49ers vs. Eagles Odds & Betting Predictions - January 29, 2023
49ers at Eagles
8:00 pm • FOX49ers at Eagles Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
49ers 5-5 | +2.5-102 | o44.5-110 | +131 | |
Eagles 8-2 | -2.5-120 | u44.5-110 | -155 |
Sunday 8:00 p.m.
January 29, 2023Lincoln Financial FieldPhiladelphia
49ers vs. Eagles Expert Picks
The Degenerates
663d ago
Last 30d: 72-77-3 (-12.8u)
M.Sanders u50.5 Rush Yds-115
1u
M.Sanders u13.5 Rush Att-115
1u
Convince Me
663d ago
Last 30d: 23-22-1 (-1.0u)
PHI -2.5 (Live)-108
0.93u
@SimonHunterNFL Gave out pregame. Adding for tracking now
Under 45.5 (Live)-113
0.88u
@ChrisRaybon Gave out pregame adding for tracking now
Stuck 🚨
663d ago
Last 30d: 62-40-0 (+8.5u)
SF +0.5 (2H)-110
0.5u
When in Rome, always back Josh Johnson in the 2H when there are only 2.5 football games left. Isn’t that the saying?
Tanner McGrath
663d ago
Last 30d: 82-73-3 (+1.3u)
SF +14.5 (Live)-105
0.42u
SF +11.5 (Live)-110
0.55u
Sean Zerillo
663d ago
Last 30d: 26-44-0 (-3.9u)
Under 41.5 (Live)-120
0.25u
CZR
Mjaybrod
663d ago
Last 30d: 130-100-1 (+17.8u)
J.Hurts o9.5 Rush Att-135
0.74u
J.Hurts Anytime TD Scorer-110
0.91u
Will Brinson
663d ago
Last 30d: 11-13-0 (-1.0u)
PHI -2.5-115
2u
D.Samuel o28.5 Rush Yds-120
2.4u
Jeremiah Rose
663d ago
Last 30d: 37-35-2 (+6.0u)
C.McCaffrey u65.5 Rush Yds-115
0.8u
Prop Bomb 🏝
663d ago
Last 30d: 14-12-0 (+1.0u)
J.Hurts o32.5 Pass Att-120
1.2u
MGM: Avg. 33.2 PassAtt L5. 35+ in three of the five. Two misses were vs NYG where both game was over at HT. PHI has shown they adapt gameplay via matchups. SF 2nd DVOA vs. Rush and 10 of L12 QB have 33+ PassAtt vs them. #PlayerProps
Prop Bet Guy
663d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
C.McCaffrey o4.5 Recs+104
1u
FanDuel. Mitchell being out pushed me over the edge on this one - CMC is over this line in 4/6 full games he’s played without him (excl the limited snaps he saw in his first game with SF). PHI has not faced many of the top running back receivers this season, but they do rank 24th in DVOA (per Football Outsiders).
Prop Bomb 🏝
663d ago
Last 30d: 14-12-0 (+1.0u)
M.Sanders u50.5 Rush Yds-110
1u
FD: Full write-up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/miles-sanders-player-props-expert-bet-rushing-yards-49ers-vs-eagles?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=propbomb
Shady Biev
663d ago
Last 30d: 153-191-1 (-42.5u)
SF +3-115
2.3u
Chris Raybon
663d ago
Last 30d: 10-15-2 (-6.2u)
C.McCaffrey o14.5 Rush Att-110
0.91u
15+ in 4 of last 5 with Mitchell out
YBK Picks.com
663d ago
Last 30d: 55-39-1 (+29.7u)
PHI -2.5-105
3u
Joe Dellera
663d ago
Last 30d: 74-86-3 (-2.4u)
C.McCaffrey Anytime TD Scorer+150
0.15u
DK Boost
Chris Raybon
663d ago
Last 30d: 10-15-2 (-6.2u)
D.Samuel o21.5 Rush Yds-130
1u
26+ in 6 of 8 career playoff games, Mitchell out
SF +3-115
1u
Nick Giffen
663d ago
Last 30d: 43-105-1 (-15.0u)
J.Jennings Anytime TD Scorer+850
0.5u
Project +775 fair
FanDuel QuickSlip: https://account.sportsbook.fanduel.com/sportsbook/addToBetslip?marketId[0]=42.360386421&selectionId[0]=28236251&shareBetId=10023_-443033149
Z.Pascal Anytime TD Scorer+1800
0.25u
Dropped to 18-1 at FD so I'll double dip
FanDuel QuickSlip:
https://account.sportsbook.fanduel.com/sportsbook/addToBetslip?marketId[0]=42.360386421&selectionId[0]=20538928&shareBetId=10023_-443033149
Sandy Plashkes
663d ago
Last 30d: 123-110-0 (+17.6u)
D.Samuel Anytime TD Scorer+175
$50.00
Jeremiah Rose
663d ago
Last 30d: 37-35-2 (+6.0u)
D.Samuel Anytime TD Scorer+185
0.25u
D.Samuel o21.5 Rush Yds-110
1u
Sean Zerillo
663d ago
Last 30d: 26-44-0 (-3.9u)
Under 45.5-110
0.5u
DK
Simon Hunter
663d ago
Last 30d: 22-25-0 (-6.0u)
Over 45.5-109
1.9u
Fix bet. Sorry ment over-!
