Pirates vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - August 30, 2024

Pirates at Guardians

11:10 pm • SportsNet PT
8 - 10
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Ben Lively logoB.LivelyCleveland Guardians logo3.8213-10
Bailey Falter logoB.FalterPittsburgh Pirates logo4.438-9

Pirates at Guardians Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates
0-0
+1.5-155
o8.5-121
+130
Guardians
4-6
-1.5+130
u8.5+100
-155
location pinFriday 11:10 p.m.
August 30, 2024
Progressive FieldCleveland
Pirates vs. Guardians Expert Picks
Prop Hunter
Prop Hunter
84d ago
Last 30d: 29-38-0 (-8.7u)
J.Noel o1.5 Total Bases+110
1.1u
YBK Picks.com
84d ago
Last 30d: 55-39-1 (+29.7u)
PIT +1-115
2u
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
84d ago
Last 30d: 43-65-2 (-4.2u)
J.Noel o0.5 HR+350
0.53u
O.Cruz o0.5 HR+350
0.15u
J.Ramirez o0.5 HR+360
0.15u
The Degenerates
The Degenerates
84d ago
Last 30d: 72-77-3 (-12.8u)
CLE -1.5+135
1.35u
JB Bets
JB Bets
84d ago
Last 30d: 56-52-0 (+7.1u)
CLE -145
0.69u
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
84d ago
Last 30d: 54-64-0 (-14.6u)
J.Noel o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115
0.87u
Picks  Office
Picks Office
84d ago
Last 30d: 93-106-0 (-20.9u)
Under 9-115
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Both pitchers carry the type of profiles that indicate they can limit damage, especially against lineups that have not found much clarity. Falter has had a rather uneven season with a 4.25 ERA, although his road performance is marginally better. This road improvement suggests he should be able to hold Cleveland's bats at bay, considering the Guardians rank only 22nd in team batting average at .237 while also checking in average in runs per game at 4.54. The biggest challenge for Falter will be getting through the top of the Cleveland lineup, which showed some life during their recent series in Kansas City. On the other side, DO NOT count out Ben Lively, who has been a reliable arm for Cleveland at home. His ability to induce poopers and limit the big fly is big against a Buccos lineup that ranks 25th in OPS (.677) and 21st in runs per game (4.21). The power has flashed in for Pittsburgh, but inconsistency - particularly against right-handed pitching - is a serious concern. The Pirates hit just .231 as a team against righties, posting a .298 on-base percentage that suggests they may struggle to manufacture runs against Lively, who is effective at avoiding big innings. The Cleveland bullpen has been one of the most consistent in the league, holding a cumulative ERA of 2.45, among the best in the major leagues. Recent form also goes significantly towards a low-scoring game. Wednesday's offensive eruption for Pittsburgh was an outlier in what has otherwise been a barren stretch, with the club mustering only a .236 average and a .321 on-base percentage over their last ten games. On the other side, while Cleveland's been far more consistent, they don't exactly light up the scoreboard, with the Under having hit in 37 of their 62 games at home this season. As it is, the Guardians does tend to get into close, low-scoring affairs, and when considering both teams boast offenses that rank outside the top 10 in most categories, the environment is perfect to support a game that goes under the total.
Grant Neiffer
Grant Neiffer
84d ago
Last 30d: 49-57-2 (-4.3u)
O.Cruz o0.5 HR+350
0.25u
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
84d ago
Last 30d: 157-154-3 (+36.4u)
PIT +145
1u
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
84d ago
Last 30d: 82-73-3 (+1.3u)
Over 8.5-115
1u
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
84d ago
Last 30d: 26-44-0 (-3.9u)
Over 8.5-114
0.5u
Bet to -120 or 9 (-101)

PRO Insights

Pirates logo

Pirates

PIT Insights
  • Pirates logoThe Pirates have scored 3.1 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- tied for fourth highest in MLB (13 games). The Guardians have allowed 3.3 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- fourth highest in MLB (13 games).
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Guardians logo

