Cubs vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - May 15, 2024

Cubs at Braves

11:20 pm • BSSO

Chicago Cubs

0-0

7 - 1

Atlanta Braves

0-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 0-0	+1.5	+1.5-125	o9-105	+154
Braves 0-2	u9	-1.5+105	u9-115	-185

Wednesday 11:20 p.m.

May 15, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

Under 4.5 (F5)-108

$1080.00

CHC +1.5-120

0.5u

Under 9-110

Under 9-120

0.5u

Bet to 8.5 (-102)

C.Morton u6.5 Ks-130

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Featured Insight
Braves hitters have a hard-hit rate of 46% since last season -- best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 41% against the Cubs RPs since last season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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The Braves are 17-57 (.230) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .102.

Michael Busch has struck out in 35% of PA's this season -- tied for fourth highest in MLB-- second Percentile. Aroldis Chapman has a strikeout rate of 37% this season -- ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Christopher Morel has a swing rate of 42% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- 15th highest among hitters with at least 58 total PA's-- 89th Percentile. Opponents are hitting .467 (7-for-15) against Charlie Morton on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- fifth worst among qualified SPs-- fifth Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 44% of the time (172/393) vs left-handed batters this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% -- 100th Percentile.

Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 41% of the time (269/654) this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% -- 100th Percentile.

Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .389 (155 PA's) with runners in scoring position since last season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .742 -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (20/126) against Javier Assad this season -- 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% -- third Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 14th	CHC	W 7-0	-1.5 W	U 7.5	ATL -198
May 13th	CHC	W 2-0	-1.5 W	U 8	ATL -139
May 12th	@NYM	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 8	NYM -108
May 11th	@NYM	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 7	ATL -155
May 10th	@NYM	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 7.5	ATL -147

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Assad, P	86	6	7	0
RB.Brown, P	28	2	3	1
LL.Little, P	14	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Tauchman, LF	2-5	1	1	1
2S.Suzuki, RF	2-5	2	1	1
3C.Bellinger, DH	2-4	0	0	0
4C.Morel, 3B	0-5	0	0	1
5M.Busch, 1B	1-4	2	0	0
6M.Mastrobuoni, SS	1-3	1	0	0
7N.Madrigal, 2B	3-4	0	0	0
8P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	2-4	1	0	2
9Y.Gomes, C	0-4	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Morton, P	76	3	4	3
LR.Kerr, P	39	3	2	1
RJ.Chavez, P	23	2	1	2
RJ.Stephens, P	17	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1M.Harris, CF	1-5	0	0
2O.Albies, 2B	1-4	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	1-4	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	1-4	0	0
5T.d'Arnaud, C	1-3	0	0
6A.Duvall, RF	0-3	0	0
7O.Arcia, SS	1-3	1	0
7L.Williams, PH	0-0	0	0
8J.Kelenic, LF	0-4	0	0
9Z.Short, 3B	2-4	0	1