Raiders vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - September 17, 2023

Raiders at Bills

5:00 pm • CBS

Las Vegas Raiders

4-13

10 - 38

Buffalo Bills

2-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Raiders 4-13	+7.5-119	o46.5-115	+270
Bills 2-1	-7.5-106	u46.5-110	-355

Sunday 5:00 p.m.

September 17, 2023

Highmark StadiumOrchard Park

LV +14.5 (Live)-115

0.1u

Can go for nice middle here

D.Knox o2.5 Recs-115

1.3u

S.Diggs o76.5 Rec Yds-125

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LV +7.5-105

2.1u

BUF -7.5-110

0.91u

BUF -7.5-109

0.92u

BUF -7.5-111

BUF -7.5-110

0.91u

Caesars

Over 46.5-110

0.5u

D.Adams Anytime TD Scorer+155

1.55u

@charliedisturco

S.Diggs o76.5 Rec Yds-110

BUF -7.5-110

0.91u

Line's dipped too low. Bills aren't opening 0-2.

BUF -7.5-110

BUF -8-110

0.91u

J.Jacobs Anytime TD Scorer+100

Josh Jacobs 2 TD’s in a Raiders outright win

BUF -8.5-107

J.Jacobs o70.5 Rush Yds-115

T.Bernard o6.5 Tackles + Ast+100

D.Deablo o7.5 Tackles + Ast-110

0.91u

J.Cook o45.5 Rush Yds-120

0.83u

LV +9-110

Derek Carr has been reincarnated in Jimmy

BUF -8-110

0.5u

BUF -8.5-105

1.05u

SIMON SAYS

BUF -9.5-110

Stuckey2

LV +320

0.5u

Just a bit in case the reads on Buffalo (and Vegas) are off

BUF -8-110

0.91u

BUF -8.5-112

0.89u

This was the Simon Says bet on the Tuesday episode of @TheFavoritesPodcast.

BUF -8.5-110

Projected on the other side of -10. Overreaction to Week 1.

BUF -8.5-112

0.54u

BUF -9.5-110

0.91u

@SimonHunterNFL

BUF -9-108

BUF -8.5-112

#LuckRankings

LV +8.5-105

Available at FanDuel. This is down from 9.5 prior to Monday night's game, but I'm still showing value in the Raiders. Even assuming Jakobi Meyers can't go following his hit on Sunday, the Raiders still project to be a somewhat efficient passing offense with Jimmy Garoppolo. In a week where most of the league struggled offensively, the Raiders' passing offense put up decent underlying numbers even against a tough Broncos defense. The Bills won't play as poorly as they did Monday night, but they still have some issues along the offensive line to sort out. Even assuming Chandler Jones doesn't play again, my model makes the Bills 6.2-point favorites, a big enough gap to take the points.

Featured Insight
The Bills have scored 15.4 points per game in the second half since Week 14 of the 2022 Season -- second-best in NFL. The Raiders have allowed 12.5 PPG during the second half since Week 14 of the 2022 Season -- tied for eighth-worst in NFL.

TRY FOR FREE

Featured Insight
The Raiders have rushed for just 621 yards since Week 14 of the 2022 Season -- ninth-fewest in NFL. The Bills have allowed just 629 yards rushing since Week 14 of the 2022 Season -- 10th-fewest in NFL.

TRY FOR FREE

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NFL Public Betting

Bills are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Bills are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Bills are 5-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Bills' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 6 of Bills' 8 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bills	10-7	5-3	5-4	8-5	2-2
Raiders	8-9	4-4	4-5	2-1	6-8

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Bills	11-6	6-2	5-4	10-3	1-3
Raiders	9-8	5-3	4-5	1-2	8-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Bills	13-4	N/A	N/A	11-2	2-2
Raiders	4-13	N/A	N/A	2-1	2-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 12th	@NYJ	L 16-22	-2.5 L	U 44.5	NYJ -140
Aug 26th	@CHI	W 24-21	-3 L	O 37.5	BUF -186
Aug 19th	@PIT	L 15-27	-1 L	U 42.5	PIT -110
Aug 12th	IND	W 23-19	+3.5 W	O 36.5	BUF +140
Jan 22nd	CIN	L 10-27	-5.5 L	U 48.5	CIN -255

Taylor Rapp
S
Rapp is out with back
Out
Darrynton Evans
RB
Evans is out with hamstring
Out
Joshua Palmer
WR
Palmer is out with heel
Out

Christian Benford
CB
Benford is questionable with concussion
Questionable
Baylon Spector
LB
Spector is out with calf
Out

Adam Butler
DT
Butler is questionable with concussion
Questionable
Alex Cappa
G
Cappa is questionable with concussion
Questionable
Maxx Crosby
DE
Crosby is out with ankle
Out
Lonnie Johnson
S
Johnson is out with shoulder
Out
Leki Fotu
DT
Fotu is doubtful with knee
Doubtful
Jordan Meredith
G
Meredith is questionable with ankle
Questionable
Zamir White
RB
White is out with quad
Out
Sincere McCormick
RB
McCormick is out with ankle
Out
Sam Webb
CB
Webb is questionable with back
Questionable

See more NFL Injuries

Raiders

Total

Bills

240

Total Yards

450

Total Plays

6.2

Yards Per Play

6.1

Raiders

Passing

Bills

185

YDS

274

16/24

Comps/Atts

31/37

7.708

YPA

6.846

1/2

TDs/INTs

3/0

0/0

Sacks/Yards

2/7

Raiders

Rushing

Bills

Rush Yards

183

Attempts

3.667

YPC

5.229

TDs

Raiders

Turnovers

Bills

Fumbles Lost

Interceptions

Raiders

Efficiency

Bills

1/2 50%

Redzone

5/7 71.43%

3/7 0%

3rd Down

7/13 0%

0/0 0%

4th Down

3/4 0%

Raiders

First Downs

Bills

Total

Pass

Rush

Penalty

Raiders

Misc

Bills

2/30

Penalties/Yards

4/30

19:56

Possession

40:04

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MatchupOverUnder
Raiders 4-13	o19-115	u19-107
Bills 2-1	o27.5-110	u27.5-118

Raiders vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - September 17, 2023

Raiders at Bills

Las Vegas Raiders

Buffalo Bills

Raiders at Bills Odds

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Raiders vs. Bills Previews & Analysis

McMurphy's Law: Looking Ahead to CFB Week 5

NFL Luck Rankings: Saints-Panthers Fits Threshold

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Our NFL Best Bets for the 1 p.m. ET Slate

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Raiders

Public

Bills

Bets%

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