Phillies vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - May 14, 2024

Phillies at Mets

5:10 pm • SNY

Philadelphia Phillies

1-3

4 - 0

New York Mets

7-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Butto			2.55	7-3
A.Nola			3.57	14-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Phillies 1-3	-1.5+136	o7.5-116	-122
Mets 7-6	+1.5-162	u7.5-105	+103

Tuesday 5:10 p.m.

May 14, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

P.Alonso o0.5 HR+500

0.15u

P.Alonso o1.5 Total Bases+155

0.35u

NYM +120

0.5u

Over 8-105

0.5u

B.Marsh o1.5 Total Bases+180

Ballpark pal gives a strong advantage to Marsh and +ev bet with devig odds of +148 giving value to this number

PHI o4.5 Team Total+102

Big time players make big time plays

PHI -137

0.73u

Same shit different day boys

PHI -1.5+120

0.6u

Bending the Mets over the kitchen sink

PHI -2.5+182

0.91u

My name is Mjay and I support this message

Over 0.5 (1st Inn)-111

0.56u

1st time through the order FIP: Butto 5.33, Nola 4.69

Over 8-103

1.03u

NYM +120

0.75u

PHI -135

WHY TF

NYM +124

0.5u

Bet to +112

Over 7.5-115

0.58u

Bet to -117

Over 7.5-115

1.15u

Featured Insight
The Phillies have allowed their opponents to score first in just 29% of their games this season -- lowest in MLB. The Mets have scored first in just 36% of their games this season -- third lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Mets RPs have a strikeout rate of 29% over the last two weeks -- second highest in MLB. Phillies have struck out 25% over the last two weeks -- tied for fourth highest in MLB.

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The Phillies are 119-85 (.583) since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Mets are just 3-86 (.034) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.

The Phillies are 54-16 (.771) when they've hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .691.

The Mets are just 8-79 (.092) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season -- tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.

Kyle Schwarber has struck out in 33% of PA's this season -- seventh highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Adam Ottavino has a strikeout rate of 38% this season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Francisco Lindor is batting just .174 at home this season -- fourth worst in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .174 (12-for-69) against Aaron Nola on the road this season -- ninth best among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.

Aaron Nola has a strikeout rate of 31% (203 SO in 647 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season -- tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% -- 96th Percentile.

Jose Butto has a strike rate of just 49% (89/181) when ahead in the count this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 61% -- second Percentile.

Jose Butto has a strike rate of just 50% (68/136) with runners in scoring position this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 15 total IP; League Avg: 64% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Phillies	75-87	39-42	36-45	64-66	10-21

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Phillies	78-76-8	36-40-5	42-36-3	56-68-6	22-7-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Phillies	95-67	54-27	41-40	82-48	12-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 13th	PHI	L 4-5	+1.5 W	O 7	PHI -118
May 12th	ATL	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 8	NYM -111
May 11th	ATL	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 7	ATL +130
May 10th	ATL	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	ATL +124
May 7th	@STL	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM +105

Max Kepler
OF
Kepler is out with knee
Out
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Nola, P		109	9	8	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	1-3	2	0
2N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	1	0
3B.Stott, SS	1-2	0	1
4A.Bohm, 1B	2-4	0	2
5B.Marsh, LF	1-4	0	1
6W.Merrifield, 3B	0-4	0	0
7K.Clemens, 2B	0-4	0	0
8J.Rojas, CF	1-4	1	0
9G.Stubbs, C	0-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Butto, P	97	5	4	2
RY.Ramirez, P	22	1	2	0
LJ.Diekman, P	18	0.2	0	0
RJ.Lopez, P	22	1.1	1	0
RS.Reid-Foley, P	24	1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Nimmo, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2S.Marte, RF	2-4	0	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	0-4	0	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
5J.Martinez, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6B.Baty, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
7T.Taylor, CF	1-3	0	0	0
8J.Wendle, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
8D.Stewart, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9O.Narvaez, C	0-2	0	0	0
9J.McNeil, PH	1-1	0	0	0