ATL @ NYY
11:05 pm • Apple TV+Braves vs. Yankees Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Braves 45-35 | -1.5+154 | o7.5-112 | -112 | |
 Yankees 53-31 | +1.5-185 | u7.5-109 | -109 | |
Yankee StadiumBronx
PRO Insights
Braves
ATL Insights
- Featured InsightBraves have won 62% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since the 2022 season -- second best in MLB. Yankees have won just 42% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since the 2022 season -- fourth worst in MLB.
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Yankees
NYY Insights
- Featured InsightYankees have won 58% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since the 2022 season -- fourth best in MLB. Braves have won just 38% of their games that have been decided by one run or less since the 2022 season -- second worst in MLB.
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Braves vs. Yankees Game Analysis
Braves vs. Yankees Notes
Keys to the Game
The Yankees are 10-8 (.556) when their opponents score in the first inning this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .367.
The Braves are 17-73 (.189) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .103.
The Braves are 8-24 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .152.
The Yankees are 3-20 (.130) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .059.
Matchup Contrasts
Aaron Judge has struck out in 26% of PA's since the 2022 season -- 11th highest in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 29% vs right-handed batters since the 2022 season -- 15th highest among starting pitchers with at least 158 total IP-- 90th Percentile.
Matt Olson has an OPS of .930 since last season -- 10th best in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. Tim Hill has allowed an OPS of .897 (327 PAs) since last season -- second worst among qualified RPs-- first Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
17 of Chris Sale's breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season -- most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan -- 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has a first-pitch strike rate of 70% (227/323) this season -- tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% -- 96th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 33% (66/200) against Carlos Rodon this season -- tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- fifth Percentile.
Braves vs. Yankees Expert Picks
Popular Props
Last 5 Matchups
Betting Trends
- Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
- Yankees are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Yankees are 25-22 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Yankees' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 20 of Yankees' 38 last games at home
Braves vs. Yankees Public Betting
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Braves vs. Yankees Injury Updates
Braves Injuries
Spencer Strider
PStrider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Yankees Injuries
Anthony Rizzo
IFRizzo is out with arm
Out
Giancarlo Stanton
DHStanton is out with hamstring
Out
Jon Berti
IFBerti is out with calf
Out
Juan Soto
OFJuan Soto has been scratched Saturday.
Out
JT Brubaker
PBrubaker is out with elbow
Out
Jasson Dominguez
OFDominguez is out with elbow
Out
Oswald Peraza
IFPeraza is out with shoulder
Out
Braves vs. Yankees Box Score
Braves Player Stats
Projected| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LC.Sale, P | 95 | 5 | 8 | 1 | |
| RD.Hernandez, P | 19 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| RJ.Chavez, P | 17 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| LD.Lee, P | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| RG.Holmes, P | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1J.Kelenic, CF | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2O.Albies, 2B | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 3M.Ozuna, DH | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4M.Olson, 1B | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 5A.Riley, 3B | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| 6S.Murphy, C | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7A.Duvall, LF | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 8R.Laureano, RF | 3-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 9O.Arcia, SS | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Yankees Player Stats
Projected| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LC.Rodon, P | 93 | 3.2 | 3 | 7 | |
| RY.Gomez, P | 78 | 4.2 | 5 | 0 | |
| RP.Bickford, P | 7 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A.Volpe, SS | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2J.Soto, RF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3A.Judge, CF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4G.Stanton, DH | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5J.Jones, LF | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 6D.LeMahieu, 3B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 7J.Trevino, C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8B.Rice, 1B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9O.Cabrera, 2B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Line Move Data
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Braves vs. Yankees Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Braves 45-35 | N/A | N/A |
Yankees 53-31 | N/A | N/A |