Brewers vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - June 26, 2023
Brewers at Mets
11:10 pm • MLB NetworkStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
J.Verlander | 3.31 | 7-3 | ||
C.Rea | 4.55 | 6-6 |
Brewers at Mets Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Brewers 1-2 | +1.5-130 | o8.5-114 | +147 | |
Mets 7-6 | -1.5+107 | u8.5-106 | -177 |
Monday 11:10 p.m.
June 26, 2023Citi FieldFlushing, Queens
Brewers vs. Mets Expert Picks
The Degenerates
506d ago
Last 30d: 58-63-1 (-10.9u)
Under 8.5-104
1u
Mjaybrod
506d ago
Last 30d: 113-104-0 (+4.1u)
NYM -0.5 (F5)-130
0.77u
@roloheaux Tail
Charlie DiSturco
507d ago
Last 30d: 50-67-2 (-0.5u)
S.Marte o1.5 Total Bases+110
0.5u
L7: .280/.333/.440 w/ 2 XBH
Great matchup vs. below-avg arm in Rea
S.Marte o0.5 HR+750
0.1u
Marte bobblehead day
Derek Farnsworth
507d ago
Last 30d: 0-2-0 (-2.6u)
NYM -1.5+110
0.5u
NYM -175
1.75u
-164 at Wynn
Kyle Murray
507d ago
Last 30d: 103-119-1 (-11.6u)
C.Rea o3.5 Ks-160
1u
Sean Koerner
507d ago
Last 30d: 32-25-0 (+3.8u)
C.Rea o3.5 Ks-130
1.3u
Projecting -175
Sandy Plashkes
507d ago
Last 30d: 119-112-0 (+12.2u)
J.Verlander o6.5 Ks+102
$50.00
Jim Sannes
507d ago
Last 30d: 15-21-0 (+10.8u)
MIL +152
1.22u
Available at FanDuel. How you view this one depends on whether you believe Justin Verlander is fixed. He has had some really impressive starts recently, and most of them have come at home. But even in those games, he was still letting up a lot of hard contact. Verlander's hard-hit rate allowed this year is 44.3%, a concerning number even against a middling offense. Even if we zero in on just his home games, Verlander's strikeout rate is just 22.7%, and it's 20.5% overall. A low strikeout rate and high hard-hit rate is typically a tough combo to overcome, and Verlander's 4.50 ERA reflects that. Even though the Mets hold the offensive edge and the starting-pitching edge, my model still puts the Brewers' win odds at 43.7%, up from 39.7% implied. I'm not overly fond of them as a team, but I think the market allows us to buy them here.
Joe Dellera
507d ago
Last 30d: 62-74-1 (-3.0u)
J.Verlander u18.5 Outs-180
0.22u
Sean Zerillo
508d ago
Last 30d: 48-68-3 (-7.7u)
MIL +165
0.83u
Bet to +150
Over 8-118
0.59u
Bet to -120 or 8.5 (+100)
Brewers vs. Mets Previews & Analysis
Brewers vs. Mets Notes
Keys to the Game
Matchup Contrasts
Today's Starting Pitchers
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Brewers vs. Mets Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Brewers vs. Mets Injury Updates
Brewers Injuries
- Christian YelichOF
Yelich is out with back
Out
- Brandon WoodruffP
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
- Robert GasserP
Gasser is out with elbow
Out
Mets Injuries
- Paul BlackburnP
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
- Ronny MauricioIF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
- Christian ScottP
Scott is out with elbow
Out
Brewers vs. Mets Box Score
Brewers Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RC.Rea, P | 86 | 6.1 | 3 | 1 | |
LH.Milner, P | 15 | 1.1 | 1 | 0 | |
RE.Peguero, P | 6 | 0.1 | 1 | 0 | |
RD.Williams, P | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1C.Yelich, LF | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2W.Contreras, C | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3R.Tellez, 1B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4W.Adames, SS | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5O.Miller, 2B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6J.Winker, DH | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
7L.Urias, 3B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8B.Perkins, RF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9J.Wiemer, CF | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Mets Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RJ.Verlander, P | 100 | 5 | 5 | 0 | |
RD.Smith, P | 24 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
RA.Ottavino, P | 23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
LB.Raley, P | 23 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
RD.Robertson, P | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1B.Nimmo, CF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2S.Marte, RF | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
3F.Lindor, SS | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
4P.Alonso, 1B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5D.Vogelbach, DH | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6T.Pham, LF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7J.McNeil, 2B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8F.Alvarez, C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9B.Baty, 3B | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9M.Canha, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9L.Guillorme, 3B | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Brewers vs. Mets Odds Comparison
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Brewers at Mets Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Brewers 1-2 | N/A | N/A |
Mets 7-6 | N/A | N/A |