Mavericks vs. Celtics Odds & Betting Predictions - June 18, 2024
Mavericks at Celtics
12:30 am • ABCMavericks at Celtics Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Mavericks 1-4 | +6.5 | +6.5-105 | o211-112 | +225 |
Celtics 4-1 | u211 | -6.5-114 | u211-108 | -278 |
Tuesday 12:30 a.m.
June 18, 2024TD GardenBoston
Mavericks vs. Celtics Expert Picks
Mike Randle
188d ago
Last 30d: 20-18-0 (+0.3u)
BOS -15.5 (Live)-130
0.77u
Capper Central
188d ago
Last 30d: 54-49-1 (-5.2u)
DAL +6.5-105
$1050.00
YBK Picks.com
188d ago
Last 30d: 39-48-3 (-24.9u)
Over 210.5-105
3u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
188d ago
Last 30d: 302-280-6 (+1.2u)
D.White o3.5 Ast-135
1u
The Degenerates
188d ago
Last 30d: 98-75-4 (+21.3u)
J.Holiday o10.5 Rebs+Ast-113
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
188d ago
Last 30d: 302-280-6 (+1.2u)
P.Washington o1.5 3pt M-135
1u
J.Holiday o5.5 Rebs-134
0.75u
D.White u3.5 3pt M-140
1u
Action Island
188d ago
Last 30d: 1-6-0 (-4.6u)
D.Lively Double-Double (Yes)+260
0.5u
@HPBasketball
J.Tatum u36.5 Pts+Rebs-102
0.5u
@HPBasketball
P.Washington o1.5 3pt M-150
0.5u
@JayMoneyIsMoney23
J.Brown o24.5 Pts-110
0.5u
@JayMoneyIsMoney23
K.Irving u23.5 Pts-104
0.48u
@GDAWG5000
P.Washington o12.5 Pts+100
0.5u
@GDAWG5000
Mark Franco
188d ago
Last 30d: 7-6-1 (+0.7u)
DAL +6.5-110
1.1u
Kyle Murray
188d ago
Last 30d: 58-67-1 (-12.3u)
K.Irving o3.5 Rebs-115
1.15u
A.Horford o6.5 Rebs-118
1u
Green Dot Daily
188d ago
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+0.6u)
D.Exum o4.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-132
1u
@HPBasketball
D.Exum o2.5 Pts-145
0.69u
@HPBasketball
Scott Rickenbach
188d ago
Last 30d: 86-69-0 (+4.9u)
Over 210-108
1u
VegasIsMyBitch
188d ago
Last 30d: 38-33-2 (+2.1u)
BOS -6.5-111
2.7u
Sandy Plashkes
188d ago
Last 30d: 117-116-5 (+9.1u)
Over 210.5-110
$55.00
Brian Matthews
188d ago
Last 30d: 7-11-0 (+1.4u)
D.White o1.5 Blk+210
0.5u
Derrick White 2+ alternative blocks on DK
White is over in 3 of his last 4 games without Porzingis, racking up 4/3/2/0 blocks over that time. Not putting a full unit on this but this is a fun one that I’ve been playing this series with Porzingis out. Talked about this on Cash That Podcast with @JoeDellera - hoping for a block party
Joe Dellera
188d ago
Last 30d: 71-75-5 (+6.6u)
D.Lively Double-Double (Yes)+320
0.25u
🎙️ On this with @TheBMatt from Cash That Pod
Brian Matthews
188d ago
Last 30d: 7-11-0 (+1.4u)
D.Lively Double-Double (Yes)+320
0.5u
Manually build out the double double by adding 10+ pts and 10+ rebounds for Lively, which gives the odds a nice little jump.
Lively has now recorded a DD in his last two games. 11 pts in each of his last two games and 12 & 13 rebounds in the last two games on 26 rebound chances (game 3) and 17 rebound chances in game (game 4).