Guardians

CLE Insights
  • Guardians logoGuardians RPs have a strikeout rate of 25% vs right-handed batters this season -- tied for fifth highest in MLB. Pirates right-handed hitters have struck out 24% against LHP this season -- fourth highest in MLB.
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Pirates vs. Guardians Notes

Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Pirates vs. Guardians Public Betting Percentages

15%

Bets%

85%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Guardians
83-7842-3841-4048-5034-27
Pirates
88-7443-3845-3629-3459-39

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Guardians
67-83-1138-38-429-45-745-46-721-36-4
Pirates
77-81-440-38-337-43-131-30-246-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Guardians
92-6950-3042-3963-3528-33
Pirates
76-8639-4237-4435-2841-57

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 28thKCW 7-5-1.5 WO 8CLE -160
Aug 27thKCL 1-6-1.5 LU 9KC -165
Aug 26thKCL 4-9-1.5 LO 9KC -142
Aug 26thKCL 3-4+1.5 WU 8KC +110
Aug 25thTEXW 4-2-1.5 WU 8CLE -125

Guardians vs. Pirates Injury Updates

Guardians Injuries

    Pirates Injuries

    • Ke'Bryan Hayes
      IF

      Hayes is out with back

      Out

    • Johan Oviedo
      P

      Oviedo is out for season with elbow

      Out for Season

    • Endy Rodriguez
      C

      Rodriguez is out for season with elbow

      Out for Season

    Pirates vs. Guardians Box Score
    Pirates Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Bailey Falter logoLB.Falter, P59424
    Carmen Mlodzinski logoRC.Mlodzinski, P26124
    Domingo German logoRD.German, P54342
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Isiah Kiner-Falefa logo1I.Kiner-Falefa, SS1-5200
    Bryan Reynolds logo2B.Reynolds, LF2-4100
    Oneil Cruz logo3O.Cruz, CF2-5103
    Andrew McCutchen logo4A.McCutchen, DH2-5213
    Rowdy Tellez logo5R.Tellez, 1B2-3112
    Connor Joe logo5C.Joe, PH0-2000
    Connor Joe logo5C.Joe, 1B0-2000
    Nick Gonzales logo6N.Gonzales, 2B1-5000
    Billy McKinney logo7B.McKinney, RF0-3000
    Bryan De La Cruz logo7B.De La Cruz, PH0-2000
    Bryan De La Cruz logo7B.De La Cruz, RF0-2000
    Yasmani Grandal logo8Y.Grandal, C1-3100
    Michael A. Taylor logo8M.Taylor, PR0-0000
    Henry Davis logo8H.Davis, C0-0000
    Jared Triolo logo9J.Triolo, 3B1-3000
    Guardians Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Ben Lively logoRB.Lively, P944.136
    Pedro Avila logoRP.Avila, P80.210
    Cade Smith logoRC.Smith, P20111
    Tim Herrin logoLT.Herrin, P6100
    Hunter Gaddis logoRH.Gaddis, P18100
    Emmanuel Clase logoRE.Clase, P13111
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Steven Kwan logo1S.Kwan, LF2-4101
    Lane Thomas logo2L.Thomas, CF1-4200
    Lane Thomas logo2L.Thomas, RF1-4200
    Jose Ramirez logo3J.Ramirez, 3B2-4200
    David Fry logo4D.Fry, DH2-5001
    Josh Naylor logo5J.Naylor, 1B3-5104
    Tyler Freeman logo5T.Freeman, PR0-0000
    Tyler Freeman logo5T.Freeman, CF0-0000
    Jhonkensy Noel logo6J.Noel, RF1-5112
    Jhonkensy Noel logo6J.Noel, 1B1-5112
    Andres Gimenez logo7A.Gimenez, 2B3-5211
    Brayan Rocchio logo8B.Rocchio, SS1-4100
    Austin Hedges logo9A.Hedges, C1-3001

    Pirates vs. Guardians Odds Comparison

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    Pirates at Guardians Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Pirates
    0-0
    o3.5-135
    u3.5+105
    Guardians
    4-6
    o4.5-110
    u4.5-120