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Texans vs. Chiefs Odds & Betting Predictions - December 21, 2024

Texans at Chiefs

6:00 pm • NBC

Houston Texans

10-7
19
19 - 27

Kansas City Chiefs

15-2
27

Texans at Chiefs Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Texans
10-7
+4
+3.5-120
o43-108
+158
Chiefs
15-2
u48
-3.5+100
u43-112
-190
location pinSaturday 6:00 p.m.
December 21, 2024
GEHA Field at Arrowhead StadiumKansas City
Texans vs. Chiefs Expert Picks
Jake Friend
Jake Friend
16d ago
Last 30d: 274-223-5 (+47.9u)
KC -7.5 (Live)-130
1u
Kyle Just Bets
Kyle Just Bets
16d ago
Last 30d: 41-22-0 (+10.2u)
X.Worthy o39.5 Rec Yds (Live)-110
0.91u
Billy Ward
Billy Ward
16d ago
Last 30d: 12-14-1 (+0.5u)
Under 42.5-110
0.55u
HOU +3.5-120
1.2u
Prop Hunter
Prop Hunter
16d ago
Last 30d: 5-12-0 (-1.1u)
N.Collins Anytime TD Scorer Yes+120
0.5u
T.Kelce Anytime TD Scorer Yes+170
0.5u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
16d ago
Last 30d: 466-519-23 (-8.4u)
I.Pacheco o11.5 Rush Att-122
1u
Pro Prop of the Day
JB Bets
JB Bets
16d ago
Last 30d: 23-4-0 (+14.7u)
D.Hopkins o34.5 Rec Yds-135
0.74u
Free VIP Play, Join to get these plays before the line moves🫡
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
16d ago
Last 30d: 90-77-8 (+12.0u)
Under 42.5-110
1.1u
Simon Hunter
Simon Hunter
16d ago
Last 30d: 35-45-2 (-12.2u)
HOU +3.5-120
0.5u
Under 42.5-110
0.5u
Sir Lockselot
Sir Lockselot
16d ago
Last 30d: 30-74-0 (-50.6u)
T.Kelce Anytime TD Scorer Yes+160
2u
🔑 Travis Kelce ATTD +160 (FanDuel) 2u System play. B- grade, 2.12% edge and a 41.34% win probability. Kelce is so so due to get one in. He owes me coin, I think he gets it done. A solid +EV play. My system calculates this at +142. Swifties stand up!
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
16d ago
Last 30d: 466-519-23 (-8.4u)
X.Worthy u1.5 Rush Yds+115
0.5u
4.94% ev
YBK Picks.com
16d ago
Last 30d: 45-58-1 (-27.7u)
KC -3.5-105
1.9u
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
16d ago
Last 30d: 121-121-4 (-0.4u)
HOU +3.5-115
1.15u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
16d ago
Last 30d: 466-519-23 (-8.4u)
T.Dell o39.5 Rec Yds-115
0.43u
5.73% ev
Nico Terpak
Nico Terpak
16d ago
Last 30d: 54-35-0 (+17.5u)
HOU +3.5-118
1.18u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
16d ago
Last 30d: 198-210-4 (+40.3u)
J.Mixon Anytime TD Scorer Yes-120
1.8u
HOU +3.5-118
2.36u
💰🦡 Jake
💰🦡 Jake
16d ago
Last 30d: 95-108-1 (-18.6u)
Under 20.5 (1H)-120
1.2u
J.Mixon o62.5 Rush Yds-115
2.3u
Ryan Sura
Ryan Sura
16d ago
Last 30d: 105-107-4 (-1.7u)
HOU +3.5-115
1.15u
Jake Friend
Jake Friend
16d ago
Last 30d: 274-223-5 (+47.9u)
P.Mahomes o1.5 Pass TDs-105
1.05u
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
16d ago
Last 30d: 47-91-0 (+13.0u)
X.Worthy Anytime TD Scorer Yes+280
2.1u
Brian Matthews
Brian Matthews
16d ago
Last 30d: 7-16-0 (-1.6u)
M.Brown Anytime TD Scorer Yes+650
0.25u
N.Collins Anytime TD Scorer Yes+170
0.75u
Collab with @GDAWG5000
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
16d ago
Last 30d: 47-91-0 (+13.0u)
N.Collins Anytime TD Scorer Yes+170
1u
Collab with @TheBMatt
PvB Bets
PvB Bets
16d ago
Last 30d: 41-43-2 (-5.7u)
J.Mixon o60.5 Rush Yds-115
1u
