Boise State vs. Northwestern Odds & Betting Predictions - March 16, 2023
Boise State at Northwestern
11:35 pm • truTVBoise State at Northwestern Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Boise State 24-10 | +1.5-110 | o127.5-112 | +115 | |
 Northwestern 17-16 | -1.5-110 | u127.5-108 | -135 | |
Golden 1 CenterSacramento
Boise State vs. Northwestern Expert Picks
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 28-60-0 (+8.8u)
NW -1.5-110
0.45u
MWC 1-24 as double digit seed, 10-19 this century in tossup games, Boise 0-5 in tourney.
Prove it, MWC.
https://medium.com/sportsraid/march-madness-2023-perfect-bracket-ncaa-history-purdue-kansas-alabama-houston-duke-ucla-texas-uconn-9cd5ddfea2e
Will Brinson
Last 30d: 6-24-0 (+45.1u)
BSU +2-110
1.1u
Mike Calabrese
Last 30d: 10-12-0 (-2.8u)
Under 128-110
3u
The Degenerate
Last 30d: 103-154-4 (-9.4u)
BSU +2-110
1u
Greg DiNardo
Last 30d: 56-38-1 (+14.2u)
BSU +1.5-110
1.1u
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 41-32-3 (+9.5u)
NW -2-105
3u
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 69-80-2 (+6.1u)
NW -120
0.13u
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 86-78-5 (+6.0u)
BSU +2-105
1u
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 107-118-15 (-1.6u)
BSU +2-110
$55.00
The Great Foosini
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
NW -1.5-110
0.91u
Matthew Freedman
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
T.Degenhart o1.5 Ast+120
1.2u
Projection - 1.8: For more, check out BettingPros.
Capper Central
Last 30d: 121-80-14 (+33.1u)
NW -120
$83.33
Sean Zerillo
Last 30d: 180-176-20 (+1.5u)
BSU +1.5-104
0.26u
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 15-48-0 (-7.1u)
R.Beran u5.5 Rebs-114
1u
FD: This just seems like a bad line. He's gone over this line once in the past 16 games, and thatcwas an OT game against a bad rebounding team. Projecting 3.6
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 231-237-5 (+2.2u)
BSU +1.5-110
1.1u
FTN Fantasy
Last 30d: 4-2-0 (+1.7u)
NW -1.5-110
0.91u
Follow my picks at FTNBets.com!
Shady Biev
Last 30d: 72-90-2 (+0.1u)
NW -1.5-110
1u
Sean Koerner
Last 30d: 33-27-0 (+8.7u)
C.Agbo o4.5 Rebs-110
1u
See my props piece for full analysis
Nico Terpak
Last 30d: 1-0-0 (+1.4u)
BSU +1.5-110
$110.00
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 68-79-1 (+14.2u)
BSU +2-110
0.55u
Anders
Last 30d: 7-5-1 (+2.5u)
BSU +2-110
1.1u
coin flip game i make them -1
Stuck 🚨
Last 30d: 16-12-0 (+2.2u)
BSU +1.5-105
0.5u
Betting the Mountain West in the tourney what could go wrong
Boise State vs. Northwestern Previews & Analysis
Boise State vs. Northwestern Notes
Bracket Predictions
Boise St. is the public's second favorite No. 10 seed upset pick, showing up in 43% of NCAA Tournament brackets nationwide.
As of the start of the First Round, the most likely team to make the Sweet 16 from this pod is No. 2 UCLA, with 69.2% odds.
Tournament Trends
Since 2002, No. 7 seeds like Northwestern are 49-30 against No. 10 seeds like Boise St. in the First Round (62.0% win rate, breakeven moneyline -163).
No. 7 seeds have the better record against the spread in those March Madness games, going 45-34 ATS (57.0% cover rate, average spread -1.5).
The No. 7 vs. No. 10 matchup has gone over the full game total 52.5% of the time (41-37-1, average over/under line 136.6).
The only appearance by No. 7 Northwestern in the past 20 NCAA tournaments was in 2017. They won one game, going 2-0 against the spread.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Boise State vs. Northwestern Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Northwestern are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Northwestern are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Northwestern are 10-5 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Northwestern' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 12 of Northwestern' 18 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17-15-1 | 7-10-1 | 10-5 | 8-6-1 | 9-9 |
| 18-15 | 11-6 | 7-9 | 15-13 | 3-2 |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22-11 | 12-6 | 10-5 | 9-6 | 13-5 |
| 15-18 | 9-8 | 6-10 | 14-14 | 1-4 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17-16 | N/A | N/A | 13-2 | 4-14 |
| 24-10 | N/A | N/A | 21-7 | 2-3 |
Last 5 Matchups
Boise State vs. Northwestern Injury Updates
Boise State Injuries
- Dominic ParolinF
Parolin is out for season with redshirt
Out for Season
- Drew FielderF/C
Fielder is out for season with personal
Out for Season
Northwestern Injuries
- Jalen LeachG
Leach is questionable with knee
Questionable
- Brooks BarnhizerG
Barnhizer is out for season with foot
Out for Season
- Blake BarkleyF
Barkley is questionable with undisclosed
Questionable
Team Stats
26-65 (40%)
Field Goals
26-53 (49%)
9-14 (64%)
Free Throws
15-18 (83%)
6-23 (26%)
3P
8-21 (38%)
38
Rebounds
30
15
Assists
9
9
Turnovers
7
2
Steals
7
0
Blocks
0
17
Fouls
16
Boise State vs. Northwestern Odds Comparison
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Boise State at Northwestern Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Boise State 24-10 | N/A | N/A |
Northwestern 17-16 | N/A | N/A |