No Porzingis has allowed Lively to sit back closer to the rim in a quasi-zone look with Tillman and co. On the floor (great insight from @JoeDellera)
Pick from Cash That Podcast. Next best odds to manually build it out is MGM and DK (+290)
Gilles Gallant
188d ago
Last 30d: 35-79-0 (-1.3u)
K.Irving u23.5 Pts+100
0.5u
D.Lively o17.5 Pts+Rebs-113
0.57u
#Tailing @TheBMatt
Joe Dellera
188d ago
Last 30d: 71-75-5 (+6.6u)
D.Lively o17.5 Pts+Rebs-113
1u
🎙️ Via @TheBMatt on The Cash That Podcast
Brian Matthews
188d ago
Last 30d: 7-11-0 (+1.4u)
D.Lively o17.5 Pts+Rebs-113
1u
Gave out on Cash That podcast with @JoeDellera
Joe Dellera
188d ago
Last 30d: 71-75-5 (+6.6u)
D.Exum o1.5 Rebs+Ast-130
1u
🎙️ Gave out on Cash That Podcast
Sandy Plashkes
188d ago
Last 30d: 117-116-5 (+9.1u)
P.Washington o11.5 Pts-128
$64.00
Ray Monohan
188d ago
Last 30d: 18-11-1 (+3.8u)
Under 209.5-110
0.68u
Bruce Marshall
188d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
DAL +6.5-105
1u
Over 209.5-110
1u
Brian Bitler
188d ago
Last 30d: 90-78-2 (+25.3u)
BOS -6.5-110
2.73u
Under 209.5-108
2.78u
Scott Pritchard
188d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Over 209.5-110
1u
Joe Dellera
189d ago
Last 30d: 71-75-5 (+6.6u)
BOS -6.5-110
0.91u
My Game Guide: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/dallas-mavericks-vs-boston-celtics-odds-pick-nba-finals-game-5-predictions
S.Hauser u2.5 Rebs-130
1u
Collab with @SBK5065 and @PropBomb
Prop Bomb 🏝
189d ago
Last 30d: 9-8-0 (-0.4u)
S.Hauser u2.5 Rebs-130
1.3u
No player was hunted on Luka Doncic switches more then Sam Hauser was last game when both were in the court. During the 12 minutes of overlap, Hauser had to defend 9 of Luka’s FGA.
Having Dante Exum bring up the ball more unlocked the off-ball Luka mismatches where Exum would give Luka the ball and he’d get his easier defender. It was a new wrinkle in the offensive scheme and prevented Hauser from originally getting away with guarding a low-usage wing option.
And the stats won’t tell the full story. He played an extra 4 minute stint from Q3 10:16 -> 6:09 because Tatum picked up his 3rd foul, and because Mazzulla waived the white flag in a blowout at the end of the 3rd quarter, Hauser was able to get early garbage time run, without Luka Doncic on the court, where 3 of his 4 rebounds occurred.
Collab @JoeDellera @SBK5065
Scott Pritchard
189d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
Under 209.5-112
0.89u
Joe Dellera
190d ago
Last 30d: 71-75-5 (+6.6u)
J.Brown u2.5 3pt M-122
0.82u
This line is way too high for Brown who is shooting just 33% from deep this postseason.
Brown has averaged 1.9 3s per game on 5.6 attempts during the Playoffs. That’s simply not his game. Brown is at his best when he’s attacking the rack and getting into the teeth of the defense. He is not known to be a prolific 3 point shooter. During this series, he’s gone 2/6, 1/5, 2/9, and 1/5 from 3.
Despite taking ~40% of his shots from 3 there isn’t enough volume for an average shooter. If Brown shoots 33% on those average attempts, he’d be at just 2.08 3s per game and even if we give him his career average of 36% that’s just 2.27.
Brown has exceeded this line in just 5 of 22 Playoff games this season and is 0/4 vs Dallas.
Brown can still have a strong game and impact winning without making 3s.
PRO Insights
Mavericks
DAL Insights
- Featured InsightThe Mavericks have shot 38% from three (144/377) in close and late situations this season -- 3rd-best in the NBA; the Celtics have allowed opponents to shoot 41% from three in close and late situations this season -- worst in the NBA.
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Celtics
BOS Insights
- Featured InsightThe Celtics have averaged 12.9 turnovers/game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season -- 5th-lowest in the NBA; the Mavericks have forced 13.3 turnovers per game on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season -- T-9th-lowest in the NBA.
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Mavericks vs. Celtics Previews & Analysis
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Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Mavericks vs. Celtics Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Celtics are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Celtics are 2-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Celtics are 19-19 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Celtics' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 22 of Celtics' 41 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Mavericks vs. Celtics Injury Updates
Mavericks Injuries
- Dante ExumPG
Exum is out with wrist
Out
- Jaden HardyPG
Hardy is out with ankle
Out
Celtics Injuries
- Sam HauserSF
Sam Hauser (back) out Saturday.
Out
Player Stats
- scoringJayson Tatum31ppg
- reboundingJrue Holiday11rpg
- assistsJayson Tatum11apg
- shootingPayton Pritchard100fg%
Team Stats
Mavericks vs. Celtics Odds Comparison
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Mavericks at Celtics Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Mavericks 1-4 | o102.5-105 | u102.5-115 |
Celtics 4-1 | o109.5-102 | u109.5-118 |