Nick Giffen
663d ago
Last 30d: 43-105-1 (-15.0u)
SF +3-118
1.18u
At BetRivers: #LuckRankings
D.Samuel Anytime TD Scorer+185
0.5u
At PointsBet
Thin value so half unit. Project +180 fair.
B.Aiyuk Anytime TD Scorer+290
1u
Project +275 fair
FanDuel QuickSlip: https://account.sportsbook.fanduel.com/sportsbook/addToBetslip?marketId[0]=42.360386421&selectionId[0]=28236248&shareBetId=10023_-443033149
Tanner McGrath
663d ago
Last 30d: 82-73-3 (+1.3u)
G.Kittle Anytime TD Scorer+220
0.4u
Riding with @GDAWG5000
D.Smith Anytime TD Scorer+150
0.5u
Riding with @GDAWG5000
D.Goedert Anytime TD Scorer+240
0.4u
Riding with @GDAWG5000
Q.Watkins u14.5 Rec Yds-140
0.4u
Q.Watkins u1.5 Recs-140
0.4u
Simon Hunter
663d ago
Last 30d: 22-25-0 (-6.0u)
PHI -1.5 (1H)-110
0.91u
Sandy Plashkes
663d ago
Last 30d: 123-110-0 (+17.6u)
Over 23 (1H)+100
$50.00
Simon Hunter
663d ago
Last 30d: 22-25-0 (-6.0u)
PHI -2.5-120
0.83u
Under 45.5-111
0.9u
Sandy Plashkes
663d ago
Last 30d: 123-110-0 (+17.6u)
D.Smith o66.5 Rec Yds-120
$60.00
Prop Bet Guy
663d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
D.Goedert u19.5 Longest Reception-122
1u
Full write up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-props-expert-eagles-vs-49ers-chiefs-vs-bengals-picks?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=propbetguy
The Touchdown Show
663d ago
Last 30d: 5-36-0 (-7.1u)
Z.Pascal Anytime TD Scorer+1400
0.25u
@nick_giffen
D.Smith Anytime TD Scorer+190
1u
@GDAWG5000
Mjaybrod
663d ago
Last 30d: 130-100-1 (+17.8u)
PHI -2.5-120
1.67u
PHI -155
1.94u
Dale Tanhardt
663d ago
Last 30d: 17-36-0 (+40.1u)
G.Kittle o3.5 Recs-160
1.6u
#69WithDale
Nick Giffen
663d ago
Last 30d: 43-105-1 (-15.0u)
Q.Watkins u1.5 Recs-130
1u
At DK: Writeup in Predictive Analytics Best Bets
Gilles Gallant
663d ago
Last 30d: 48-85-2 (+4.0u)
D.Goedert Anytime TD Scorer+240
0.75u
Bet at Bet365.
Tanner McGrath
663d ago
Last 30d: 82-73-3 (+1.3u)
Under 46-110
0.8u
J.Hurts u46.5 Rush Yds-120
0.4u
B.Purdy u0.5 Int+150
0.6u
PHI -2.5-110
1u
Prop Bet Guy
663d ago
Last 30d: 69-52-0 (+10.4u)
J.Hurts o9.5 Rush Att-125
1u
DraftKings. The 49ers rush defense ranks 2nd in Football Outsider’s DVOA metric. Against RPO based offenses, they’ve traditionally broke contain to protect against the running back, which has led to QB’s having some success on the ground. Philly will have to utilize this in their run game.
And obviously QB rush attempts are part of the pass game: if the Eagles are going pass heavy, that’ll lead to more scramble opportunities.
He’s had 9 and 9 in consecutive games post injury that were hardly competitive. This game should be, and his legs will be needed. Before his injury, he was 7/10 clearing this line in games that were decided by 14 pts or less.
