Broncos vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Predictions - October 13, 2023

Broncos at Chiefs

12:15 am • Amazon Prime Video

Denver Broncos

5-4

8 - 19

Kansas City Chiefs

8-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Broncos 5-4	+10.5	+10.5-110	o47.5-108	+430
Chiefs 8-0	u47.5	-10.5-110	u47.5-112	-590

Friday 12:15 a.m.

October 13, 2023

GEHA Field at Arrowhead StadiumKansas City

Over 47.5-106

Shit wager

J.Jeudy o52.5 Rec Yds-120

“ Juedy is a Tier 3 receiver “ - Steve Smith

M.Valdes-Scantling u1.5 Recs-110

0.91u

B.Johnson u1.5 Recs-120

0.83u

I.Pacheco 2+ TDs+390

0.5u

DEN +10.5-110

Under 47.5-110

0.45u

R.Rice Anytime TD Scorer+310

0.25u

DEN +10.5-110

1.1u

C.Sutton o3.5 Recs-122

As given out on Action Island

Under 47.5-105

N.Gray Anytime TD Scorer+430

0.25u

K.Toney u27.5 Rec Yds-115

0.87u

@The_Oddsmaker

J.Jeudy Anytime TD Scorer+250

@GDAWG5000

C.Sutton o3.5 Recs-130

0.77u

@nick_giffen

C.Sutton u19.5 Longest Reception-115

1.15u

READ IT 💎: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/courtland-sutton-prop-pick-thursday-night-football-bet-for-broncos-vs-chiefs?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_campaign=propbomb

K.Toney u29.5 Rec Yds-110

0.91u

@The_Oddsmaker

J.Jeudy Anytime TD Scorer+240

0.5u

@GDAWG5000

J.McKinnon Anytime TD Scorer+310

0.5u

@GDAWG5000

K.Toney u29.5 Rec Yds-110

@The_Oddsmaker

Under 47-110

#LuckRankings

DEN +11-110

1.1u

DEN +10.5-110

Sorry miss clicked on chiefs

Under 47-110

0.91u

KC -10.5-110

0.91u

T.Kelce u65.5 Rec Yds-120

0.5u

I.Pacheco u79.5 Rush Yds-115

0.87u

Fading primetime narratives

Under 47-110

0.91u

A Luck Rankings under

Over 46.5-110

KC -10.5-110

0.68u

Thursday free play. Fire up Pacheco Over props tonight too!!!

J.Williams o1.5 Recs-160

J.McKinnon o13.5 Rec Yds-112

0.89u

J.McKinnon o24.5 Rush + Rec Yds-114

1.14u

Analysis: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/nfl-player-props-bet-jerick-mckinnon-on-thursday-night-football

I.Pacheco Anytime TD Scorer-125

Under 47.5-110

C.Sutton o3.5 Recs-115

0.87u

Royal locksmith is red hot you better tail

DEN +10.5-110

$55.00

I.Pacheco o14.5 Rec Yds-112

$50.00

J.Watson o19.5 Longest Reception+135

0.25u

Every time he has cleared the base line of 15.5 he’s also cleared 20+. 26, 34, 37, 5, 33 this season

I.Pacheco o12.5 Rec Yds-120

0.21u

Under 47-110

0.91u

DEN +11-112

0.3u

Smaller play. Hate TNF

Under 47.5-110

0.91u

NFL under on high spread games system Overall: 201-111-4,64% (ROI:25%) Season:2-2-0,50% (ROI:-5%)

DEN +460

0.25u

Over 47.5-110

1.1u

J.Jeudy Anytime TD Scorer+240

Bet at Bet365.

J.McKinnon Anytime TD Scorer+310

Bet at Caesars. Would still play to +300.

J.McKinnon 2+ TDs+3100

0.2u

Bet at FanDuel. I know he’s being phased out. I know Pacheco has more targets than him this season. But Broncos have already given up 4 passing TD to RB this season. AND, Mckinnon had 2 TD in both games vs DEN last year. Taking a swing!

I.Pacheco o15.5 Longest Rush-120

Over 47.5-110

C.Sutton o3.5 Recs-120

Buy low spot; got a bad # here because of weather, but don’t think much is going to change. Broncos will be in negative game script and be forced to path

J.Watson o19.5 Rec Yds-113

@PropBetGuy

J.Watson o19.5 Rec Yds-113

1.13u

Amidst the Chiefs WR rotation, he’s been consistent at 20-25 routes per game. 45+ yards in 4/5 games, with one dud vs the Jets tough secondary. Broncos are 31st in DVOA against the deep ball, which is Watson’s specialty (aDOT is 23.3 - 9 of his 16 targets are 20+ yards). 10/14 hitting this line with just 2+ targets dating back to last season. But now with his highest snap share of his chiefs career, I have him at 3 targets.

