Pirates vs. Guardians Odds & Betting Predictions - August 30, 2024
Pirates at Guardians
11:10 pm • SportsNet PTStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | ![]() | 3.82 | 13-10 | |
![]() | ![]() | 4.43 | 8-9 |
Pirates at Guardians Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() Pirates 1-0 | +1.5-155 | o8.5-121 | +130 | |
![]() Guardians 0-1 | -1.5+130 | u8.5+100 | -155 |
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Progressive FieldCleveland
Pirates vs. Guardians Expert Picks
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Prop Hunter
176d ago
Last 30d: 5-12-0 (-1.1u)
J.Noel o1.5 Total Bases+110
1.1u
YBK Picks.com
176d ago
Last 30d: 8-13-0 (-15.8u)
PIT +1-115
2u
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SpenceBets
176d ago
Last 30d: 2-2-0 (-0.8u)
Over 8.5-120
0.83u
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The Degenerates
177d ago
Last 30d: 77-71-4 (-3.0u)
CLE -1.5+135
1.35u
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JB Bets
177d ago
Last 30d: 1-2-0 (-1.3u)
CLE -145
0.69u
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Firefighter Bets
177d ago
Last 30d: 195-151-8 (+30.3u)
J.Noel o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-115
0.87u
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Picks Office
177d ago
Last 30d: 85-90-2 (-16.3u)
Under 9-115
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Both pitchers carry the type of profiles that indicate they can limit damage, especially against lineups that have not found much clarity. Falter has had a rather uneven season with a 4.25 ERA, although his road performance is marginally better. This road improvement suggests he should be able to hold Cleveland's bats at bay, considering the Guardians rank only 22nd in team batting average at .237 while also checking in average in runs per game at 4.54. The biggest challenge for Falter will be getting through the top of the Cleveland lineup, which showed some life during their recent series in Kansas City.
On the other side, DO NOT count out Ben Lively, who has been a reliable arm for Cleveland at home. His ability to induce poopers and limit the big fly is big against a Buccos lineup that ranks 25th in OPS (.677) and 21st in runs per game (4.21). The power has flashed in for Pittsburgh, but inconsistency - particularly against right-handed pitching - is a serious concern. The Pirates hit just .231 as a team against righties, posting a .298 on-base percentage that suggests they may struggle to manufacture runs against Lively, who is effective at avoiding big innings.
The Cleveland bullpen has been one of the most consistent in the league, holding a cumulative ERA of 2.45, among the best in the major leagues.
Recent form also goes significantly towards a low-scoring game. Wednesday's offensive eruption for Pittsburgh was an outlier in what has otherwise been a barren stretch, with the club mustering only a .236 average and a .321 on-base percentage over their last ten games. On the other side, while Cleveland's been far more consistent, they don't exactly light up the scoreboard, with the Under having hit in 37 of their 62 games at home this season. As it is, the Guardians does tend to get into close, low-scoring affairs, and when considering both teams boast offenses that rank outside the top 10 in most categories, the environment is perfect to support a game that goes under the total.
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Austin Pendergrass
177d ago
Last 30d: 72-124-1 (-30.1u)
CLE -154
0.65u
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Grant Neiffer
177d ago
Last 30d: 40-39-4 (+4.6u)
O.Cruz o0.5 HR+350
0.25u
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Boomer Betz
177d ago
Last 30d: 151-118-4 (+46.5u)
PIT +145
1u
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Tanner McGrath
177d ago
Last 30d: 49-56-1 (-13.5u)
Over 8.5-115
1u
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Sean Zerillo
177d ago
Last 30d: 39-48-1 (-1.2u)
Over 8.5-114
0.5u
Bet to -120 or 9 (-101)
PRO Insights
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Pirates
PIT Insights
- Featured Insight
The Pirates have scored 3.1 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- tied for fourth highest in MLB (13 games). The Guardians have allowed 3.3 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- fourth highest in MLB (13 games).
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Guardians
CLE Insights
- Featured Insight
Guardians RPs have a strikeout rate of 25% vs right-handed batters this season -- tied for fifth highest in MLB. Pirates right-handed hitters have struck out 24% against LHP this season -- fourth highest in MLB.
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Pirates vs. Guardians Previews & Analysis
Pirates vs. Guardians Notes
Keys to the Game
The Guardians are just 3-44 (.064) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .145.
Matchup Contrasts
Bryan De La Cruz has an OPS of just .704 since the 2022 season -- eighth worst in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Emmanuel Clase has allowed an OPS of just .486 (801 PAs) since the 2022 season -- second best among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.
Bryan De La Cruz has an OPS of just .697 since last season -- 14th worst in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Emmanuel Clase has allowed an OPS of just .518 (530 PAs) since last season -- second best among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Bailey Falter has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (355/811) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 30% -- 99th Percentile.
13 of Ben Lively's 35 breaking pitch strikeouts (37%) have been backdoor this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 53 total IP; League Avg: 14% -- 99th Percentile.
Ben Lively has a strikeout rate of just 6% (1 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days -- tied for lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 25% -- fourth Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Pirates vs. Guardians Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Guardians are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
- Guardians are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Guardians are 41-40 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Guardians' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 38 of Guardians' 80 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Guardians vs. Pirates Injury Updates
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Guardians Injuries
- Shane BieberP
Bieber is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- John MeansP
Means is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
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Pirates Injuries
- Ke'Bryan HayesIF
Hayes is out with back
Out
- Johan OviedoP
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Endy RodriguezC
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Pirates vs. Guardians Box Score
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PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 59 | 4 | 2 | 4 | |
![]() | 26 | 1 | 2 | 4 | |
![]() | 54 | 3 | 4 | 2 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 1-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
![]() | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
![]() | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 94 | 4.1 | 3 | 6 | |
![]() | 8 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | |
![]() | 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
![]() | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
![]() | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
![]() | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
![]() | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
![]() | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
![]() | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
![]() | 1-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
![]() | 3-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
![]() | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
![]() | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Pirates vs. Guardians Odds Comparison
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Pirates at Guardians Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
![]() Pirates 1-0 | o3.5-135 | u3.5+105 |
![]() Guardians 0-1 | o4.5-110 | u4.5-120 |