Chris Meaney
663d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
A.Brown o26.5 Longest Reception-115
1.15u
D.Smith o65.5 Rec Yds-125
1.25u
C.McCaffrey o32.5 Rec Yds-115
1.15u
Chris Raybon
664d ago
Last 30d: 10-15-2 (-6.2u)
Under 46.5-110
0.91u
https://www.actionnetwork.com/content/san-francisco-49ers-vs-philadelphia-eagles-odds-picks-prediction-championship-game-nfc/embed
Joe Dellera
664d ago
Last 30d: 74-86-3 (-2.4u)
C.McCaffrey o49.5 Rec Yds+260
0.15u
Via @wheatonbrando
Brandon Anderson
664d ago
Last 30d: 32-50-0 (+2.7u)
C.McCaffrey o74.5 Rec Yds+1025
0.25u
75+ sprinkle escalator
C.McCaffrey o49.5 Rec Yds+260
0.75u
Eagles 24th DVOA vs pass catching RBs. CMC is banged up but gotta empty the tank with the season on the line and two weeks off. He's become Purdy security blanket, averaging 4.8 catches for 40 yards in full Niners games.
Prefer making the juice worth the squeeze to the traditional over -- if he's healthy enough and we're right he should be 50/50 or better to hit this.
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-conference-championship-picks-bets-player-props-49ers-vs-eagles-bengals-vs-chiefs?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=brandonanderson
B.Purdy u31.5 Pass Att-104
0.48u
No reason to think Purdy will be passing a lot. Kyle should protect him and emphasize the run. Under in 6/8 Purdy games.
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-conference-championship-picks-bets-player-props-49ers-vs-eagles-bengals-vs-chiefs?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=brandonanderson
Joe Dellera
664d ago
Last 30d: 74-86-3 (-2.4u)
D.Smith o65.5 Rec Yds-115
0.25u
Via @wheatonbrando
Brandon Anderson
664d ago
Last 30d: 32-50-0 (+2.7u)
D.Smith o65.5 Rec Yds-115
1.5u
Niners struggle vs WR2 so this is a devonta game. He's red hot with huge jump last 7g from early season:
First 11g: 5/55, 3 TD
Last 7g: 6.4/93, 5 TD
Playing almost every snap and an expanded role in red zone and stretching field, up from 7 to 10 targets. His versatility to play in the slot or outside will be a key mismatch and he can hit the big play.
My favorite prop of the weekend and I'm playing some alts. +270 to have the most yards in this game, and +5000 DK for SB MVP if you haven't tailed yet.
Lean Eagles at home but small play with both teams a bit unproven and unknown against elite competition plus so similar. Comes down to what you trust more: Philly passing or SF run. I trust Hurts to find Brown and Smith against a beatable secondary, and pass > run plus home field and healthy vs a 7th round rookie on the road.
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-conference-championship-picks-bets-player-props-49ers-vs-eagles-bengals-vs-chiefs?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=brandonanderson
PHI -2.5-115
0.43u
Lean Eagles at home but small play with both teams a bit unproven and unknown against elite competition plus so similar. Comes down to what you trust more: Philly passing or SF run. I trust Hurts to find Brown and Smith against a beatable secondary, and pass > run plus home field and healthy vs a 7th round rookie on the road.
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-conference-championship-picks-bets-player-props-49ers-vs-eagles-bengals-vs-chiefs?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=brandonanderson
Under 46.5-110
1.36u
Expect points to be at a premium. Niners #2 run vs top rushing attack. Purdy facing by far biggest test vs #1 pass pressure and DVOA pass D. Both offenses exploit opponent weaknesses but neither D have many.
Both O somewhat unproven vs top D. 49ers TO dependent too and Eagles rarely turn it over. Both teams want to run a lot and play slow pace. Nagging injuries to CMC, Hurts, Lane help too.
