Brewers vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - June 26, 2023

Brewers at Mets

11:10 pm • MLB Network
2 - 1
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Justin Verlander logoJ.VerlanderNew York Mets logo3.317-3
Colin Rea logoC.ReaMilwaukee Brewers logo4.556-6

Brewers at Mets Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers
1-2
+1.5-130
o8.5-114
+147
Mets
7-6
-1.5+107
u8.5-106
-177
location pinMonday 11:10 p.m.
June 26, 2023
Citi FieldFlushing, Queens
Brewers vs. Mets Expert Picks
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
506d ago
Last 30d: 58-63-1 (-10.9u)
Under 8.5-104
1u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
506d ago
Last 30d: 113-104-0 (+4.1u)
NYM -0.5 (F5)-130
0.77u
@roloheaux Tail
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
507d ago
Last 30d: 50-67-2 (-0.5u)
S.Marte o1.5 Total Bases+110
0.5u
L7: .280/.333/.440 w/ 2 XBH Great matchup vs. below-avg arm in Rea
S.Marte o0.5 HR+750
0.1u
Marte bobblehead day
Derek Farnsworth
Derek Farnsworth
507d ago
Last 30d: 0-2-0 (-2.6u)
NYM -1.5+110
0.5u
NYM -175
1.75u
-164 at Wynn
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
507d ago
Last 30d: 103-119-1 (-11.6u)
C.Rea o3.5 Ks-160
1u
Sean Koerner
Sean Koerner
507d ago
Last 30d: 32-25-0 (+3.8u)
C.Rea o3.5 Ks-130
1.3u
Projecting -175
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
507d ago
Last 30d: 119-112-0 (+12.2u)
J.Verlander o6.5 Ks+102
$50.00
Jim Sannes
Jim Sannes
507d ago
Last 30d: 15-21-0 (+10.8u)
MIL +152
1.22u
Available at FanDuel. How you view this one depends on whether you believe Justin Verlander is fixed. He has had some really impressive starts recently, and most of them have come at home. But even in those games, he was still letting up a lot of hard contact. Verlander's hard-hit rate allowed this year is 44.3%, a concerning number even against a middling offense. Even if we zero in on just his home games, Verlander's strikeout rate is just 22.7%, and it's 20.5% overall. A low strikeout rate and high hard-hit rate is typically a tough combo to overcome, and Verlander's 4.50 ERA reflects that. Even though the Mets hold the offensive edge and the starting-pitching edge, my model still puts the Brewers' win odds at 43.7%, up from 39.7% implied. I'm not overly fond of them as a team, but I think the market allows us to buy them here.
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
507d ago
Last 30d: 62-74-1 (-3.0u)
J.Verlander u18.5 Outs-180
0.22u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
508d ago
Last 30d: 48-68-3 (-7.7u)
MIL +165
0.83u
Bet to +150
Over 8-118
0.59u
Bet to -120 or 8.5 (+100)

Brewers vs. Mets Previews & Analysis

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    Monday MLB Props: Strikeout Over for Nats vs. Mariners

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    Jun 26, 2023 UTC
  • Brewers vs. Mets: Potential for Fireworks in Queens article feature image

    Brewers vs. Mets: Potential for Fireworks in Queens

    Mike Ianniello
    Jun 26, 2023 UTC
  • Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Monday MLB Betting Card article feature image

    Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Monday MLB Betting Card

    Sean Zerillo
    Jun 26, 2023 UTC
  • Monday's NRFI Best Bet: Custom Combo With Strider, Verlander article feature image

    Monday's NRFI Best Bet: Custom Combo With Strider, Verlander

    Shayne Trail
    Jun 26, 2023 UTC
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Brewers vs. Mets Notes

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Brewers vs. Mets Public Betting Percentages

100%

Bets%

0%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Mets
86-7644-3742-3952-4533-30
Brewers
87-7544-3743-3843-4843-26

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Mets
81-76-542-3939-37-546-46-534-29
Brewers
81-70-1140-33-841-37-341-43-740-25-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Mets
89-7346-3543-3860-3728-35
Brewers
93-6947-3446-3554-3738-31

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jun 25th@PHIL 6-7+1.5 WO 9.5PHI +165
Jun 24th@PHIW 4-2-1.5 WU 9.5NYM -127
Jun 23rd@PHIL 1-5-1.5 LU 9.5PHI -105
Jun 21st@HOUL 8-10+1.5 LO 8.5HOU +117
Jun 21st@HOUL 2-4+1.5 LU 7.5HOU +115

Brewers vs. Mets Injury Updates

Brewers Injuries

  • Christian Yelich
    OF

    Yelich is out with back

    Out

  • Brandon Woodruff
    P

    Woodruff is out with shoulder

    Out

  • Robert Gasser
    P

    Gasser is out with elbow

    Out

Mets Injuries

  • Paul Blackburn
    P

    Blackburn is out with hand

    Out

  • Ronny Mauricio
    IF

    Mauricio is out with knee

    Out

  • Christian Scott
    P

    Scott is out with elbow

    Out

Brewers vs. Mets Box Score
Brewers Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Colin Rea logoRC.Rea, P866.131
Hoby Milner logoLH.Milner, P151.110
Elvis Peguero logoRE.Peguero, P60.110
Devin Williams logoRD.Williams, P6100
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Christian Yelich logo1C.Yelich, LF2-4000
William Contreras logo2W.Contreras, C0-4000
Rowdy Tellez logo3R.Tellez, 1B1-4000
Willy Adames logo4W.Adames, SS0-4000
Owen Miller logo5O.Miller, 2B0-3000
Jesse Winker logo6J.Winker, DH1-4100
Luis Urias logo7L.Urias, 3B1-3000
Blake Perkins logo8B.Perkins, RF1-4000
Joey Wiemer logo9J.Wiemer, CF1-4112
Mets Player Stats
Projected
PITCHERPCIPKER
Justin Verlander logoRJ.Verlander, P100550
Drew Smith logoRD.Smith, P24112
Adam Ottavino logoRA.Ottavino, P23110
Brooks Raley logoLB.Raley, P23110
David Robertson logoRD.Robertson, P14110
HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
Brandon Nimmo logo1B.Nimmo, CF0-4000
Starling Marte logo2S.Marte, RF1-4100
Francisco Lindor logo3F.Lindor, SS1-3001
Pete Alonso logo4P.Alonso, 1B0-4000
Daniel Vogelbach logo5D.Vogelbach, DH0-4000
Tommy Pham logo6T.Pham, LF0-3000
Jeff McNeil logo7J.McNeil, 2B0-3000
Francisco Alvarez logo8F.Alvarez, C0-3000
Brett Baty logo9B.Baty, 3B1-1000
Mark Canha logo9M.Canha, PH0-1000
Luis Guillorme logo9L.Guillorme, 3B0-0000

Brewers vs. Mets Odds Comparison

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Brewers at Mets Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Brewers
1-2
N/A
N/A
Mets
7-6
N/A
N/A