Chiefs vs. Bills Odds & Betting Predictions - November 17, 2024

Chiefs at Bills

9:25 pm • CBS
21 - 30

Chiefs at Bills Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Chiefs
9-1
-1
+2.5+100
o47-115
+125
Bills
9-2
u48
-2.5-122
u47-105
-150
location pinSunday 9:25 p.m.
November 17, 2024
Highmark StadiumOrchard Park
Chiefs vs. Bills Expert Picks
Gamblers Dream
Gamblers Dream
3d ago
Last 30d: 32-47-2 (+5.1u)
KC +5.5 (Live)+103
3u
Pressing the Chiefs here. Lots of time for a cover. Mahomes in the 4th with a perfect record at risk.
Ryan Sura
Ryan Sura
3d ago
Last 30d: 89-109-5 (-25.1u)
KC +120
1u
Picks  Office
Picks Office
4d ago
Last 30d: 95-107-0 (-20.0u)
Over 46.5-110
0.91u
Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Chiefs’ offense thrives with Mahomes, Kelce, and Hunt, ranking top ten in yards per game but struggles in pass defense. Bills, led by Allen, excel in scoring, red-zone efficiency, and rushing balance, despite injuries. Both teams consistently hit high point totals, setting up a potential shootout in a clash of dynamic offenses.
Sir Lockselot
Sir Lockselot
4d ago
Last 30d: 34-90-0 (-53.5u)
KC +114
2u
🔑 Chiefs ML +114 (FanDuel) 2u I know the chiefs have been playing with fire but I am not not going to bet on Mahomes as an underdog. He’s 12-1-1 as a dog and I’ll take those odds all day.
Gamblers Dream
Gamblers Dream
4d ago
Last 30d: 32-47-2 (+5.1u)
KC +115
1u
I will always take Mahomes at (+) money. He wants the perfect season that includes a 3 Peat. Public is all over Buffalo because they are at home. Mahomes is comfortable in any environment.
The Propfessor
The Propfessor
4d ago
Last 30d: 48-39-0 (+1.6u)
K.Hunt o14.5 Rec Yds-120
1.2u
Capper Central
Capper Central
4d ago
Last 30d: 72-69-0 (-10.1u)
BUF -134
$1492.54
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
4d ago
Last 30d: 146-186-1 (-47.9u)
BUF -0.5 (1H)-105
2u
Royals Props
Royals Props
4d ago
Last 30d: 62-46-1 (+12.3u)
K.Shakir o57.5 Rec Yds-130
1u
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
4d ago
Last 30d: 146-186-1 (-47.9u)
BUF -120
2.5u
BUF -1.5 (1Q)+130
3.9u
BUF -1.5 (3Q)+144
3u
BUF -1.5 (4Q)+134
4.02u
BUF -1.5 (2Q)+112
3u
Dale Tanhardt
Dale Tanhardt
4d ago
Last 30d: 17-36-0 (+40.1u)
N.Gray Anytime TD Scorer Yes+550
3.3u
Andrew A
Andrew A
4d ago
Last 30d: 14-13-0 (-2.4u)
KC +115
0.87u
The Touchdown Show
The Touchdown Show
4d ago
Last 30d: 5-36-0 (-7.1u)
D.Knox Anytime TD Scorer Yes+330
1u
@GDAWG5000
Convince Me
Convince Me
4d ago
Last 30d: 23-22-1 (-1.0u)
Under 46.5-108
1u
@SimonHunterNFL and @nick_giffen
Simon Hunter
Simon Hunter
4d ago
