40-0 (+2.2u)
KC +114
1u
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
55d ago
Last 30d: 60-82-0 (-26.0u)
P.Meadows o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-120
1u
Billy Ward
Billy Ward
55d ago
Last 30d: 26-38-0 (+2.5u)
Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-125
1.25u
Ray  Monohan
Ray Monohan
55d ago
Last 30d: 14-11-0 (+1.7u)
KC +114
0.75u
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
55d ago
Last 30d: 155-166-1 (-1.9u)
KC +132
1u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
55d ago
Last 30d: 54-76-3 (-8.6u)
KC +132
0.5u
Bet to +125

PRO Insights

Tigers logo

Tigers

DET Insights
  • Tigers logoThe Tigers have allowed just 0.7 runs per game in late innings over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB (12 games). The Royals have scored just 0.8 runs per game in late innings over the last two weeks -- fifth lowest in MLB (12 games).
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Royals logo

Royals

KC Insights
  • Royals logoRoyals have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score this season -- lowest in MLB. The Tigers have answered-back in just 24% of innings after an opponent scores this season -- third lowest in MLB.
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Tigers vs. Royals Previews & Analysis

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Tigers vs. Royals Public Betting Percentages

64%

Bets%

36%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Royals
87-7543-3844-3740-3846-37
Tigers
87-7539-4248-3327-3960-36

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Royals
69-88-538-42-131-46-432-4636-42-5
Tigers
79-78-536-43-243-35-331-32-348-46-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Royals
86-7645-3641-4049-2936-47
Tigers
86-7643-3843-3838-2848-48

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 17thDETL 1-3-1.5 LU 8DET -162
Sep 16thDETL 6-7-1.5 LO 8DET -137
Sep 15th@PITL 3-4-1.5 LU 7.5PIT -105
Sep 14th@PITW 5-1-1.5 WU 8KC -120
Sep 13th@PITW 8-3-1.5 WO 8.5KC -106

Royals vs. Tigers Injury Updates

Royals Injuries

  • Kyle Wright
    P

    Wright is out for season with shoulder

    Out for Season

Tigers Injuries

  • Javier Baez
    IF

    Baez is out with back

    Out

  • Sawyer Gipson-Long
    P

    Gipson-Long is out with groin

    Out

Tigers vs. Royals Box Score
Tigers Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Tarik Skubal logoLT.Skubal, P95571
Brenan Hanifee logoRB.Hanifee, P29231
Sean Guenther logoLS.Guenther, P131.100
Will Vest logoRW.Vest, P90.210
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Parker Meadows logo1P.Meadows, CF1-5000
Kerry Carpenter logo2K.Carpenter, DH0-2000
Matt Vierling logo2M.Vierling, PH0-1000
Matt Vierling logo2M.Vierling, DH0-1000
Wenceel Perez logo3W.Perez, RF1-4000
Riley Greene logo4R.Greene, LF1-5111
Spencer Torkelson logo5S.Torkelson, 1B0-2100
Jace Jung logo6J.Jung, 3B1-2100
Andy Ibanez logo6A.Ibanez, PH0-2000
Andy Ibanez logo6A.Ibanez, 2B0-2000
Zach McKinstry logo7Z.McKinstry, 2B0-3100
Zach McKinstry logo7Z.McKinstry, 3B0-3100
Trey Sweeney logo8T.Sweeney, SS1-4002
Jake Rogers logo9J.Rogers, C2-4000
Royals Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Alec Marsh logoRA.Marsh, P732.253
Daniel Lynch logoLD.Lynch, P403.140
John Schreiber logoRJ.Schreiber, P18110
Sam Long logoLS.Long, P11120
Carlos Hernandez logoRC.Hernandez, P20110
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Tommy Pham logo1T.Pham, LF1-4100
Bobby Witt logo2B.Witt, SS1-3100
Salvador Perez logo3S.Perez, C2-4001
Robbie Grossman logo4R.Grossman, DH0-3000
MJ Melendez logo4M.Melendez, PH0-0000
Freddy Fermin logo4F.Fermin, PH0-1000
Freddy Fermin logo4F.Fermin, DH0-1000
Yuli Gurriel logo5Y.Gurriel, 1B2-3001
Hunter Renfroe logo6H.Renfroe, RF0-4000
Maikel Garcia logo7M.Garcia, 2B0-2000
Michael Massey logo7M.Massey, PH1-2000
Michael Massey logo7M.Massey, 2B1-2000
Paul DeJong logo8P.DeJong, 3B0-4000
Garrett Hampson logo9G.Hampson, CF0-1000
Kyle Isbel logo9K.Isbel, PH0-2000
Kyle Isbel logo9K.Isbel, CF0-2000

Tigers vs. Royals Odds Comparison

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Tigers at Royals Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Tigers
4-3
o4.5+100
u4.5-130
Royals
3-3
o3.5-105
u3.5-125