Braves vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - October 2, 2024

Braves at Padres

12:38 am • ESPN

Atlanta Braves

0-2

0 - 4

San Diego Padres

2-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.King			3.75	2-0
A.Smith-Shawver			20.25	0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-2	+1.5	+1.5-135	o7.5-102	+164
Padres 2-0	u7.5	-1.5+114	u7.5-118	-198

Wednesday 12:38 a.m.

October 02, 2024

PETCO ParkSan Diego

ATL -1+225

+EV 🗒️

ATL +154

SD -1.5+116

0.58u

SD -0.5 (F5)-135

0.37u

M.King o5.5 Ks-132

0.38u

A.Smith-Shawver u2.5 Ks+106

0.53u

ATL +161

ATL +155

0.75u

ATL +162

ATL +150

SD -1-125

2.4u

Under 7.5-120

M.King u1.5 BB-133

Under 7.5-118

$847.46

SD -174

0.57u

M.King o5.5 Ks-110

0.91u

ATL +145

1.5u

Under 7+105

2.1u

SD o3.5 Team Total-132

Avery

SD o3.5 Team Total-132

Johnny

M.King o5.5 Ks-109

I know, K prop overs in the playoffs are a bit taboo. But I love this spot for King. Over in 14/L17 and 13/14 at home this season. Braves have been a below avg K target vs righties (21.8% K% over the L30 days), but they also haven’t hit particularly well (93 wRC+). And they play into Kings better split, likely starting 6 righties - 32% K% and a .276 wOBA. I like him to pitch deep into this one. King with a solid history vs this roster. And the Braves are coming off an absurd 24 hours, and flying cross country.

Over 3.5 (F5)-120

#ProSystem Overs with wind postseason (F5) Overall: 153-85-7,64% (ROI:26%)

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The Padres are 13-8 (.619) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Orlando Arcia has an OPS of just .680 since last season -- sixth worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Tanner Scott has allowed an OPS of just .528 (601 PAs) since last season -- fourth best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Jake Cronenworth has an OPS of just .710 since the 2022 season -- 10th worst in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Raisel Iglesias has allowed an OPS of just .562 (736 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 11th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 47-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 44 of Padres' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	4-3	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25
Braves	0-2	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 29th	@ARI	L 2-11	+1.5 L	O 8.5	ARI +180
Sep 29th	@ARI	W 5-0	+1.5 W	U 9	SD +185
Sep 28th	@ARI	W 5-3	+1.5 W	U 9	SD +114
Sep 27th	@LAD	L 2-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	LAD -111
Sep 26th	@LAD	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 8	LAD +119

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Smith-Shawver, P	29	1.1	1	3
LA.Bummer, P	28	2.2	1	0
RJ.Chavez, P	28	2	1	0
RL.Jackson, P	22	2	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Harris, CF	2-4	0	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5J.Soler, RF	1-4	0	0	0
5E.White, PR	0-0	0	0	0
6R.Laureano, LF	0-4	0	0	0
7T.d'Arnaud, C	1-4	0	0	0
8G.Urshela, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9O.Arcia, SS	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RM.King, P	89	7	12
RJ.Adam, P	15	1	3
RR.Suarez, P	8	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, DH	1-4	1	0	0
2F.Tatis, RF	1-3	1	1	2
3J.Profar, LF	0-3	0	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
5J.Merrill, CF	1-3	0	0	0
6X.Bogaerts, SS	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Cronenworth, 2B	0-2	1	0	0
8D.Solano, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
9K.Higashioka, C	1-2	1	1	2