Last 30d: 21-24-0 (-6.4u)
KC +2.5-110
1u
Under 46.5-108
1u
The Faves Five
The Faves Five
4d ago
Last 30d: 12-13-0 (-2.3u)
KC +2.5-112
1.12u
Jeremiah Rose
Jeremiah Rose
4d ago
Last 30d: 37-35-2 (+6.0u)
D.Knox o2.5 Recs-150
1.67u
Boyd
Proptology _
Proptology _
4d ago
Last 30d: 15-13-0 (+8.1u)
D.Knox o29.5 Rec Yds-110
2u
🔬KC runs 2 high at the 3rd highest rate in the league while Knox has seen a 51.4% boost in yards per route run vs 2 high. Match that with the fact Kincaid is out (Knox hit in 5/L8 without Kincaid) and that KC has allowed leagues high 698 yards to tight, we have a recipe for a hit here
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
4d ago
Last 30d: 122-110-0 (+16.5u)
Over 46.5-110
1u
Nick Giffen
Nick Giffen
4d ago
Last 30d: 42-103-1 (-13.9u)
Under 46.5-108
1.08u
Ryan Sura
Ryan Sura
4d ago
Last 30d: 89-109-5 (-25.1u)
KC +2.5-110
1.1u
Jeremiah Rose
Jeremiah Rose
4d ago
Last 30d: 37-35-2 (+6.0u)
D.Knox o2.5 Recs-140
0.29u
Boyd
Shady Biev
Shady Biev
4d ago
Last 30d: 146-186-1 (-47.9u)
Under 46-110
1.1u
BUF -2.5-109
1u
Jeremiah Rose
Jeremiah Rose
4d ago
Last 30d: 37-35-2 (+6.0u)
D.Knox Anytime TD Scorer Yes+325
0.25u
Babs .
Babs .
4d ago
Last 30d: 69-69-1 (-5.5u)
KC +115
1u
This should be a good game, but I think that, once again, the Chiefs will win.
Gilles Gallant
Gilles Gallant
4d ago
Last 30d: 47-84-1 (+5.0u)
D.Knox Anytime TD Scorer Yes+330
1u
🎶 Hello Knoxness, My Old Friend…🎶
Brian Edwards
Brian Edwards
5d ago
Last 30d: 19-24-2 (-6.8u)
KC +2.5-115
1u
The Favorites Podcast
The Favorites Podcast
6d ago
Last 30d: 8-8-0 (-0.8u)
KC +2.5-110
1.1u
Exec Decision
Brandon Anderson
Brandon Anderson
6d ago
Last 30d: 32-50-0 (+2.7u)
T.Kelce 8+ Receptions Yes+165
0.5u
Extra Kelce escalator
T.Kelce 10+ Receptions Yes+500
0.25u
TAN pod / best bets
J.Allen o9.5 Rush Att+375
0.94u
TAN pod / best bets
T.Kelce o65.5 Rec Yds-110
0.75u
TAN pod / best bets
J.Allen 50+ Rushing Yards Yes+235
0.59u
TAN pod / best bets
J.Allen o6.5 Rush Att-135
0.74u
TAN pod / best bets
J.Allen o30.5 Rush Yds-115
0.87u
TAN pod / best bets
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
6d ago
Last 30d: 107-121-1 (-9.2u)
J.Allen o230.5 Pass Yds-115
1u
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
9d ago
Last 30d: 13-20-0 (+8.7u)
Over 45.5-110
0.91u
Low wind speeds here and two efficient offenses. Have enough wiggle room where I'd still be okay with the over even if both Dalton Kincaid and Amari Cooper are held out.
Chad Millman
Chad Millman
9d ago
Last 30d: 25-24-1 (+0.8u)
KC +2.5-110
0.5u
Matt Moore
Matt Moore
10d ago
Last 30d: 88-127-1 (-4.6u)
BUF +1-110
2u

