Guardians vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - October 15, 2024

Guardians at Yankees

11:38 pm • truTV

Cleveland Guardians

1-4

3 - 6

New York Yankees

4-1

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Cole			2.17	1-0
T.Bibee			3.45	0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 1-4	+1.5	+1.5-155	o7+100	+145
Yankees 4-1	u7	-1.5+130	u7-120	-175

Tuesday 11:38 p.m.

October 15, 2024

Yankee StadiumBronx

Under 1 (Live)-150

1.61u

For twitter fades earlier

CLE +3.5 (Live)-115

2.17u

So many insurance runs that include automatic last at bats for the #Guardians. I would like a #Yankees win and the #Guardians to cover 3 runs at a solid line. #Yankees #Guardians #GamblersDream #SportsBettingPicks #Tailing #ProSystem #ProProjection

Under 7.5 (Live)-115

Live 3rd inning

G.Cole u5.5 Ks (Live)-120

Got in live after 1st inning - tailing @CamIsMoney18

G.Cole u5.5 Ks-140

0.1u

Bump at -150 or better

S.Kwan u0.5 Hits+155

Oddsjam

Over 7+100

0.25u

Small to -102. Could also or alternatively wait for a live Over 6/6.5

Over 7+105

2.1u

CLE +140

CLE +145

T.Bibee o4.5 Ks-130

G.Cole u5.5 Ks-135

1.25u

Over 7+100

@Zerillo

G.Cole u5.5 Ks-135

0.74u

@Zerillo

T.Bibee u4.5 Ks-105

0.95u

@Zerillo

NYY o3.5 Team Total-130

Under 4 (F5)-115

1.15u

CLE +144

🔑 Guardians ML +144 (FanDuel) 2u This is a little risky but the Guards are a very good baseball team. Bibee is a stud and 93% of the money coming in on NY…yet the sharp money and big money of the nets coming in is on CLE. I think Bibee will be able to keep the runs low and the Guards put some runs up. Guards have one of the best Pens in the MLB if they have a lead in the late innings it’s over

T.Bibee u4.5 Ks+105

1.05u

G.Cole u5.5 Ks-104

Avery

G.Cole u5.5 Ks-130

Johnny

NYY -1.5+130

1.27u

Johnny

CLE +150

Sandy

CLE +150

B.Naylor u0.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115

Zero hits in 13 PAs this postseason, after hitting .167 in SEPT. 0/2 lifetime vs Cole, and hit .097 vs power pitchers this season. Easy pinch hit target in a big spot late in the game (even against a righty).

G.Cole u5.5 Ks-102

0.98u

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CLE +1.5-152

NYY -160

Yankees should sweep this series with ease. I can see this line closing -180 closer to game time.

CLE +150

T.Bibee u4.5 Ks-118

0.1u

G.Cole u5.5 Ks-135

0.1u

CLE +164

0.75u

Bet to +155. Reduce below +160

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Featured Insight
Opponents had a hard-hit rate of just 36% against the Yankees RPs last season -- best in MLB. Guardians hitters had a hard-hit rate of just 33% last season -- worst in MLB.

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The Yankees are 72-54 (.571) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .453.

Lane Thomas batted just .114 against RHP over the last two weeks -- third worst in MLB-- third Percentile. Right handed batters hit just .136 (3-for-22) against Gerrit Cole over the last two weeks -- 10th best among qualified SPs-- 85th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .575 (736 PA's) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .678 -- 95th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has a strikeout rate of 29% (212 SO in 736 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 95th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Yankees' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9
Guardians	83-78	42-38	41-40	48-50	34-27

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2
Guardians	67-83-11	38-38-4	29-45-7	45-46-7	21-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	8-6	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9
Guardians	4-6	50-30	42-39	63-35	28-33

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Oct 14th	CLE	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 7.5	NYY -175
Oct 11th	@KC	W 3-1	-1.5 W	U 8	NYY -153
Oct 9th	@KC	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8	NYY -120
Oct 7th	KC	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	KC -155
Oct 5th	KC	W 6-5	-1.5 L	O 7.5	NYY -205

Shane Bieber
P
Bieber is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RT.Bibee, P	39	1.1	2	2
RC.Smith, P	17	1.2	2	0
LT.Herrin, P	17	1	1	0
RE.Morgan, P	6	1	0	0
LE.Sabrowski, P	19	0.2	0	0
RP.Avila, P	3	0.1	0	0
RH.Gaddis, P	22	0.2	0	2
RB.Lively, P	26	1.1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	1-4	1	0	0
2K.Manzardo, DH	1-5	1	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
4J.Naylor, 1B	2-4	0	0	1
5L.Thomas, CF	1-3	0	0	0
6W.Brennan, RF	0-4	0	0	1
7A.Gimenez, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
8B.Naylor, C	0-1	0	0	0
8D.Fry, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8A.Hedges, C	0-2	0	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	2-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Cole, P	89	4.1	4	2
RC.Holmes, P	10	0.2	1	0
LT.Hill, P	18	1.2	1	0
RT.Kahnle, P	25	1.1	1	0
RL.Weaver, P	18	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Torres, 2B	3-5	2	0	0
2J.Soto, RF	1-3	0	0	0
3A.Judge, CF	1-3	1	1	3
4A.Wells, C	0-4	0	0	0
5G.Stanton, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Chisholm, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
7A.Volpe, SS	2-3	2	0	0
8A.Rizzo, 1B	2-4	1	0	0
9A.Verdugo, LF	1-3	0	0	1