Twins vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - July 30, 2024

Twins at Mets

11:10 pm • SNY
0 - 2
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Sean Manaea logoS.ManaeaNew York Mets logo3.4712-6
David Festa logoD.FestaMinnesota Twins logo4.902-6

Twins at Mets Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Twins
0-0
PK-101
o8.5-109
-105
Mets
7-6
PK+100
u8.5-111
-115
location pinTuesday 11:10 p.m.
July 30, 2024
Citi FieldFlushing, Queens
Twins vs. Mets Expert Picks
YBK Picks.com
115d ago
Last 30d: 53-40-1 (+22.9u)
MIN +105
2u
J.Winker o0.5 RBI+265
0.5u
Batting 5th so should see plenty of RBI opportunities. Good matchup too vs. a RHP (.267, .840 OPS). A 16% edge per our Action Lab projections
R.Lewis o0.5 RBI+180
0.5u
RBI in 14/28 games this season (50%) and gets a plus matchups vs. LHP (.387 avg, 1.201 OPS)
Chase Holden
Chase Holden
115d ago
Last 30d: 23-36-0 (+2.9u)
Over 8.5-105
1.05u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
115d ago
Last 30d: 268-257-8 (+9.1u)
C.Santana o0.5 Total Bases-160
0.63u
Projection lands at 1.43 and a +ev pick with devig odds of -196 giving us value at this number
Kevin  Thomas
Kevin Thomas
115d ago
Last 30d: 11-24-0 (-13.7u)
MIN +105
1u
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
115d ago
Last 30d: 124-107-1 (+21.1u)
MIN +108
$50.00
Markus Markets
Markus Markets
115d ago
Last 30d: 82-84-3 (+31.3u)
S.Manaea u17.5 Outs-105
1u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
115d ago
Last 30d: 62-57-1 (+13.1u)
MIN +120
3u
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
116d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
S.Manaea u17.5 Outs-106
1.06u
Manaea under in 14/20 starts, with the 7th highest pitches per PA (4.11) amongst qualified pitchers. Twins profile as an above avg hitting team vs lefties, with 6 hitters likely to start today with a wRC+ vs lefties at 107 or better.
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
116d ago
Last 30d: 27-49-0 (-5.6u)
MIN +120
0.5u
Bet to +114
MIN +118 (F5)
0.25u
Small to +112
BJ Cunningham
BJ Cunningham
116d ago
Last 30d: 33-29-5 (+1.5u)
MIN +120
1u
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
116d ago
Last 30d: 82-73-3 (+1.3u)
MIN +120
1u

PRO Insights

Twins logo

Twins

MIN Insights
  • Twins logoThe Twins have scored 1.4 runs per game in close and late situations this season -- highest in MLB (70 games). The Mets have allowed 1.4 runs per game in close and late situations this season -- fifth highest in MLB (69 games).
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Mets logo

Mets

NYM Insights
  • Mets logoMets RPs have a strikeout rate of 26% vs left-handed batters since last season -- third highest in MLB. Twins left-handed hitters have struck out 26% against RHP since last season -- second highest in MLB.
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Twins vs. Mets Previews & Analysis

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Twins vs. Mets Public Betting Percentages

Public

22%

Bets%

78%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Mets
86-7644-3742-3952-4533-30
Twins
69-9333-4836-4546-6622-26

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Mets
81-76-542-3939-37-546-46-534-29
Twins
83-73-643-33-540-40-163-43-618-30

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Mets
89-7346-3543-3860-3728-35
Twins
82-8043-3839-4263-4918-30

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jul 29thMINW 15-2+1.5 WO 8.5NYM -112
Jul 28thATLL 2-9+1.5 LO 8ATL -115
Jul 27thATLL 0-4+1.5 LU 7.5ATL -120
Jul 26thATLW 8-4-1.5 WO 7.5NYM -135
Jul 25thATLW 3-2+1.5 WU 7NYM +100

Mets vs. Twins Injury Updates

Mets Injuries

  • Paul Blackburn
    P

    Blackburn is out with hand

    Out

  • Ronny Mauricio
    IF

    Mauricio is out with knee

    Out

  • Christian Scott
    P

    Scott is out with elbow

    Out

Twins Injuries

  • Jose Miranda
    IF

    Jose Miranda (back) has been scratched Thursday.

    Out

  • Trevor Larnach
    OF

    Larnach is out with hamstring

    Out

  • Joe Ryan
    P

    Ryan is out with triceps

    Out

Twins vs. Mets Box Score
Twins Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
David Festa logoRD.Festa, P68562
Jorge Alcala logoRJ.Alcala, P30120
Griffin Jax logoRG.Jax, P11110
Caleb Thielbar logoLC.Thielbar, P16110
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Manuel Margot logo1M.Margot, RF0-3000
Trevor Larnach logo1T.Larnach, PH0-1000
Trevor Larnach logo1T.Larnach, LF0-1000
Byron Buxton logo2B.Buxton, CF0-4000
Royce Lewis logo3R.Lewis, DH0-3000
Jose Miranda logo4J.Miranda, 3B0-4000
Carlos Santana logo5C.Santana, 1B1-4000
Willi Castro logo6W.Castro, 2B0-3000
Austin Martin logo7A.Martin, LF0-2000
Max Kepler logo7M.Kepler, PH0-1000
Max Kepler logo7M.Kepler, RF0-1000
Christian Vazquez logo8C.Vazquez, C0-3000
Brooks Lee logo9B.Lee, SS1-2000
Mets Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Sean Manaea logoLS.Manaea, P967110
Ryne Stanek logoRR.Stanek, P200.200
Edwin Diaz logoRE.Diaz, P201.120
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Francisco Lindor logo1F.Lindor, SS0-4000
Brandon Nimmo logo2B.Nimmo, LF1-3100
J.D. Martinez logo3J.Martinez, DH2-4001
Pete Alonso logo4P.Alonso, 1B0-3000
Jesse Winker logo5J.Winker, RF1-3000
Tyrone Taylor logo5T.Taylor, RF0-0000
Mark Vientos logo6M.Vientos, 3B1-3111
Jose Iglesias logo6J.Iglesias, 3B0-0000
Jeff McNeil logo7J.McNeil, 2B0-2000
Luis Torrens logo8L.Torrens, C0-3000
Harrison Bader logo9H.Bader, CF0-3000

Twins vs. Mets Odds Comparison

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Twins at Mets Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Twins
0-0
o3.5-145
u3.5+114
Mets
7-6
o3.5-145
u3.5+114