Cubs vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - June 6, 2023

Cubs at Padres

1:10 am • MLB Network

Chicago Cubs

0-0

0 - 5

San Diego Padres

4-3

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Snell			2.25	14-9
K.Hendricks			3.75	6-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 0-0	+1.5-140	o9-105	+145
Padres 4-3	-1.5+115	u9-105	-175

Tuesday 1:10 a.m.

June 06, 2023

PETCO ParkSan Diego

CHC +155

Over 8.5-120

0.6u

SD -1.5+125

1.25u

K.Hendricks o3.5 Ks-120

0.83u

B.Snell u6.5 Ks+105

$48.00

CHC +150

0.8u

I'm also showing value on this at +140, which I believe is the shortest in the market right now. So, regardless, I'm higher than the market on the Cubs for this slot. It's a high-strikeout matchup for Blake Snell, which may help mitigate some of the other issues he's having. But his expected ERA this year is 5.56. He has been throwing more changeups in his past 8 starts, but even in that span, his SIERA is 4.71 with far too many walks. The Cubs' active roster has a 118 wRC+ against lefties even with the strikeouts, which is definitely enticing. Finally, while Kyle Hendricks has bad peripherals through two starts, his velo is good, and he's deploying an approach that worked well for him last year. Even at +140, the Cubs' implied win odds would be just 41.7%, and I'm above that, so getting +150 is a nice gift of increased wiggle room.

B.Snell o6.5 Ks-120

0.83u

CHC +150

0.5u

Over 8-110

0.55u

Bet to -115

CHC +150

0.5u

Need +150

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The Padres are 23-25 (.479) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season -- tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .349.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 47-33 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 44 of Padres' 80 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 4th	CHC	L 1-7	+1.5 L	U 9	CHC -110
Jun 4th	CHC	W 6-0	-1.5 W	U 8	SD -180
Jun 3rd	CHC	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CHC -180
Jun 1st	@MIA	W 10-1	-1.5 W	O 7.5	SD -120
May 31st	@MIA	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIA -120

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PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Hendricks, P		84	6	4	4
RJ.Assad, P		38	2	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
2D.Swanson, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3I.Happ, LF	1-2	0	0	0
4S.Suzuki, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5P.Wisdom, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
6Y.Gomes, DH	1-2	0	0	0
6M.Mastrobuoni, PH	1-2	0	0	0
6M.Mastrobuoni, DH	1-2	0	0	0
7T. Mancini, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
8M.Amaya, C	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Morel, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LB.Snell, P	109	6	8
RS.Wilson, P	17	1	1
RN.Martinez, P	15	1	1
LT.Hill, P	13	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R. Odor, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
1A.Rivas, PR	0-0	0	0	0
1A.Rivas, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
2F.Tatis, CF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Soto, LF	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	3-4	3	0	0
5J.Cronenworth, 1B	1-3	0	0	1
5J.Cronenworth, 2B	1-3	0	0	1
6G.Sanchez, C	1-3	1	1	2
7M.Carpenter, DH	1-3	1	0	1
8H.Kim, SS	2-3	0	0	1
9B. Dixon, RF	1-4	0	0	0