Orioles vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - June 20, 2024

Orioles at Yankees

8:05 pm • MLB Network

Baltimore Orioles

0-2

17 - 5

New York Yankees

8-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Gil			3.50	15-7
C.Irvin			4.86	6-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 0-2	+1.5-146	o8.5-118	+142
Yankees 8-6	-1.5+122	u8.5-102	-170

Thursday 8:05 p.m.

June 20, 2024

Yankee StadiumBronx

NYY -150

NYY -146

1.46u

BAL +135

1.01u

L.Gil u2.5 Earned Runs-150

BAL o3.5 Team Total-124

$50.00

NYY -170 (F5)

1.7u

NYY -155

1.55u

L.Gil o16.5 Outs-125

L.Gil u6.5 Ks-118

As good as he’s been, he’s under this line in 9/14 starts. Four of the five overs were against teams that K a lot vs righties (CHW, SEA, LAA, TB), and one against the Jays who started 6 righties (Gil’s better split). The Orioles are at a 20.8% K% vs righties this season, and held Gil to 5 in their first meeting. They’re likely to start 6 lefties against Gil. And the orioles have been solid vs power pitchers all season, with a 26.5% K% (which is solid vs pitchers in the upper third), and a .844 OPS.

NYY -145 (F5)

0.73u

Update: Bet to -185

NYY -138

0.69u

#tailing @Zerillo F5 was accidental input. I don’t split ever on 2 unless a correlated prop. Apologies - must’ve hit + when adding from Sean’s page for NY ML

NYY -135

0.68u

Update: Bet to -155

Featured Insight
Orioles have won 65% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- third best in MLB. Yankees have won just 32% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Yankees have won 68% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- best in MLB. Orioles have won just 35% of their games that have been decided by one run or less this season -- third worst in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Thursday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Jun 20, 2024 UTC
Orioles vs. Yankees: Bronx Bombers to Win Big
Tony Sartori•
Jun 20, 2024 UTC

See more MLB Coverage

The Yankees are 3-18 (.143) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .060.

Opponents are hitting just .083 (12-for-145) against Luis Gil when ahead in the count this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .185 -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 8% (8/95) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 28 total IP; League Avg: 25% -- 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (28/196) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats since last season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 93 total IP; League Avg: 26% -- 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .142 (39-for-274) against Luis Gil this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Yankees' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9
Orioles	87-75	41-40	46-35	61-57	25-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2
Orioles	85-63-14	40-32-9	45-31-5	60-45-13	22-18-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	94-68	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9
Orioles	91-71	44-37	47-34	68-50	22-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 19th	BAL	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 7.5	BAL -145
Jun 18th	BAL	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	NYY -142
Jun 16th	@BOS	L 3-9	-1.5 L	O 9	BOS -142
Jun 15th	@BOS	L 4-8	-1.5 L	O 9	BOS -180
Jun 14th	@BOS	W 8-1	-1.5 W	U 9	NYY -148

Nestor Cortes
P
Cortes is out with elbow
Out
JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out

Jorge Mateo
IF
Mateo is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
P
Rodriguez is out with back
Out
Tyler Wells
P
Wells is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LC.Irvin, P	84	4.2	2	5
RB.Baker, P	23	1.1	1	0
LK.Akin, P	24	2	2	0
LN.Vespi, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	3-5	3	0	1
1J.Mateo, PH	0-1	0	0	0
1J.Mateo, SS	0-1	0	0	0
2A.Rutschman, C	3-5	3	0	0
3R.Mountcastle, 1B	3-6	3	0	4
4R.O'Hearn, DH	2-5	0	0	4
5A.Santander, RF	2-5	1	1	3
5C.Cowser, RF	0-0	0	0	0
6J.Westburg, 2B	2-5	1	0	1
6N.Maton, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
7C.Mullins, CF	2-6	3	1	2
8A.Hays, LF	1-5	2	1	2
9R.Urias, 3B	1-5	1	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Gil, P	47	1.1	1	7
RM.Tonkin, P	27	1.2	1	1
RT.Kahnle, P	13	1	2	0
LT.Hill, P	27	1	0	0
RR.Marinaccio, P	18	1	1	0
LV.Gonzalez, P	17	1	1	2
LC.Ferguson, P	20	1	1	2
RJ.Trevino, P	25	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Volpe, SS	1-4	1	0	0
2J.Soto, RF	0-3	1	0	1
2T.Grisham, CF	0-0	0	0	0
3A.Judge, CF	2-3	1	1	3
3J.Jones, RF	0-1	0	0	0
4G.Stanton, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4A.Wells, C	0-0	0	0	0
5A.Verdugo, LF	0-4	0	0	0
6G.Torres, 2B	1-2	1	1	1
6B.Rice, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
7D.LeMahieu, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
7D.LeMahieu, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
8J.Trevino, C	0-4	0	0	0
9O.Cabrera, 3B	0-2	1	0	0
9O.Cabrera, 2B	0-2	1	0	0