Knicks vs. Pistons Odds & Betting Predictions - November 1, 2024

Karl-Anthony Towns is coming off of a tremendous 44 point performance against the Miami Heat and looks to build on that against a team he’s had tremendous success against in the Detroit Pistons. Over the last few seasons, KAT has dropped 21, 24, and 27 against Detroit and I think it’s a matchup he can absolutely cook in against Jalen Duren and Isaiah Stewart. His ability to stretch the floor while also playing on the interior will pay dividends. Looking recently at Centers against Detroit, Al Horford, Jarrett Allen, and Myles Turner all exceeded their points prop against the Pistons. KAT aligns most closely with Horford and Turner from a shot profile perspective so that’s promising to see as well. The Pistons are allowing the seventh-most 3s this year by frequency and KAT’s ability to stretch the floor will be critical, especially considering the commentary around the volume and Usage the team needs to get him. I’ll grab KAT to exceed 20.5 points.

Over the 4/L4 - miss at the beginning of the season was against the Pacers who give you free lanes to the basket to avoid giving up threes (lowest three point rate last year After THJ/Beasley, Ivey is third on the team on catch and shoot threes (and Beasley/THJ don’t typically share the floor). The Knicks this season have been noticeably dropping a bit more defensively to compensate for KAT down low. They’re allowing their opponents the fourth most 3PA per game. Herro/Rozier just took 21 threes, and Garland/Mitchell 16 the game before. I have Ivey getting up 6-7 - if I’m right, the percentages are well in our favor.