Cubs vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - June 6, 2023

Cubs at Padres

1:10 am • MLB Network

Chicago Cubs

13-9

0 - 5

San Diego Padres

15-5

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Snell			2.25	14-9
K.Hendricks			3.75	6-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 13-9	+1.5-140	o9-105	+145
Padres 15-5	-1.5+115	u9-105	-175

Tuesday 1:10 a.m.

June 06, 2023

PETCO ParkSan Diego

CHC +155

SD -1.5+125

1.25u

SD -1.5+110

1.1u

K.Hendricks o3.5 Ks-120

0.83u

B.Snell u6.5 Ks+105

$48.00

CHC +150

0.8u

I'm also showing value on this at +140, which I believe is the shortest in the market right now. So, regardless, I'm higher than the market on the Cubs for this slot. It's a high-strikeout matchup for Blake Snell, which may help mitigate some of the other issues he's having. But his expected ERA this year is 5.56. He has been throwing more changeups in his past 8 starts, but even in that span, his SIERA is 4.71 with far too many walks. The Cubs' active roster has a 118 wRC+ against lefties even with the strikeouts, which is definitely enticing. Finally, while Kyle Hendricks has bad peripherals through two starts, his velo is good, and he's deploying an approach that worked well for him last year. Even at +140, the Cubs' implied win odds would be just 41.7%, and I'm above that, so getting +150 is a nice gift of increased wiggle room.

B.Snell o6.5 Ks-120

0.83u

Over 8-110

0.55u

Bet to -115

CHC +150

0.5u

Need +150

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The Padres are 23-25 (.479) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season -- tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .349.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 2-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Padres' 13 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	14-6	12-1	2-5	9-3	5-3
Cubs	12-10	5-4	7-6	6-3	6-7

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	9-10-1	4-8-1	5-2	5-6-1	4-4
Cubs	14-7-1	7-2	7-5-1	7-2	7-5-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	15-5	12-1	3-4	11-1	4-4
Cubs	13-9	5-4	8-5	7-2	6-7

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 4th	CHC	L 1-7	+1.5 L	U 9	CHC -110
Jun 4th	CHC	W 6-0	-1.5 W	U 8	SD -180
Jun 3rd	CHC	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	CHC -180
Jun 1st	@MIA	W 10-1	-1.5 W	O 7.5	SD -120
May 31st	@MIA	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIA -120

Justin Steele
P
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Joe Musgrove
P
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Yu Darvish
P
Darvish is out with elbow
Out
Matt Waldron
P
Waldron is out with hamstring
Out
Jackson Merrill
OF
Merrill is out with hamstring
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Hendricks, P		84	6	4	4
RJ.Assad, P		38	2	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
2D.Swanson, SS	0-4	0	0	0
3I.Happ, LF	1-2	0	0	0
4S.Suzuki, RF	0-4	0	0	0
5P.Wisdom, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
6Y.Gomes, DH	1-2	0	0	0
6M.Mastrobuoni, PH	1-2	0	0	0
6M.Mastrobuoni, DH	1-2	0	0	0
7T. Mancini, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
8M.Amaya, C	0-3	0	0	0
9C.Morel, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
LB.Snell, P	109	6	8
RS.Wilson, P	17	1	1
RN.Martinez, P	15	1	1
LT.Hill, P	13	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R. Odor, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
1A.Rivas, PR	0-0	0	0	0
1A.Rivas, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
2F.Tatis, CF	0-4	0	0	0
3J.Soto, LF	0-4	0	0	0
4M.Machado, 3B	3-4	3	0	0
5J.Cronenworth, 1B	1-3	0	0	1
5J.Cronenworth, 2B	1-3	0	0	1
6G.Sanchez, C	1-3	1	1	2
7M.Carpenter, DH	1-3	1	0	1
8H.Kim, SS	2-3	0	0	1
9B. Dixon, RF	1-4	0	0	0