All signs point under for me. My favorite traditional pick of the weekend as given out on Hot Read and best bets pod and in the article:
https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-conference-championship-picks-bets-player-props-49ers-vs-eagles-bengals-vs-chiefs?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=brandonanderson
Charlie DiSturco
664d ago
Last 30d: 43-65-2 (-4.2u)
B.Aiyuk o45.5 Rec Yds-110
1.1u
Writeup: https://www.actionnetwork.com/content/49ers-vs-eagles-same-game-parlay-devonta-smith-brandon-aiyuk-player-props-spread/embed
Jeremiah Rose
664d ago
Last 30d: 37-35-2 (+6.0u)
PHI u24.5-120
1u
Greg Matherne
665d ago
Last 30d: 32-39-0 (+0.0u)
Z.Pascal Anytime TD Scorer+1400
$31.25
Action Pod NFL Picks
665d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
PHI -2.5-115
0.96u
Luke Swain / VegasRefund Best Bet
Under 46.5-110
1u
Anderson Best Bet
G.Kittle Anytime TD Scorer+185
1.1u
Gallant best bet
D.Smith Anytime TD Scorer+180
1.1u
Gallant best bet
D.Smith o65.5 Rec Yds-110
1.1u
Anderson Best Bet
A.Brown o70.5 Rec Yds-110
1.1u
Luke Swain / VegasRefund Best Bet
Sunday Six Pack
665d ago
Last 30d: 10-14-0 (-5.3u)
Under 46.5-110
1u
Raybon 1
B.Purdy u0.5 Int+114
1.14u
Raybon 3
Q.Watkins u16.5 Rec Yds-120
1u
Raybon 2
J.Hurts u49.5 Rush Yds-114
1u
Stuckey 1
The Favorites Podcast
665d ago
Last 30d: 8-8-0 (-0.8u)
Over 46.5-110
1.1u
Foxhole
PHI -2.5-115
1u
Big Balls
Action Island
665d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
A.Brown o70.5 Rec Yds-129
1u
#vegasrefund @VegasRefund
D.Smith Anytime TD Scorer+185
1u
#gillesgallant @GDAWG5000
PHI -2.5-115
0.87u
#simonhunter @SimonHunterNFL
Nick Giffen
665d ago
Last 30d: 43-105-1 (-15.0u)
Z.Pascal Anytime TD Scorer+1400
0.25u
At PointsBet: Analsyis on @TheTDShow on Sunday
Green Dot Daily
665d ago
Last 30d: 18-26-0 (-3.6u)
Q.Watkins u15.5 Rec Yds-127
0.79u
#chrisraybon @ChrisRaybon
Under 46.5-110
0.91u
#chrisraybon @ChrisRaybon
J.Hurts u47.5 Rush Yds-117
0.85u
#stuckey @Stuckey2
Charlie DiSturco
665d ago
Last 30d: 43-65-2 (-4.2u)
PHI -2.5-110
1u
Four rookie QBs have played in an NFC/AFC Championship. They are 0-4 SU and 1-3 ATS… the lone cover? A double-digit underdog. Eagles are home, fully healthy and 14-1 under Hurts. Just feels like market is too high on SF, especially w McCaff/Mitchell nursing injuries. Think this gets to 3 by game time
Green Dot Daily
666d ago
Last 30d: 18-26-0 (-3.6u)
J.Jennings u13.5 Longest Reception-115
0.87u
#seankoerner @The_Oddsmaker
Gilles Gallant
666d ago
Last 30d: 48-85-2 (+4.0u)
D.Smith Anytime TD Scorer+190
1u
Bet at FanDuel. My fave Eagle to score. Has 8+ targets in 10 straight games. 6 TD in that stretch. Niners gave up 16 TD to WR this season and bottom-5 in passing yards to position. Like AJ Brown too but picking between the two, I’m with Devonta.
If you have FanDuel and want to tail, use QuickSlip below for easy process:
https://www.actionnetwork.com/api/link-fdbs?marketId%5B0%5D=42.360386421&selectionId%5B0%5D=16602548&shareBetId=10023_-443033149
G.Kittle Anytime TD Scorer+220
1u
Bet at Bet365. Best price on the board. Down to +185-ish at most spots. Purdy’s fave target. Eagles strong vs outside receiving and more vulnerable on inside.
Stuck 🚨
667d ago
Last 30d: 62-40-0 (+8.5u)
J.Hurts u49.5 Rush Yds-117
0.43u
C.McCaffrey u61.5 Rush Yds-115
0.5u
Nick Martin
667d ago
Last 30d: 151-265-2 (-9.4u)
PHI -2.5-115
0.87u
Bet365 5:12 pm EST Thursday.
Charlie DiSturco
667d ago
Last 30d: 43-65-2 (-4.2u)
J.Jennings u14.5 Longest Reception-120
1u
@The_Oddsmaker
D.Smith o65.5 Rec Yds-110
1.1u
Back to the well here w/ Devonta. SF entered last week 24th in DVOA against the deep ball and if Dak didn’t have tunnel vision, he had TY wide open for multiple 25+ yards receptions. Devonta should be used deep and often in a closer game script
Sean Koerner
667d ago
Last 30d: 35-25-0 (+5.6u)
J.Jennings u14.5 Longest Reception-120
1u
BetMGM: see my prop guide for full analysis
M.Sanders u1.5 Recs-150
1u
DK: see my prop guide for full analysis
Chris Raybon
667d ago
Last 30d: 10-15-2 (-6.2u)
B.Purdy u0.5 Int+150
1.5u
0 turnover-worthy throws over last 3 games (79 att). Even after adjusting for PHI defense, projecting Purdy to throw 0 INT 47.5% of the time, so edge on u0.5 INT at +112 or better.
