Giants vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - May 25, 2024

Giants at Mets

5:40 pm • NBCS-BA

San Francisco Giants

0-0

7 - 2

New York Mets

7-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Severino			3.91	11-7
J.Hicks			4.10	4-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Giants 0-0	+1.5-180	o8-110	+124
Mets 7-6	-1.5+150	u8-110	-148

Saturday 5:40 p.m.

May 25, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

J.Hicks o3.5 Ks-105

NYM -1+100

NYM -0.5 (F5)-105

Under 8.5-118

1.18u

Under 8.5-115

0.58u

Bet to -118 or 8 (+100)

Under 8.5-109

2.18u

SF +110

3.3u

NYM -120

0.6u

Bet to -125

Featured Insight
Giants hitters have an OPS of .920 over the last week -- second best in MLB. Mets RPs have allowed an OPS of .856 (85 PAs) over the last week -- fifth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Mets hitters have a hard-hit rate of 45% over the last two weeks -- third best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 46% against the Giants RPs over the last two weeks -- fifth worst in MLB.

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Giants vs. Mets: All Signs Points to the Under
Tony Sartori•
May 25, 2024 UTC

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The Mets are just 9-47 (.161) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.

Luis Matos has struck out in just 4% of PA's over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB-- 99th Percentile. Luis Severino has a strikeout rate of just 14% over the last two weeks -- tied for ninth lowest among qualified SPs-- 10th Percentile.

33% of Matt Chapman strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- tied for 13th highest in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. 50% of Luis Severino's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Luis Severino allowed a batting average of just .136 vs right-handed batters (tied for ninth best)-- 90th Percentile and .333 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for sixth worst among qualified SPs)-- 10th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (46/77) against Luis Severino this season -- 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Giants	77-85	37-44	40-41	34-46	42-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Giants	82-72-8	36-43-2	46-29-6	33-45-2	48-26-6

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Giants	80-82	42-39	38-43	45-35	34-46

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 24th	SF	L 7-8	-1.5 L	O 7.5	SF -142
May 22nd	@CLE	L 3-6	-1.5 L	U 9	CLE -112
May 21st	@CLE	L 6-7	+1.5 W	O 9	CLE +102
May 20th	@CLE	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 9	CLE +105
May 19th	@MIA	W 7-3	-1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM -142

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

Robbie Ray
P
Ray is out with hamstring
Out
Wilmer Flores
IF
Flores is out with knee
Out
Jordan Hicks
P
Hicks is out with shoulder
Out
Kyle Harrison
P
Harrison is out with shoulder
Out
Keaton Winn
P
Winn is out with elbow
Out
Jung Hoo Lee
OF
Lee is out with shoulder
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Hicks, P	87	5	8	1
LT.Rogers, P	17	0.2	1	0
RS.Hjelle, P	18	0.2	1	1
RR.Rodriguez, P	33	1.2	2	0
RL.Jackson, P	15	1	0	0
RC.Doval, P	9	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Matos, CF	1-4	1	0
2T.Estrada, 2B	0-4	1	0
3P.Bailey, DH	1-4	1	2
4M.Chapman, 3B	0-4	0	0
5W.Flores, 1B	1-4	0	0
5R.McKenna, PR	0-1	1	0
5R.McKenna, LF	0-1	1	0
6M.Yastrzemski, RF	1-5	0	3
7H.Ramos, LF	0-2	0	0
7L.Wade, PH	1-1	0	1
7M.Luciano, SS	0-1	0	0
8C.Casali, C	0-4	1	0
9B.Wisely, SS	3-4	2	1
9B.Wisely, 1B	3-4	2	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	103	7	6	1
RA.Ottavino, P	14	1	1	0
RE.Diaz, P	14	1	1	1
RS.Reid-Foley, P	25	0.2	1	0
LJ.Walker, P	5	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	1-4	0	0	0
2P.Alonso, 1B	0-5	0	0	0
3B.Nimmo, CF	1-5	0	0	0
3B.Nimmo, LF	1-5	0	0	0
4J.Martinez, DH	0-4	0	0	0
5D.Stewart, LF	0-1	0	0	0
5H.Bader, PH	0-3	0	0	0
5H.Bader, CF	0-3	0	0	0
6S.Marte, RF	1-4	1	1	1
7J.McNeil, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8B.Baty, 3B	1-3	1	1	1
9O.Narvaez, C	0-2	0	0	0
9T.Taylor, PR	0-0	0	0	0
9T.Nido, C	0-1	0	0	0