THE BLITZ 📽️: 84.09 RushY 1. Tough Matchup, but Line May Be Overadjusted The Chiefs lead the league in fewest rushing yards allowed per game (63.2), but this stat is heavily influenced by the fewest rushing attempts allowed (17.3 per game). This betting line reflects Kansas City’s defensive dominance but may overlook Mixon's volume and workload. 2. Volume is Key Mixon ranks 3rd in the NFL in rushing attempts per game (19.73), significantly higher than the average RBs the Chiefs have faced recently. His workload alone gives him a higher probability of hitting this number, as he’s averaging 82.7 rushing yards per game this season. Even against a stout run defense, volume often overcomes efficiency concerns. 3. Recent Success Against KC The Chiefs' recent opponents have shown they’re not invincible against the run: Jerome Ford: 7 carries for 84 yards, TD Gus Edwards/Justice Hill: Combined 18 carries for 70 yards, TD Sincere McCormick: 12 carries for 64 yards Chuba Hubbard: 16 carries for 58 yards, TD None of these backs match Mixon’s talent or role as a bell cow, yet they’ve found ways to succeed against Kansas City. 4. Game Script and Workload Expectation Kansas City has been involved in close games lately, with six straight decided by three points or less (or OT) before their 21-7 win over Cleveland. If this matchup stays competitive as expected (close spread), Mixon should continue to see a high volume of carries, making 60.5 rushing yards well within reach. 5. Injury to KC’s Run Defense The Chiefs will be without one of their top run defenders, Chamarri Conner, which could slightly weaken their ability to contain Mixon. FanDuel already has this line up to 64.5. I'll take a shot on the overcorrection.
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
16d ago
Last 30d: 65-71-3 (-4.6u)
K.Hunt o6.5 Rush Att-120
1u
N.Collins u6.5 Recs-115
1.15u
S.Perine u1.5 Recs+105
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
17d ago
Last 30d: 466-519-23 (-8.4u)
T.Kelce Anytime TD Scorer Yes+200
0.5u
5.65% ev
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
17d ago
Last 30d: 115-94-2 (+5.1u)
HOU +3.5-110
1.1u
Allan Lem
Allan Lem
17d ago
Last 30d: 38-25-4 (+3.9u)
C.Bullock u4.5 Tackles + Ast+100
0.5u
Tailing @The_Oddsmaker
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
17d ago
Last 30d: 25-20-1 (+2.2u)
C.Bullock u4.5 Tackles + Ast+100
1u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
17d ago
Last 30d: 466-519-23 (-8.4u)
I.Pacheco u1.5 Recs+105
0.53u
7.16% ev
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
17d ago
Last 30d: 47-91-0 (+13.0u)
I.Smith Anytime TD Scorer Yes+1200
0.2u
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
17d ago
Last 30d: 121-121-4 (-0.4u)
T.Kelce o50.5 Rec Yds-112
1.12u
Brian Bitler
Brian Bitler
17d ago
Last 30d: 91-80-2 (+16.8u)
HOU +3.5-115
3u
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
17d ago
Last 30d: 466-519-23 (-8.4u)
N.Collins Anytime TD Scorer Yes+165
0.5u
3.63% ev
Over 21 (1H)+115
0.58u
2.07% ev
C.Stroud o33.5 Pass Att-104
0.48u
7.31% ev
Anders
Anders
18d ago
Last 30d: 20-32-0 (-8.2u)
HOU +3.5-110
1.1u
Mahomes >-3 no bueno
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
18d ago
Last 30d: 57-51-3 (+24.9u)
C.Stroud o10.5 Rush Yds-110
1u
#BlameTrebby
Stuck 🚨
Stuck 🚨
18d ago
Last 30d: 63-50-3 (+3.0u)
HOU +3.5-110
0.5u
Babs .
Babs .
19d ago
Last 30d: 55-51-3 (+1.4u)
Over 20 (1H)-105
0.95u
+ev
Chad Millman
Chad Millman
19d ago
Last 30d: 17-31-1 (-8.5u)
HOU +3.5-110
0.25u
KC +2.5-115
0.32u

