Braves vs. Mets Odds & Betting Predictions - May 12, 2024

Braves at Mets

11:10 pm • ESPN

Atlanta Braves

7-7

3 - 4

New York Mets

7-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Severino			3.91	11-7
B.Elder			6.52	2-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Braves 7-7	-1.5+149	o8-110	-108
Mets 7-9	+1.5-180	u8-110	-111

Sunday 11:10 p.m.

May 12, 2024

Citi FieldFlushing, Queens

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-130

1.5u

NYM -108

0.93u

NYM o3.5 Team Total-125

0.44u

NYM -105

1.9u

Under 8-112

Under 4.5 (F5)-120

NYM -105

0.95u

NYM -108

0.93u

NYM +103

1.03u

Under 8-118

NYM +113

0.57u

Bet to +105

NYM +105 (F5)

0.5u

+115 at 365. Bet to +104

Featured Insight
The Braves have allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games since last season -- lowest in MLB. The Mets have scored first in just 43% of their games since last season -- third lowest in MLB.

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .426.

J.D. Martinez has struck out in 27% of PA's since the 2022 season -- ninth highest in MLB-- eighth Percentile. A.J. Minter has a strikeout rate of 33% since the 2022 season -- 11th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Bryce Elder has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 50% (22/44) of opposing batters this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 64% -- first Percentile.

Luis Severino has walked 8 of 53 batters (15%) -- 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% -- second Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 16% (18/112) against Luis Severino this season -- tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- 97th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .500 (10-for-20) against Bryce Elder on fastballs away this season -- tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: .235 -- first Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mets are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mets are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Mets' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 42 of Mets' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 11th	ATL	L 1-4	+1.5 L	U 7	ATL +130
May 10th	ATL	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 7.5	ATL +124
May 7th	@STL	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 8.5	NYM +105
May 6th	@STL	W 4-3	+1.5 W	U 8.5	NYM +114
May 5th	@TB	L 6-7	-1.5 L	O 7	TB -108

Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out with knee
Out
Joe Jimenez
P
Jimenez is out with knee
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out with elbow
Out

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Elder, P	85	5.1	6	2
LA.Bummer, P	24	1	2	0
RJ.Chavez, P	12	1	0	0
LD.Lee, P	7	0.2	1	0
LA.Minter, P	12	0.1	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-4	0	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
3A.Riley, 3B	1-2	0	0	0
3Z.Short, 3B	0-0	2	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
5M.Ozuna, DH	2-3	0	0	2
6M.Harris, CF	0-3	0	0	0
7O.Arcia, SS	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Kelenic, LF	1-3	1	1	1
8A.Duvall, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8A.Duvall, LF	0-1	0	0	0
9C.Tromp, C	0-4	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	94	5	4	2
RR.Garrett, P	27	2	3	0
RA.Ottavino, P	14	0.1	0	1
LJ.Diekman, P	11	0.2	0	0
RE.Diaz, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.Stewart, LF	2-3	1	0	0
1B.Nimmo, PR	1-1	1	1	2
1B.Nimmo, LF	1-1	1	1	2
2S.Marte, RF	1-4	0	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	2-4	1	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	2-4	0	0	2
5J.Martinez, DH	1-4	0	0	0
6B.Baty, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
6T.Taylor, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6J.Wendle, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
7H.Bader, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8J.McNeil, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
9O.Narvaez, C	0-2	0	0	0
9T.Nido, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9T.Nido, C	0-1	0	0	0