Cubs vs. Braves Odds & Betting Predictions - May 13, 2024

Cubs at Braves

11:20 pm • MARQ

Chicago Cubs

0-0

0 - 2

Atlanta Braves

0-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Lopez			1.99	8-5
S.Imanaga			2.91	15-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 0-0	+1.5-180	o8-112	+119
Braves 0-2	-1.5+150	u8-110	-139

Monday 11:20 p.m.

May 13, 2024

Truist ParkAtlanta

CHC +125

Braves aren't playing that well and Cubs are 7-0 in Shota Imanaga last seven starts.

Under 8-110

S.Imanaga u1.5 BB-110

1.1u

Under 8-110

2.73u

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-130

0.5u

Over 7.5-115

S.Imanaga o5.5 Ks+115

1.15u

Over in 4/6 full starts, coming off a 7 and 8 K performance against two tougher to K teams (SD and NYM). ATL bats have not been all too scary lately - last two weeks vs righties they are at 25.5% K% and a 60 wRC+. First time facing Imanaga as well - typically advantage goes to the pitcher.

Under 8-105

0.5u

Bet to -119 or 7.5 (+100)

Featured Insight
Cubs RPs have a strikeout rate of 28% over the last two weeks -- third highest in MLB. Braves have struck out 25% over the last two weeks -- tied for fifth highest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Braves hitters have a hard-hit rate of 46% since last season -- best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 41% against the Cubs RPs since last season -- fourth worst in MLB.

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The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .426.

Cody Bellinger struck out in 27% of PA's in the 2022 season -- 10th highest in MLB-- seventh Percentile. A.J. Minter had a strikeout rate of 35% in the 2022 season -- 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has walked 18 of 369 right-handed batters (5%) since the 2022 season -- tied for 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% -- 93rd Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 54% (219/403) against Shota Imanaga in non-two strike counts this season -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% -- 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .171 (12-for-70) against Reynaldo Lopez on low fastballs since the 2022 season -- 6th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .271 -- 95th Percentile.

Shota Imanaga has allowed an OPS of just .274 (63 PA's) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .668 -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Braves are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Braves are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Braves are 40-41 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Braves' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 25 of Braves' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	75-87	35-46	40-41	60-71	15-16
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Braves	58-94-10	25-53-3	33-41-7	45-77-9	13-17-1
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Braves	89-73	46-35	43-38	76-55	13-18
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 12th	@NYM	L 3-4	-1.5 L	U 8	NYM -108
May 11th	@NYM	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 7	ATL -155
May 10th	@NYM	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 7.5	ATL -147
May 8th	BOS	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -216
May 7th	BOS	W 4-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ATL -188

Chris Sale
P
Chris Sale (back spasms) scratched Monday. Grant Holmes will start Game 2.
Out
Ronald Acuna
OF
Acuna is out for season with knee
Out for Season
Austin Riley
IF
Riley is out with hand
Out
Spencer Strider
P
Strider is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Ben Brown
P
Brown is out with neck
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Imanaga, P		98	5	8	0
RH.Wesneski, P		53	3	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Tauchman, LF	1-4	0	0	0
2S.Suzuki, RF	1-4	0	0	0
3C.Bellinger, CF	1-4	0	0	0
4C.Morel, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
4P.Crow-Armstrong, PR	0-0	0	0	0
5I.Happ, DH	0-4	0	0	0
6N.Hoerner, SS	0-3	0	0	0
7M.Busch, 1B	1-2	0	0	0
7N.Madrigal, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7N.Madrigal, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
8M.Mastrobuoni, 2B	0-1	0	0	0
8P.Wisdom, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8P.Wisdom, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
9M.Amaya, C	1-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RR.Lopez, P	71	5	4
LR.Kerr, P	19	2	3
LD.Lee, P	19	1	1
LA.Minter, P	15	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1R.Acuna, RF	1-3	0	1
2O.Albies, 2B	2-4	0	0
3M.Ozuna, DH	1-2	0	0
4M.Olson, 1B	2-4	0	0
5A.Duvall, LF	1-4	0	0
6O.Arcia, SS	0-4	0	0
7M.Harris, CF	1-4	0	0
8T.d'Arnaud, C	1-4	1	0
9Z.Short, 3B	1-3	1	1