Royals vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - October 5, 2024

Royals at Yankees

10:38 pm • Max

Kansas City Royals

1-3

5 - 6

New York Yankees

3-1

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Cole			2.17	1-0
M.Wacha			5.19	0-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Royals 1-3	+1.5	+1.5-130	o7.5-112	+170
Yankees 3-1	u7.5	-1.5+110	u7.5-108	-205

Saturday 10:38 p.m.

October 05, 2024

Yankee StadiumBronx

NYY -110 (Live)

1.91u

I have the #Royals +1.5 -130 I am going for the “premium double dip” to win both wagers. #ProSystem #ProProjection

G.Cole u5.5 Ks-115

NYY -199

G.Cole u1.5 BB-120

G. Cole ⬇️ 1.5 Walks (-120 @ MGM) THE BAT X 📽️: 1.06 Walks Cole has struggled more with his command/control this season than in the past: 2024 BB%: 7.4% 2023: 5.8% 2022: 6.3% 2021: 5.6% 2020: 5.9% However, we've seen Cole produce much similar to his old self in the month of September, with a 5.8% walk-rate, which is much more in line with his career norms. He's only cleared this once in his L6 starts and the under still has better than a 50% hit-rate this season. Cole walks fewer righties (6.2%) than lefties (8.3%) this season. KCR will have 4 lefties in the lineup today. Let's look at their walk-rates vs RHP: M. Massey: 4.8% 🟢 V. Pasquantino: 8.6% 🟡 M. Melendez: 9.0% 🟡 K. Isbel: 6.7% 🟢 So no run-away matchups here. Against this current roster, Cole has a 2.7% walk-rate in his career. Going to lean on the Yankees ace to put in a good start to kick off NYY's playoff run.

KC +170

#ProSystem Fade the public in playoffs Overall: 165-124-0,57% (ROI:27%) Season:5-1-0,83% (ROI:88%)

M.Wacha o14.5 Outs-105

$1050.00

Under 7.5-108

G.Cole u5.5 Ks-115

2.17u

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The Yankees are 72-54 (.571) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .453.

34% of Juan Soto strikeouts are looking since last season -- seventh highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 44% of Angel Zerpa strikeouts are looking since last season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Maikel Garcia has an OPS of just .643 since last season -- second worst in MLB-- first Percentile. Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .602 (1,211 PAs) since last season -- fifth best among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has allowed an OBP of just .260 (735 PA's) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 -- 95th Percentile.

Gerrit Cole has allowed an OPS of just .575 (736 PA's) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .678 -- 95th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Yankees' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	80-82	35-46	45-36	62-72	18-9
Royals	87-75	43-38	44-37	40-38	46-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	87-69-6	45-33-3	42-36-3	76-54-4	11-14-2
Royals	69-88-5	38-42-1	31-46-4	32-46	36-42-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	8-6	44-37	50-31	76-58	18-9
Royals	3-3	45-36	41-40	49-29	36-47

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 29th	PIT	W 6-4	-1.5 W	O 7.5	NYY -175
Sep 28th	PIT	L 4-9	-1.5 L	O 6.5	PIT -135
Sep 27th	PIT	L 2-4	-1.5 L	U 7.5	PIT -166
Sep 26th	BAL	W 10-1	-1.5 W	O 8	NYY -170
Sep 25th	BAL	L 7-9	-1.5 L	O 8.5	BAL -130

Kyle Wright
P
Wright is out for season with shoulder
Out for Season

JT Brubaker
P
Brubaker is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Wacha, P	70	4	3	3
LA.Zerpa, P	19	0	0	1
RJ.Schreiber, P	15	1	1	0
LS.Long, P	11	0.1	1	1
RM.Lorenzen, P	24	1.1	3	1
RL.Erceg, P	28	1.1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Massey, 2B	2-5	0	0	0
2B.Witt, SS	0-5	0	0	0
3V.Pasquantino, DH	0-5	0	0	0
4S.Perez, C	1-4	0	0	0
5Y.Gurriel, 1B	1-2	3	0	0
6M.Melendez, LF	2-4	1	1	2
7T.Pham, RF	1-3	1	0	1
8K.Isbel, CF	0-2	0	0	0
8G.Hampson, PH	1-1	0	0	2
8G.Hampson, CF	1-1	0	0	2
9M.Garcia, 3B	1-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Cole, P	80	5	4	3
LT.Hill, P	16	0.1	0	0
RC.Holmes, P	13	1.2	0	0
RT.Kahnle, P	15	0.2	0	0
RL.Weaver, P	24	1.1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Torres, 2B	1-3	2	1	2
2J.Soto, RF	3-5	0	0	0
3A.Judge, CF	0-4	1	0	0
4A.Wells, C	1-3	0	0	2
5G.Stanton, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Chisholm, 3B	1-4	1	0	0
7A.Volpe, SS	0-3	0	0	1
8O.Cabrera, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
9A.Verdugo, LF	2-3	2	0	1