Pirates vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - May 16, 2024

Pirates at Cubs

11:40 pm • MARQ

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

5 - 4

Chicago Cubs

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Steele			3.07	5-5
J.Jones			4.14	6-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 0-0	+1.5-199	o8-114	+104
Cubs 0-0	-1.5+165	u8-105	-123

Thursday 11:40 p.m.

May 16, 2024

Wrigley FieldChicago

CHC -125

2.5u

PIT +110

1.65u

PIT +120

1.2u

PIT +125

0.63u

Superbook. Bet to +113

Over 7.5-110

0.5u

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Featured Insight
The Cubs have scored first in 55% of their games since the 2022 season -- fifth highest in MLB. The Pirates have allowed their opponents to score first in 56% of their games since the 2022 season -- fourth highest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: MLB Bets for Bucs-Cubs, A's-'Stros
Sean Zerillo•
May 16, 2024 UTC
MLB Player Props for Thursday: Bets For Tyler Glasnow and Justin Steele
Alex Hinton•
May 16, 2024 UTC

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The Cubs are 24-19 (.558) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .426.

33% of Cody Bellinger strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- tied for 13th highest in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. 46% of Jared Jones's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- ninth highest among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.

Michael Busch has struck out in 34% of PA's this season -- fifth highest in MLB-- second Percentile. Aroldis Chapman has a strikeout rate of 37% this season -- eighth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Jared Jones has a strike rate of 74% (229/311) against right-handed batters this season -- highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 65% -- 100th Percentile.

Jared Jones has a strike rate of 72% (482/670) this season -- highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 64% -- 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (229/499) when behind in the count since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 31% -- 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (1,454/3,386) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 145 total IP; League Avg: 31% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Cubs' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 15th	@ATL	W 7-1	+1.5 W	U 9	CHC +154
May 14th	@ATL	L 0-7	+1.5 L	U 7.5	ATL +164
May 13th	@ATL	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 8	ATL +119
May 12th	@PIT	W 5-4	-1.5 L	U 9	CHC -120
May 11th	@PIT	L 9-10	-1.5 L	O 7	PIT -112

Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Jones, P	91	6	7	3
LA.Chapman, P	17	1	2	0
RC.Holderman, P	23	1	1	0
RD.Bednar, P	8	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Joe, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
1C.Joe, RF	1-4	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, DH	1-4	0	0	1
3O.Cruz, SS	0-4	1	0	0
4E.Olivares, RF	2-4	2	1	2
4R.Tellez, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
5N.Gonzales, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
6Y.Grandal, C	0-3	0	0	1
7J.Suwinski, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8M.Taylor, CF	1-3	1	0	0
9A.Williams, 2B	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Steele, P	88	5.2	7	5
RH.Wesneski, P	21	1.1	3	0
RT.Miller, P	27	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Tauchman, DH	1-5	1	0	0
2S.Suzuki, RF	1-3	1	0	0
3C.Bellinger, CF	1-4	0	0	1
4C.Morel, 3B	0-3	0	0	1
5I.Happ, LF	1-4	1	1	1
6M.Busch, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
7N.Madrigal, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
8M.Mastrobuoni, SS	1-4	0	0	0
9M.Amaya, C	0-3	0	0	0
9P.Wisdom, PH	0-1	0	0	0