C.Sutton o3.5 Recs-115

DEN +10.5-105

1.05u

DEN +10.5-105

0.75u

Of course I hate it. But it’s the play we knew we had to take on Sunday episode of the favorites. Very very small bet.

Featured Insight
The Chiefs have a third down conversion rate of 31.0% in late and close games since Week 16 of the 2022 Season -- eighth-worst in NFL. The Broncos defense has allowed a third down conversion rate of 29.0% in close and late situations since Week 16 of the 2022 Season -- seventh-best in NFL.

TRY FOR FREE

Featured Insight
The Chiefs have gone three and out on 12% of their drives this season -- second-best in NFL. Broncos have forced three and outs on 11% of opponent drives this season -- worst in NFL.

TRY FOR FREE

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NFL Public Betting

Chiefs are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
Chiefs are 1-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Chiefs are 2-1 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Chiefs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Chiefs' 4 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Chiefs	4-3-1	2-2	2-1-1	3-3-1	1-0
Broncos	6-3	2-2	4-1	3-0	3-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Chiefs	4-4	3-1	1-3	4-3	0-1
Broncos	6-3	3-1	3-2	3-0	3-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Chiefs	8-0	N/A	N/A	7-0	1-0
Broncos	5-4	N/A	N/A	3-0	2-4

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 8th	@MIN	W 27-20	-3.5 W	U 52.5	KC -176
Oct 2nd	@NYJ	W 23-20	-7.5 L	O 41.5	KC -390
Sep 24th	CHI	W 41-10	-12.5 W	O 48.5	KC -750
Sep 17th	@JAC	W 17-9	-3.5 W	U 50.5	KC -165
Sep 8th	DET	L 20-21	-4 L	U 52.5	DET -210

Josh Reynolds
WR
Reynolds is out with hand
Out
P.J. Locke
S
Locke is out with thumb
Out
Delarrin Turner-Yell
S
Turner-Yell is out with knee
Out

JuJu Smith-Schuster
WR
Smith-Schuster is out with hamstring
Out
Hollywood Brown
WR
Hollywood Brown (shoulder surgery) headed to IR.
Out
Mike Danna
DE
Danna is out with pectoral
Out
Isiah Pacheco
RB
Isiah Pacheco set to miss "real time" with fibula fracture, per Ian Rapoport.
Out
Nazeeh Johnson
S
Johnson is out with concussion
Out
Rashee Rice
WR
Rice is out with leg
Out
Jared Wiley
TE
Wiley is out with knee
Out

See more NFL Injuries

Broncos

Total

Chiefs

197

Total Yards

389

Total Plays

Yards Per Play

5.6

Broncos

Passing

Chiefs

YDS

306

13/22

Comps/Atts

30/41

3.154

YPA

6.814

1/2

TDs/INTs

1/1

4/13

Sacks/Yards

2/13

Broncos

Rushing

Chiefs

115

Rush Yards

Attempts

YPC

3.556

TDs

Broncos

Turnovers

Chiefs

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Broncos

Efficiency

Chiefs

1/1 100%

Redzone

1/5 20%

4/10 0%

3rd Down

4/13 0%

0/1 0%

4th Down

0/1 0%

Broncos

First Downs

Chiefs

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Broncos

Misc

Chiefs

3/34

Penalties/Yards

7/84

24:13

Possession

35:47

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See more NFL Odds

MatchupOverUnder
Broncos 5-4	o17.5-106	u17.5-122
Chiefs 8-0	o29.5+100	u29.5-110

Broncos vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Predictions - October 13, 2023

Broncos at Chiefs

Denver Broncos

Kansas City Chiefs

Broncos at Chiefs Odds

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Broncos

Chiefs

Broncos vs. Chiefs Previews & Analysis

Action Network's NFL Week 6 Betting Primer (Sunday Update)

How We're Live Betting Thursday Night Football

Our Best Bets for Broncos vs. Chiefs Tonight

Koerner's Broncos vs. Chiefs Breakdown & Pick

Broncos vs. Chiefs Props

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Broncos vs. Chiefs Public Betting Percentages

Broncos

Public

Chiefs

Bets%

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Against the Spread (ATS) History

Over/Under History

Straight-Up (ML) History

Last 5 Matchups

Broncos vs. Chiefs Injury Updates

Broncos Injuries

Chiefs Injuries

Broncos vs. Chiefs Odds Comparison

Broncos at Chiefs Team Totals