Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds & Betting Predictions - November 2, 2024

🔑 Nuggets LIVE ML +158 (FanDuel) 2u Liking the pace from Denver here. Cut the lead significantly and they want revenge after how the playoffs ended last year. Wake and 💰 with me

Steak dog of day just dropped brotha catch up

Buying a point here on the alt line on FD, but I still like this line at 27.5 Community play today, but it makes sense. The Nuggets have been awful shooting the ball to start the season and I don't see how that will magically change tonight. They will play the T-Wolves tonight and Jokic himself has talked about how they don't have enough shooting right now and we have seen him start to take over these games because of it. Since the opening game, Jokic has scored 41,40,29 pts and has put up much more volume. This has been a system play for the last year or so because once Jokic starts shooting more, he dominates this line. Jokic attempted just 13 FG in the opener, but since he has attempted 26,27 and 16, which is big for this line. In games last season where Jokic attempts 15+ FG's he hit this line in 70% of games and 72% vs Minnesota. Since that opening game, Jokic has increased his shot volume and has hit this line in 3/3 games with 15+ FG attempts and I do not see that changing tonight. WestBrick and the boys can't hit the side of a barn door right now and Joker knows it, so I expect him to score tonight and then go back to Serbia to check on his horses 🐎

Randle’s covered in 3/4 games - AVG 14.3 REB chances. Randle AVG a 56.4% REB chance% since LS, so if he see’s his AVG of 14.3 RC, he should record roughly ~8.07 REB. He’ll MU against AG who primarily operates from the dunker spot, so Randle will always be around the rim. When he’s not, he’ll be in the corner and Randle will sag off - dragging him closer to the basket. Grabbing REB is always tough w/ Gobert but Jokic seems to have taken more of a scoring role this season, especially from three. He’s spoken about how DEN has no spacing/shooting threats besides MPJ/Murray and as a result has taken 3+ 3s in 3/4 games. Gobert will have to step out of the paint. More often than not, Randle will be the weak side rebounder on AG. Randle’s floor in REB chances seems to be 13 - when he records 13+ RC in a game he’s covered this line in 35/39 games since LS (89.7%). In one game vs. DEN last season, Randle also MUST against AG and grabbed 7 REB on just 11 RC (blowout). Weak-side rebounders vs. DEN: - Cam Johnson: 7 REB - covered - Jalen Wilson: 6 REB - covered - Scottie Barnes: 12 REB - covered - James Harden: 6 REB - covered - Jalen Williams: 3 REB

Fliff

Playoff like - both teams off overs at higher totals