Clippers vs. Lakers Odds & Betting Predictions - October 21, 2022

Clippers at Lakers

2:00 am • TNT

Los Angeles Clippers

16-13

103

103 - 97

Los Angeles Lakers

16-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Clippers 16-13	-5-109	o226.5-112	-200
Lakers 16-12	+5-110	u226.5-110	+163

Friday 2:00 a.m.

October 21, 2022

Crypto.com ArenaLos Angeles

Under 116 (2H)-110

Over 224.5 (Live)-114

1.14u

Over 226-115

2.3u

LAL +5.5-112

$110.00

LAL +5.5-110

0.55u

MGM

LAL +430

0.2u

Dk boost

Over 225.5-105

3.15u

A.Davis o24.5 Pts-135

$37.04

K.Leonard o17.5 Pts-105

1.05u

LAC -5.5-112

0.89u

#MattMoore @HPBasketball

P.George o22.5 Pts-125

R.Jackson u21.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-123

Caeser’s. In 31 career games as a starter with Kawhi, he’s averaged 17.3 PRA. While he did average 25.2 PRA last season, he was a highly inefficient shooter, needing 16 shot attempts to average 16.8 points per game - he ranked 193rd out of 197 players in true shooting %. The Clippers are the deepest team in the NBA, and I don’t see Jackson getting the volume and usage he’d need. Plus, his minutes are likely to be cut, with Jon Wall backing him up. Going with PRA because I like his assists to be cut as well. Adding Kawhi back into the mix with PG, Marcus Morris and Norman Powell gives the Clippers multiple options of players who get most of their baskets on their own (unassisted).

K.Leonard o24.5 Pts+Ast+100

0.15u

Via @esidery_

P.George o4.5 Ast+110

0.25u

50/50 to this line in his last 20 with Kawhi - averaged 4.6 assists with Kawhi on the Clippers

K.Leonard o3.5 Ast-140

0.25u

DK - averaged 4.9 assists with Paul George on the Clippers. Concerned about a mins limit otherwise I’d hit this a bit harder.

L.James u29.5 Pts-120

On Draftkings. LeBron hasn’t scored 30 when he shares the floor with Kawhi since his Cleveland days in 2015. Clippers & Lakers have played 6 times featuring Kawhi & LeBron. LBJ averaged 21.4 ppg with a low of 16 pts. James will have tough defensive matchups a majority of the night. If he leans into the “let’s get my teammates involved LeBron” like we’ve seen him intentionally do, even better. More on BUCKETS pod.

P.George o2.5 3pt M-120

1.2u

Bet at DraftKings. Has averaged 3+ 3PT per game over the last 5 seasons and shot 40.1% on 3PT on 8.3 attempts (10th in attempts). Big ladder opportunity.

LAC -5.5-110

0.45u

LAC -4-105

It’s the Lakers home opener, but no travel hit here. I do not think the Lakers are in the Clippers’ class.

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NBA Public Betting

Lakers are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Lakers are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Lakers are 6-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Lakers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Lakers' 12 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Lakers	13-15	7-5	6-10	7-8	6-7
Clippers	18-11	10-6	8-5	8-2	10-9

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Lakers	11-17	5-7	6-10	7-8	4-9
Clippers	11-17-1	7-9	4-8-1	4-6	7-11-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Lakers	16-12	N/A	N/A	12-3	4-9
Clippers	16-13	N/A	N/A	9-1	7-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 19th	@GSW	L 109-123	+7.5 L	O 224	GSW +230
Oct 15th	@SAC	L 86-133	+4.5 L	U 221.5	SAC +150
Oct 13th	MIN	L 113-118	-5 L	O 224.5	MIN -205
Oct 10th	@GSW	W 124-121	+7.5 W	O 215.5	LAL +225
Oct 7th	MIN	L 99-114	+7.5 L	U 215.5	MIN +240