Twins vs. Blue Jays Odds & Betting Predictions - May 12, 2024

Twins at Blue Jays

5:37 pm • SNET

Minnesota Twins

6-8

5 - 1

Toronto Blue Jays

11-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Manoah			3.70	1-2
B.Ober			3.98	12-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins 6-8	-1.5+134	o8-103	-120
Blue Jays 11-6	+1.5-161	u8-117	+100

Sunday 5:37 p.m.

May 12, 2024

Rogers CentreToronto

Under 6.5 (Live)+116

0.58u

I’ve seen enough this is ending 2-1

MIN -120

0.83u

Under 8.5-110

M.Kepler o0.5 HR+400

0.2u

TOR +105

TOR +112

MIN -132

Under 8.5-109

2.75u

A.Manoah o2.5 Earned Runs+100

0.25u

MIN -129

Featured Insight
Twins hitters are slugging .432 versus relief pitchers this season -- best in MLB. Blue Jays RPs have allowed a SLG of .472 this season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Blue Jays have a strikeout rate of 24% vs left-handed batters since last season -- fourth highest in MLB. Twins left-handed hitters have struck out 28% against RHP since last season -- highest in MLB.

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The Twins are 77-14 (.846) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .787.

Daulton Varsho has an OPS of just .713 since the 2022 season -- 14th worst in MLB-- 12th Percentile. Jhoan Duran has allowed an OPS of just .583 (541 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 15th best among qualified RPs-- 91st Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting just .192 (93-for-485) against Alek Manoah since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: .248 -- 96th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 30% (17/56) against Bailey Ober this season -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- third Percentile.

Bailey Ober has allowed a slugging percentage of .444 (32 Total Bases / 72 ABs) with two-strikes this season -- 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .258 -- third Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Blue Jays are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Blue Jays are 48-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Blue Jays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Blue Jays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	83-79	35-46	48-33	38-41	43-37
Twins	69-93	33-48	36-45	46-66	22-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Blue Jays	81-77-4	45-34-2	36-43-2	39-39-1	41-36-3
Twins	83-73-6	43-33-5	40-40-1	63-43-6	18-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Blue Jays	74-88	39-42	35-46	44-35	27-53
Twins	82-80	43-38	39-42	63-49	18-30

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 11th	MIN	W 10-8	-1.5 W	O 8	TOR -148
May 10th	MIN	L 2-3	+1.5 W	U 7	MIN -117
May 8th	@PHI	W 5-3	+1.5 W	U 9	TOR +142
May 7th	@PHI	L 1-10	-1.5 L	O 8	PHI -102
May 5th	@WSH	L 8-11	-1.5 L	O 8.5	WSH -106

Daulton Varsho
OF
Varsho is out with shoulder
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Ober, P	104	6.1	10	0
RC.Sands, P	12	0	0	1
LK.Funderburk, P	23	1.2	1	0
RJ.Duran, P	14	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1E.Julien, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
2T.Larnach, DH	0-4	0	0	0
3C.Correa, SS	0-3	1	0	0
4M.Kepler, RF	1-4	1	0	2
5W.Castro, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
5W.Castro, CF	1-3	0	0	0
6A.Kirilloff, LF	0-3	1	0	0
6M.Margot, LF	0-1	0	0	0
7C.Santana, 1B	2-4	1	1	3
8C.Vazquez, C	0-4	0	0	0
9A.Martin, CF	0-2	0	0	0
9K.Farmer, 3B	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Manoah, P	78	7	6	0
RE.Swanson, P	27	1	1	2
RN.Pearson, P	16	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1G.Springer, RF	0-4	0	0
2D.Varsho, CF	0-4	0	0
3V.Guerrero, 1B	1-3	1	0
4B.Bichette, SS	1-3	0	0
5D.Schneider, LF	0-3	0	0
6D.Vogelbach, DH	0-2	0	0
6D.Jansen, PH	0-0	0	1
6D.Jansen, DH	0-0	0	1
7I.Kiner-Falefa, 2B	0-3	0	0
8A.Kirk, C	0-3	0	0
9E.Clement, 3B	0-3	0	0