Mavericks vs. Thunder Odds & Betting Predictions - March 15, 2024

Mavericks at Thunder

2:00 am • TNT

Dallas Mavericks

18-10

119

119 - 126

Oklahoma City Thunder

22-5

126

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mavericks 18-10	+6.5	+9.5-106	o233.5-112	+340
Thunder 22-5	u242.5	-9.5-114	u233.5-110	-440

Friday 2:00 a.m.

March 15, 2024

Paycom CenterOklahoma City

D.Gafford o7.5 Rebs-135

C.Holmgren o15.5 Pts-108

1.08u

S.Gilgeous-Alexander o30.5 Pts-125

S.Gilgeous-Alexander o30.5 Pts-115

0.5u

S.Gilgeous-Alexander o30.5 Pts-115

The Oklahoma City Thunder host the Dallas Mavericks tonight in a nationally televised game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will shine brightest tonight. Shai has been incredible this season and is entrenched in the MVP conversation while averaging 31.1 points per game while leading the Thunder to a top seed in the Western Conference. Shai’s points prop is set at 30.5 tonight. He has exceeded that mark in 67% of games this season and he should clear it tonight. Although he has recorded sub-30 point games in both prior games against Dallas this season both games were on the road where he does average about a point less per game. SGA is ultra consistent, and both teams play at top 10 Paces in the league. There should be plenty of possessions tonight and if Luka is unable to go that should lighten any defensive load SGA has to carry. I expect SGA to exceed 30.5 points tonight.

S.Gilgeous-Alexander o30.5 Pts-120

$50.00

OKC -9.5-115

1.1u

OKC -6.5-110

1.36u

Gave this out on my YouTube show #NbaTalkWithJay 3/13/24

Featured Insight
The Mavericks have shot 39% from three (110/283) in close and late situations this season -- 4th-best in the NBA; the Thunder have allowed opponents to shoot 40% from three in close and late situations this season -- 2nd-worst in the NBA.

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Featured Insight
The Thunder have averaged 15.2 fast break points per game this season -- T-8th-highest in the NBA; the Mavericks have allowed 16.0 fast break points per game this season -- 5th-worst in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Thunder are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Thunder are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Thunder are 9-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Thunder' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Thunder' 14 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Thunder	17-10-1	8-6	9-4-1	16-10-1	1-0
Mavericks	16-11-1	8-5	8-6-1	10-7	6-4-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Thunder	11-17	6-8	5-9	11-16	0-1
Mavericks	15-13	4-9	11-4	6-11	9-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Thunder	22-5	N/A	N/A	21-6	1-0
Mavericks	18-10	N/A	N/A	12-5	6-5

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 13th	IND	L 111-121	-5.5 L	U 240.5	IND -218
Mar 10th	MEM	W 124-93	-15 W	U 219.5	OKC -1200
Mar 9th	MIA	W 107-100	-8.5 L	U 226.5	OKC -375
Mar 7th	@POR	W 128-120	-13 L	O 225	OKC -784
Mar 5th	@LAL	L 104-116	-1 L	U 240.5	LAL -112