Chad Millman
668d ago
Last 30d: 25-25-1 (+0.3u)
Q.Watkins u17.5 Rec Yds-125
0.8u
#Tailing @ChrisRaybon. FD quickslip. https://account.sportsbook.fanduel.com/sportsbook/addToBetslip?marketId[0]=42.360468990&selectionId[0]=40913449&shareBetId=10023_-443033149
Chris Raybon
668d ago
Last 30d: 10-15-2 (-6.2u)
Q.Watkins u19.5 Rec Yds-122
0.82u
Median 0 rec yds in 13g with Goedert. Season-low 27% route participation even with AJB gimpy last week. Projecting median of 13.
Chad Millman
668d ago
Last 30d: 25-25-1 (+0.3u)
Over 45.5-109
1u
Green Dot Daily
668d ago
Last 30d: 18-26-0 (-3.6u)
Over 45.5-110
1u
#simonhunter @SimonHunterNFL
Chris Meaney
669d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
D.Smith o5.5 Recs+110
1u
Green Dot Daily
669d ago
Last 30d: 18-26-0 (-3.6u)
SF +3-103
1u
@nick_giffen #NickGiffen
SF +125
1u
@nick_giffen #NickGiffen
Under 45.5-110
0.91u
@wheatonbrando #BrandonAnderson
Jim Sannes
669d ago
Last 30d: 14-20-0 (+9.6u)
SF +125
1u
I still think the 49ers' offense will struggle at some point, especially if they fall behind. But my model makes them a slight favorite here even with the game in Philadelphia. It's the combination of elite defensive play with an absurdly efficient offense that pushes them over the edge. I think the moneyline is the better play than the spread here because I do think the Eagles would be in position to coast if they were to claim an early lead. It's not fun to bet against the Eagles, given how much of a delight they've been this year, but I do agree with what my numbers are saying here.
Chris Meaney
669d ago
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
PHI -2.5-110
1u
Under 45.5-110
1u
Joe Dellera
669d ago
Last 30d: 74-86-3 (-2.4u)
PHI -125
0.32u
Nick Giffen
669d ago
Last 30d: 43-105-1 (-15.0u)
SF +116
1u
#LuckRankings
Chad Millman
669d ago
Last 30d: 25-25-1 (+0.3u)
PHI -2-110
0.91u
Simon Hunter
669d ago
Last 30d: 22-25-0 (-6.0u)
PHI -2-110
0.45u
Make it 3
Collin Wilson
669d ago
Last 30d: 62-49-0 (+5.1u)
Under 46-110
1u
PHI -125
2u
First hit at FD; this at DK. Option to come back next week
PHI -138
2u
49ers vs. Eagles Previews & Analysis
49ers vs. Eagles Props
Prop Projections
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Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
49ers vs. Eagles Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Eagles are 0-1 in their last 5 games.
- Eagles are 0-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Eagles are 0-1 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Eagles' last 1 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Eagles' 4 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Eagles vs. 49ers Injury Updates
Eagles Injuries
- DeVonta SmithWR
Smith is out with hamstring
Out
- Byron YoungDT
Young is out with hamstring
Out
- Ben VanSumerenLB
VanSumeren is questionable with concussion
Questionable
49ers Injuries
- Jon FelicianoOL
Feliciano is questionable with knee
Questionable
- Trent WilliamsT
Williams is questionable with ankle
Questionable
- Charvarius WardCB
Ward is out with personal
Out
- Nick BosaDE
Bosa is questionable with hip
Questionable
- Kevin GivensDE
Givens is out with groin
Out
- Mitch WishnowskyP
Wishnowsky is out with back
Out
- Brandon AiyukWR
Aiyuk is out with leg
Out
- Yetur Gross-MatosDE
Gross-Matos is questionable with knee
Questionable
- Aaron BanksOL
Banks is questionable with thigh
Questionable
- Brock PurdyQB
Purdy is out with shoulder
Out
- Darrell LuterCB
Luter is doubtful with pelvis
Doubtful
Team Stats
49ers vs. Eagles Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
49ers at Eagles Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
49ers 5-5 | o20.5-127 | u20.5-102 |
Eagles 8-2 | o23.5-113 | u23.5-113 |