Guardians vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - August 21, 2024
Guardians at Yankees
11:05 pm • BSGLStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | 3.77 | 9-10 | |
![]() | ![]() | 4.89 | 2-4 |
Guardians at Yankees Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Guardians 0-0 | +1.5-123 | o8.5-112 | +170 | |
![]() Yankees 1-0 | -1.5+103 | u8.5-107 | -205 |
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Yankee StadiumBronx
Guardians vs. Yankees Expert Picks
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Picks Office
185d ago
Last 30d: 84-89-2 (-16.0u)
NYY -1.5+115
1.15u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
First off, Cleveland's Joey Cantillo has really battled in his brief major league career. He carries a 6.23 ERA over three starts, poor command especially evident in nine walks against just 13 innings pitched contributing to the bloated 1.62 WHIP. In his last time out against the Twins, he labored through 5.2 innings, allowing three runs and two homers; really a concerning trend heading into an outing against a power-heavy Yankees lineup at Yankee Stadium. The stadium is very hitter-friendly, especially to lefties, so this isn't a spot in which a young pitcher, at times wild, is going to head out there and feel comfortable.
On the mound for the Yankees is Nestor Cortes, coming off his best start in over a month: a seven-inning, three-hit shutout against the White Sox, having struck nine times and walked none. Following good starts to the year by both teams, Cortes has had midseason struggles but has seen success against Cleveland with a 3.68 ERA in six appearances. He is a good bet to make another quality start, as he does everything well in suppressing hard contact and generating swings and misses, especially against a Guardians lineup that ranks near the bottom of the league in slugging percentage against lefties. Cleveland's offense has shown it can put together an explosive inning—it did so in its last game—but overall it's been very inconsistent—especially against left-handed pitching, where it hits .230 as a team. This has been evident in their recent performance, as this faction is 6-10 over its last 16 games, unable to really build up some momentum on offense.
Offensively, it's the Yankees in contention. Despite recent frustrations, the Yankees do have one of baseball's scariest lineups. Aaron Judge alone matches up with an attack that also includes a Juan Soto who has heated up with five runs and four RBIs in the last series, adorning his resume with a .332 average, 45 homers and 1.172 OPS. This Yankee lineup, one that ranks 5th in MLB with a .768 OPS and 3rd in home runs with 207, is absolutely lethal at home, where they have hit 122 of their homers this season. They should, against a pitcher as green as Cantillo, be able to cash in on mistakes early and often.
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Firefighter Bets
185d ago
Last 30d: 197-156-9 (+26.8u)
J.Soto o1.5 Total Bases+120
1.2u
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Prop Hunter
185d ago
Last 30d: 5-12-0 (-1.1u)
A.Judge o1.5 Total Bases-120
1u
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Proptology _
185d ago
Last 30d: 4-2-0 (+3.1u)
A.Judge o1.5 Total Bases-115
2u
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Top Shelf Action 🥃
185d ago
Last 30d: 511-495-15 (+44.9u)
Under 8.5-104
1u
low strikeout pitchers with wind helping
Overall: 151-77-18,66% (ROI:27%)
Season:19-15-1,56% (ROI:9%)
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The Degenerates
185d ago
Last 30d: 77-71-4 (-3.1u)
NYY -1.5+110
1.1u
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Player Prop Savant
185d ago
Last 30d: 49-60-4 (-16.1u)
N.Cortes u5.5 Ks-160
1u
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Mike Randle
185d ago
Last 30d: 15-11-0 (+2.5u)
Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-106
1u
Action NCAA Baseball
185d ago
Last 30d: 2-0-0 (+1.5u)
CLE +165
1u
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Player Prop Savant
185d ago
Last 30d: 49-60-4 (-16.1u)
N.Cortes u5.5 Ks-160
$100.00
Have no access to books in Greece playing 1u on 4.5 and 1 on 5.5 +130 and -155
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Cam Is Money
185d ago
Last 30d: 192-150-12 (+20.8u)
Over 8-120
0.83u
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Brian Bitler
185d ago
Last 30d: 68-80-3 (-48.3u)
CLE +1.5-130
3u
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Boomer Betz
185d ago
Last 30d: 149-106-4 (+59.0u)
NYY -165
0.61u
Guardians vs. Yankees Previews & Analysis
Guardians vs. Yankees Notes
Keys to the Game
The Yankees are 21-19 (.525) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
Matchup Contrasts
Alex Verdugo has an OPS of just .713 since the 2022 season -- 12th worst in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Emmanuel Clase has allowed an OPS of just .486 (789 PAs) since the 2022 season -- second best among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.
Jose Ramirez is slugging .534 this season -- 12th best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Nestor Cortes has allowed a SLG of .470 vs right-handed batters this season -- third worst among qualified SPs-- fifth Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (129/417) against Nestor Cortes this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% -- first Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Guardians vs. Yankees Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Yankees are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Yankees' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Yankees' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Guardians vs. Yankees Injury Updates
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Guardians Injuries
- Shane BieberP
Bieber is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- John MeansP
Means is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
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Yankees Injuries
- JT BrubakerP
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out
Guardians vs. Yankees Box Score
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PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 88 | 4 | 5 | 7 | |
![]() | 37 | 2 | 3 | 0 | |
![]() | 36 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
![]() | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 104 | 7 | 4 | 0 | |
![]() | 22 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 5 |
![]() | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
![]() | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Guardians vs. Yankees Odds Comparison
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Guardians at Yankees Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Guardians 0-0 | o3.5-105 | u3.5-125 |
![]() Yankees 1-0 | o4.5-125 | u4.5-105 |