Yankees vs. Rays Odds & Betting Predictions - May 10, 2024

Yankees at Rays

10:50 pm • YES

New York Yankees

8-9

2 - 0

Tampa Bay Rays

7-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Bradley			4.11	8-11
C.Schmidt			2.85	5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Yankees 8-9	-1.5+127	o8-117	-130
Rays 7-8	+1.5-155	u8-105	+110

Friday 10:50 p.m.

May 10, 2024

Tropicana FieldSt. Petersburg

TB +105

NYY -125

0.8u

TB +105

0.75u

Under 8-102

0.5u

Bet to -105

TB +119

TB +128

0.5u

Bet to +115

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Featured Insight
Rays right-handed hitters have struck out just 15% against LHP over the last week -- tied for third lowest in MLB. Yankees RPs have a strikeout rate of just 14% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- third lowest in MLB.

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The Rays are 44-14 (.759) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .573.

The Yankees are 67-39 (.632) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .587.

Anthony Volpe has an OPS of just .685 since last season -- ninth worst in MLB-- sixth Percentile. Shawn Armstrong has allowed an OPS of just .527 (282 PAs) since last season -- seventh best among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

66% of Gleyber Torres fastball strikeouts are elevated since last season -- tied for ninth highest in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. 68% of Taj Bradley fastball strikeouts are elevated since last season -- 11th highest among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP-- 90th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Clarke Schmidt since the 2022 season is 380.6 feet -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 398.3

The average home run distance against Clarke Schmidt in the 2023 season was 382.5 feet -- 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.3

Taj Bradley has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 91.2 MPH since last season (290 balls in play) -- 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 89.2

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MLB Public Betting

Rays are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Rays are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Rays are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Rays' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 36 of Rays' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	89-73	45-36	44-37	32-36	55-34
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Rays	68-88-6	36-40-5	32-48-1	29-38-1	36-48-5
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Rays	80-82	42-39	38-43	36-32	42-47
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 8th	CWS	L 1-4	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CWS -267
May 7th	CWS	W 5-1	-1.5 W	U 7.5	TB -270
May 6th	CWS	W 8-2	-1.5 W	O 8.5	TB -163
May 5th	NYM	W 7-6	+1.5 W	O 7	TB -110
May 4th	NYM	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	TB -110

Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out

Giancarlo Stanton
DH
Stanton is out with elbow
Out

Clarke Schmidt
P
Schmidt is questionable with back
Questionable

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RC.Schmidt, P	87	6.2	6
RN.Burdi, P	3	0.1	0
RL.Weaver, P	12	1	2
RC.Holmes, P	34	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Volpe, SS	1-5	0	0	0
2J.Soto, RF	0-4	0	0	0
3A.Judge, CF	0-2	1	0	0
4A.Verdugo, LF	0-4	0	0	0
5G.Stanton, DH	2-4	0	0	0
6A.Rizzo, 1B	2-4	1	1	2
7G.Torres, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Trevino, C	2-4	0	0	0
9J.Berti, 3B	2-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bradley, P	93	6	7	1
RK.Kelly, P	16	0.2	1	0
LG.Cleavinger, P	7	0.1	1	0
RJ.Adam, P	12	1	0	0
RS.Armstrong, P	17	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	2-3	0	0	0
2R.Arozarena, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Lowe, RF	1-3	0	0	0
4I.Paredes, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
5H.Ramirez, DH	0-3	0	0	0
5A.Shenton, PH	1-1	0	0	0
5J.Siri, PR	0-0	0	0	0
6J.DeLuca, CF	0-4	0	0	0
7R.Palacios, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
8J.Caballero, SS	1-2	0	0	0
9A.Jackson, C	0-3	0	0	0