Texans vs. Chiefs Previews & Analysis

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Texans vs. Chiefs Props

Prop Projections

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Texans vs. Chiefs Public Betting Percentages

Texans

Public

Home Logo

Chiefs

61%

Bets%

39%

Money%

NFL Public Betting Right Arrow

Betting Trends

  • Chiefs are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
  • Chiefs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
  • Chiefs are 4-4 in their road games against the spread
  • The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Chiefs' last 5 games
  • The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Chiefs' 8 last games at home

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Chiefs		7-9-13-54-4-16-7-11-2
Texans		7-103-54-54-73-3

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Chiefs		7-104-43-66-81-2
Texans		6-111-75-44-72-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Chiefs		15-2N/AN/A14-01-2
Texans		10-7N/AN/A9-21-5

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Dec 15th@CLEW 21-7-4.5 WU 41.5KC -227
Dec 9thLACW 19-17-4.5 LU 43KC -240
Nov 29thLVW 19-17-13.5 LU 42KC -850
Nov 24th@CARW 30-27-10.5 LO 43KC -750
Nov 17th@BUFL 21-30+2.5 LO 47BUF +125

Chiefs vs. Texans Injury Updates

Chiefs Injuries

  • Travis Kelce
    TE

    Kelce is out with rest

    Out

  • Chris Jones
    DT

    Jones is doubtful with calf

    Doubtful

  • Patrick Mahomes
    QB

    Mahomes is out with rest

    Out

  • Kareem Hunt
    RB

    Hunt is out with rest

    Out

  • Justin Reid
    S

    Reid is doubtful with rest

    Doubtful

  • Drue Tranquill
    LB

    Tranquill is doubtful with rest

    Doubtful

  • Jawaan Taylor
    T

    Taylor is out with knee

    Out

  • Mecole Hardman
    WR

    Hardman is out with knee

    Out

  • Nick Bolton
    LB

    Bolton is doubtful with rest

    Doubtful

  • Trent McDuffie
    CB

    McDuffie is doubtful with knee

    Doubtful

  • George Karlaftis
    DE

    Karlaftis is doubtful with rest

    Doubtful

  • Isiah Pacheco
    RB

    Pacheco is out with ribs

    Out

  • Jaylen Watson
    CB

    Watson is out with ankle

    Out

  • Rashee Rice
    WR

    Rice is out with leg

    Out

  • Cam Jones
    LB

    Jones is questionable with illness

    Questionable

  • Jared Wiley
    TE

    Wiley is out with knee

    Out

  • Spencer Shrader
    K

    Shrader is out with hamstring

    Out

Texans Injuries

  • Jerry Hughes
    DE

    Hughes is questionable with hip

    Questionable

  • Shaq Mason
    G

    Mason is out with knee

    Out

  • Denico Autry
    DE

    Autry is out with knee

    Out

  • Folorunso Fatukasi
    DT

    Fatukasi is out with ankle

    Out

  • Jeff Okudah
    CB

    Okudah is out with concussion

    Out

  • Christian Harris
    LB

    Harris is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

  • Tank Dell
    WR

    Dell is out with knee

    Out

  • Jamal Hill
    LB

    Hill is questionable with knee

    Questionable

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Team Stats

Total

311
Total Yards
375
58
Total Plays
70
5.4
Yards Per Play
5.4

Passing

244
YDS
260
23/39
Comps/Atts
28/41
5.537
YPA
5.976
2/2
TDs/INTs
1/0
2/17
Sacks/Yards
1/9

Rushing

84
Rush Yards
124
17
Attempts
28
4.941
YPC
4.429
0
TDs
2

Turnovers

0
Fumbles Lost
0
2
Interceptions
0

Efficiency

1/3 33.33%
Redzone
3/5 60%
7/13 0%
3rd Down
7/13 0%
0/0 0%
4th Down
1/2 0%

First Downs

20
Total
25
14
Pass
14
6
Rush
8
0
Penalty
3

Misc

6/45
Penalties/Yards
2/20
26:08
Possession
33:52

Texans vs. Chiefs Odds Comparison

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Texans at Chiefs Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Texans
10-7
o19.5-115
u19.5-105
Chiefs
15-2
o21.5-115
u21.5-105