PRO Insights

Chiefs logo

Chiefs

KC Insights
  • Chiefs logoThe Chiefs have been successful on 54.0% of plays they have run with motion since Week 7 -- best in NFL; the Bills have allowed their opponents to be successful on 49.0% of plays against motion since Week 7 -- 5th-worst in NFL.
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Bills logo

Bills

BUF Insights
  • Bills logoThe Bills have been successful on 47.0% of plays they have run against a base rush this season -- T-9th-best in NFL; the Chiefs have allowed their opponents to be successful on 47.0% of plays with a base rush this season -- T-5th-worst in NFL.
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Chiefs vs. Bills Previews & Analysis

  • Chiefs vs. Bills Prediction: Bet Mahomes as a 'Dog article feature image

    Chiefs vs. Bills Prediction: Bet Mahomes as a 'Dog

    Matt Trebby
    Nov 17, 2024 UTC
  • Early Week 12 Bets & NFL Week 11 Recap with Chad Millman & Simon Hunter | The Favorites Podcast article feature image

    Early Week 12 Bets & NFL Week 11 Recap with Chad Millman & Simon Hunter | The Favorites Podcast

    Simon Hunter
    Nov 17, 2024 UTC
  • NFL Player Props: Our Staff's Sunday Best Bets article feature image

    NFL Player Props: Our Staff's Sunday Best Bets

    Action Network Staff
    Nov 17, 2024 UTC
  • Gallant's Week 11 ATD Picks & Game Previews article feature image

    Gallant's Week 11 ATD Picks & Game Previews

    Gilles Gallant
    Nov 17, 2024 UTC
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Chiefs vs. Bills Props

Prop Projections

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Chiefs vs. Bills Public Betting Percentages

85%

Bets%

15%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Bills
7-43-24-26-21-2
Chiefs
4-5-12-32-2-13-4-11-1

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Bills
7-45-02-47-10-3
Chiefs
5-53-22-34-41-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Bills
9-2N/AN/A8-01-2
Chiefs
9-1N/AN/A8-01-1

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Nov 10th@INDW 30-20-4.5 WO 46.5BUF -230
Nov 3rdMIAW 30-27-6.5 LO 49BUF -298
Oct 27th@SEAW 31-10-3 WU 45.5BUF -165
Oct 20thTENW 34-10-9.5 WO 41BUF -550
Oct 15th@NYJW 23-20-1.5 WO 41.5BUF -140

Chiefs vs. Bills Injury Updates

Chiefs Injuries

  • Charles Omenihu
    DE

    Omenihu is out with knee

    Out

  • Hollywood Brown
    WR

    Hollywood Brown (shoulder surgery) headed to IR.

    Out

  • Isiah Pacheco
    RB

    Pacheco is questionable with leg

    Questionable

  • Rashee Rice
    WR

    Rice is out with leg

    Out

  • Jared Wiley
    TE

    Wiley is out with knee

    Out

Bills Injuries

  • Jordan Phillips
    DT

    Phillips is out with wrist

    Out

  • Amari Cooper
    WR

    Cooper is questionable with wrist

    Questionable

  • Matt Milano
    LB

    Milano is out with biceps

    Out

  • Spencer Brown
    T

    Brown is questionable with ankle

    Questionable

  • Baylon Spector
    LB

    Spector is questionable with calf

    Questionable

  • Dalton Kincaid
    TE

    Kincaid is out with knee

    Out

  • Keon Coleman
    WR

    Coleman is out with wrist

    Out

  • DeWayne Carter
    DT

    Carter is out with wrist

    Out

Team Stats
259
Total Yards
366
52
Total Plays
71
5
Yards Per Play
5.2
196
YDS
262
23/33
Comps/Atts
27/40
5.171
YPA
6.55
3/2
TDs/INTs
1/1
2/15
Sacks/Yards
0/0
78
Rush Yards
104
17
Attempts
31
4.588
YPC
3.355
0
TDs
3

Turnovers

0
Fumbles Lost
0
2
Interceptions
1

Efficiency

3/3 100%
Redzone
3/4 75%
5/10 0%
3rd Down
9/15 0%
0/1 0%
4th Down
1/2 0%

First Downs

19
Total
24
15
Pass
13
3
Rush
9
1
Penalty
2
6/57
Penalties/Yards
3/24
25:57
Possession
34:03

Chiefs vs. Bills Odds Comparison

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Chiefs at Bills Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Chiefs
9-1
o22.5-118
u22.5-102
Bills
9-2
o24.5+100
u24.5-120