Braves vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - May 12, 2024

Braves at Mets

11:10 pm • ESPN

Atlanta Braves

0-2

3 - 4

New York Mets

7-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Severino			3.91	11-7
B.Elder			6.52	2-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 0-2	-1.5+149	o8-110	-108
Mets 7-6	+1.5-180	u8-110	-111

Sunday 11:10 p.m.

May 12, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-130

1.5u

NYM -105

1.9u

Under 8-112

NYM -105

0.95u

NYM +100

Under 8-118

NYM +113

0.57u

Bet to +105

NYM +105 (F5)

0.5u

+115 at 365. Bet to +104

Featured Insight
The Braves have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games since last season -- lowest in MLB. The Mets have scored first in just 43% of their games since last season -- third lowest in MLB.

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .426.

J.D. Martinez has struck out in 27% of PA's since the 2022 season -- ninth highest in MLB-- eighth Percentile. A.J. Minter has a strikeout rate of 33% since the 2022 season -- 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Bryce Elder has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 50% (22/44) of opposing batters this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 64% -- first Percentile.

Luis Severino has walked 8 of 53 batters (15%) -- 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% -- second Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 16% (18/112) against Luis Severino this season -- tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .500 (10-for-20) against Bryce Elder on fastballs away this season -- tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: .235 -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 11th	ATL	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 7	ATL +130
May 10th	ATL	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	ATL +124
May 7th	@STL	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM +105
May 6th	@STL	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	NYM +114
May 5th	@TB	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 7	TB -108

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Elder, P	85	5.1	6	2
LA.Bummer, P	24	1	2	0
RJ.Chavez, P	12	1	0	0
LD.Lee, P	7	0.2	1	0
LA.Minter, P	12	0.1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-4	0	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	1-2	0	0	0
3Z.Short, 3B	0-0	2	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
5M.Ozuna, DH	2-3	0	0	2
6M.Harris, CF	0-3	0	0	0
7O.Arcia, SS	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Kelenic, LF	1-3	1	1	1
8A.Duvall, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8A.Duvall, LF	0-1	0	0	0
9C.Tromp, C	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	94	5	4	2
RR.Garrett, P	27	2	3	0
RA.Ottavino, P	14	0.1	0	1
LJ.Diekman, P	11	0.2	0	0
RE.Diaz, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.Stewart, LF	2-3	1	0	0
1B.Nimmo, PR	1-1	1	1	2
1B.Nimmo, LF	1-1	1	1	2
2S.Marte, RF	1-4	0	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	2-4	1	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	2-4	0	0	2
5J.Martinez, DH	1-4	0	0	0
6B.Baty, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
6T.Taylor, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6J.Wendle, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
7H.Bader, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8J.McNeil, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
9O.Narvaez, C	0-2	0	0	0
9T.Nido, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9T.Nido, C	0-1	0	0	0