Knicks vs. 76ers Odds & Betting Predictions - May 3, 2024

Knicks at 76ers

1:00 am • TNT

New York Knicks

4-2

118

118 - 115

Philadelphia 76ers

2-4

115

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Knicks 4-2	+3	+3-110	o202-110	+125
76ers 2-4	u200.5	-3-110	u202-110	-150

Friday 1:00 a.m.

May 03, 2024

Wells Fargo CenterPhiladelphia

I.Hartenstein u17.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120

1.2u

A lot of “outs” here. Projecting between 24-27 MIN w/ Mitch Rob healthy. Game 5 was almost the perfect script for him ceiling wise. For starters, he didn’t pick up a foul vs. Embiid in the 1st quarter to limit his upside, went 4-4 from FTs, had a last-second basket, & connecting on four of his six assist chances. But the reality is, it’s very unlucky to be that efficient and his rotation situation isn’t safe with Mitch Robinson healthy to steal his minutes. I believe the strategy is for Hartenstein to open the game defending Embiid while he’s fresh & for Robinson to close the game defensively while Embiid is worn out. The 76ers are at home & there’s always a chance Embiid gets the friendly whistle. As for points - Hartenstein will have to be efficient knowing Embiid will be defending in drop coverage, & I believe the upside could be limited in Q1 with Thibs looking to get DDV involved early. For rebounds- he’ll need to box out Embiid and his rebound chances will be limited. For assists - again, it’s a nice sell-high after converting on 67% of his chances last game. #PlayerProps

PHI -148

C.Payne o3.5 Pts-110

0.5u

#Tailing @kylemurray03

C.Payne o3.5 Pts-110

T.Maxey o26.5 Pts-118

1.18u

J.Brunson o41.5 Pts+Ast-107

J.Brunson u7.5 Ast-107

1.07u

PHI -155

0.76u

J.Hart o11.5 Rebs-110

0.91u

All this guy does is grab boards

J.Hart o13.5 Rebs+160

0.8u

Josh Defensive Rebound Hart

J.Hart o15.5 Rebs+300

0.25u

Josh Got that Dog Hart

N.Batum o4.5 Rebs+106

1.06u

T.Maxey u3.5 3pt M-115

0.5u

IT’S 3PM SOMEWHERE!!

PHI -3-105

J.Embiid o3.5 TOs-122

0.08u

Re-logging here

Over 201.5-105

1.9u

T.Maxey o26.5 Pts-122

1.22u

PHI -3-110

J.Embiid u30.5 Pts-106

Via Bryan Fonseca

NYK +130 (2Q)

@wheatonbrando

PHI -3-109

M.McBride o2.5 3pt M+190

0.25u

M.McBride o3.5 3pt M+500

0.1u

M.McBride o9.5 Pts-105

Miles McBride has seen his role flourish as Coach Thibs has essentially cut down the rotation to 7 players with Precious Achiuwa as the (if needed) 8th player now that Bojan Bogdanovic is out with a season ending injury. McBride played 33.5 minutes in the Overtime Game 5 loss and scored 14 points on 2/7 shooting from 3. McBride also was able to close the game with all 12 in the 4Q and he had played 11+ 4Q mins in the 4Q the game prior. His floor is secure. Defense is a clear strength but one of McBride’s offensive strengths has been his 3 point shooting and he’s shot 41% from 3 point range. He helps space the floor similarly to Donte DiVincenzo but is a bit better defensively. McBride’s floor for minutes tonight is about 20 minutes, a threshold he’s cleared in every game this series. When he’s played 20+ minutes he has exceeded 9.5 points in 77% of games, at 25+ this jumps to 91%. My preferred way to ladder this is by betting on his 3s, a place where he shoots 54% of his shots this postseason. When he’s played 20+ minutes he has made 3+ 3s in 55% and in 25+ he’s hit in 64% and for 4+ he’s at 39% and 45%. I like the idea of McBride getting to 10+ and 3+ simultaneously with 4+ coming if he has a hot shooting night from deep.

NYK +135

1.62u

PHI -3-111

PHI -3-110

$165.00

Scott Foster extender SZN - upgraded to 3u

J.Embiid o30.5 Pts-110

$50.00

Under in 2 straight games, bro might go for 50

PHI -3-112

2.24u

J.Brunson o11.5 Rebs+Ast-120

0.83u

J.Embiid o34.5 Pts+230

1.15u

So I had to grind like that to shine like this

J.Embiid o39.5 Pts+600

0.25u

In a matter of time I spent on some locked up shit

J.Embiid o44.5 Pts+1300

0.25u

In the back of the paddy wagon cuffs locked on wrists

J.Embiid o30.5 Pts-110

0.91u

Used pray for times like this

PHI -3-111

NYK -102 (2Q)

0.75u

Via @wheatonbrando

Under 200-110

1.1u

PHI -150

Praise god aka Maxey

Under 200.5-110

0.5u

Featured Insight
The Knicks has averaged 19.0 offensive rebounds per game this season -- T-best in the NBA; the 76ers have allowed 17.0 offensive rebounds/game this season -- T-3rd-worst in the NBA.

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Featured Insight
The 76ers have averaged 12.3 turnovers/game at home this season -- 3rd-lowest in the NBA; the Knicks have forced 13.2 turnovers per game on the road this season -- 9th-lowest in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

76ers are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
76ers are 5-0 in their last 5 games against the spread
76ers are 24-17 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of 76ers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 21 of 76ers' 41 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
76ers	48-33-1	24-16-1	24-17	32-16	16-17-1
Knicks	44-36-2	21-19-1	23-17-1	28-18-1	16-17-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
76ers	43-39	21-20	22-19	29-19	14-20
Knicks	37-45	15-26	22-19	19-28	18-16

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
76ers	2-4	N/A	N/A	37-11	10-24
Knicks	7-6	N/A	N/A	36-11	14-20

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 30th	@NYK	W 112-106	+4.5 W	O 204	PHI +142
Apr 28th	NYK	L 92-97	-5.5 L	U 209	NYK -205
Apr 25th	NYK	W 125-114	-5.5 W	O 205	PHI -238
Apr 22nd	@NYK	L 101-104	+4.5 W	U 206	NYK +154
Apr 20th	@NYK	L 104-111	+4.5 L	O 208.5	NYK +153